Gambit Roulette: Difference between revisions

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{{trope}}
[[File:RouletteWheelOfFail350_3192RouletteWheelOfFail.jpg|frame|[[Death Note|Exactly as planned]].]]
 
{{quote|''"How can anyone, even skilled conspirators, predict with perfect accuracy the outcome of a car crash? How can they know in advance that a man will go to a certain pay phone at a certain time, so that he can see a particular truck he needs to see? How can the actions of security guards be accurately anticipated? Isn't it risky to hinge an entire plan of action on the hope that the police won't stop a car speeding recklessly through a downtown area?"''
 
{{quote|''"How can anyone, even skilled conspirators, predict with perfect accuracy the outcome of a car crash? How can they know in advance that a man will go to a certain pay phone at a certain time, so that he can see a particular truck he needs to see? How can the actions of security guards be accurately anticipated? Isn't it risky to hinge an entire plan of action on the hope that the police won't stop a car speeding recklessly through a downtown area?"''|'''[[Roger Ebert]]'s''' [http://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID{{=}}/19990709/REVIEWS/907090302 review] of ''[[Arlington Road]]''}}
 
A convoluted [[Plan]] that relies on events completely within the realm of chance yet comes off without a hitch.
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If your first reaction to seeing the plan unfold is "There is no way that you ''planned'' that!", then it's roulette.
 
[[Gambit rouletteRoulette]] tries to make a character seem impressive but can break [[Willing Suspension of Disbelief]]. You ''really'' have to establish a character as [[The Chessmaster]] for them to be able to pull it off without arousing your audience's skepticism. If the character pulling the roulette is a god, a person with precognition, a hyper-advanced AI, or someone else with similar abilities interacting with mortals, it becomes ''somewhat'' more believable, but even then the [[Willing Suspension of Disbelief|suspension of disbelief]] can be tenuous at best.
 
If, as part of [[Retcon|retconningretcon]]ning in a new [[Big Bad]], everything up to then (including the supposed successes of the heroes against the old villains) is all part of a new scheme, its's [[Arc Welding]]. Also often the justification of the [[Omniscient Morality License]]; their control over events is supposedly total.
 
May be parodied by having events obviously (and blatantly) be out of the character's control, [[I Meant to Do That|and yet still have them take credit for it]].
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{{examples}}
== [[Anime/]] and [[Manga]] ==
 
* ''[[Death Note]]'' is essentially [[Gambit Roulette]]: the series. The most impressive is the plan that [[Wham! Episode|changes the course of the entire series]] -- Light—Light arranging {{spoiler|L's death}} while coming off completely above suspicion -- whichsuspicion—which involves an extended [[Memory Gambit]], at the end of which every element needed to be exactly in the place they were in order to work.
== Anime/Manga ==
* ''[[Death Note]]'' is essentially [[Gambit Roulette]]: the series. The most impressive is the plan that [[Wham! Episode|changes the course of the entire series]] -- Light arranging {{spoiler|L's death}} while coming off completely above suspicion -- which involves an extended [[Memory Gambit]], at the end of which every element needed to be exactly in the place they were in order to work.
** Including such utterly unpredictable details as a cop Light didn't even know prior to the [[Memory Gambit]] missing when he shot at the temporary owner of the Death Note. The plan required Light to kill Higuchi while holding the Death Note, so that he could reclaim ownership of it and make the memory restoration permanent. Had the bullet been just an inch to the left, Higuchi would've died too soon and whoever picked up the Death Note first (most likely the cop who shot him) would become its official owner. And Light's memory of being Kira would be gone forever.
* In ''[[Bleach]]'', most of Sosuke Aizen's ridiculously longwinded plans rely on this, which is odd given that he's easily powerful enough to get what he wants via brute force. Later on, this gets brought to its logical conclusion: Aizen claims ''the entire plot'' (or at least Ichigo's role) has apparently been ''exactly as planned''. It's never fully expanded on, so it's possible he was just lying to mess with Ichigo. Also, Kisuke Urahara engages in Gambit Roulettes as well, to the point where the series can be reduced to these two [[Chessmaster|Chessmasters]]s dueling one another in a case of Aizen's "just as planned" attitude versus Urahara's "just as expected" attitude.
* Yuuko of ''[[XxxHolic×××HOLiC]]'' and ''[[Tsubasa Reservoir Chronicle]]'' seems to be aware of all "effects" to all "costs" via Wishes and manipulates them together to affect the future in ways mere mortals can't possibly predict. Yuuko's one limitation is that only other people can initiate Wishes, and she has to be a [[Literal Genie]] to get the result she wants. Things get complicated when the villain of ''[[Tsubasa Reservoir Chronicle]]'' uses his ability to see the future through dreams to manipulate fate this way too, often with the ''same'' costs and effects. There are other dreamseers in the series pulling strings as well, but most of them are allied with either Yuuko or Fei Wong and incorporated into their plans.
** And everything both of them planned was secretly part of Clow Reed's plan, which also incorporated the entire plot of [[Cardcaptor Sakura]]. Please note that Clow has been dead for centuries.
** It should also be noted that every member of the initial party is somehow working for Yuuko or Fei Wong. All of them had been previously manipulated by the two [[The Chessmaster|chessmasters]] into the circumstances which led them to Yuuko's shop. Only one of them knows which side he's playing for from the beginning, but even his memories were changed to better serve the [[Big Bad]].
* ''[[Yu-Gi-Oh!]]''
** Dartz, the leader of the Doma Organization, used this to recruit his followers; except for Mai, Haga, and Ryuzaki, all of his servants' past troubles that eventually lead to their joining the Organization were orchestrated by Dartz himself just so he could inflict a rage against humanity in them and use [[More Than Mind Control]] to cajole them into signing up.
** Later on, Yami Bakura's master plan comes up, which [[Yu-Gi-Oh!: The Abridged Series|took over 200 bloody episodes]] to come to fruition.
** Furthermore, in just about every duel in the series, the opposing duelist is always thought to be a [[Chessmaster]], no matter how competent (or not) the duelist actually is. If I had a nickel for every time a duelist says something to the effect of "he was planning it from the start!" (with the only logical exception being Atem/Yami Yugi because he can control destiny with his wi), I'd be a very rich contributor.
* Yubel, Judai's [[Stalker with a Crush]] from ''[[Yu-Gi-Oh! GX]]'' gives a prime example of this trope. During Season 3 of the show, she completes and executes one of the most intricate and chancy plans of the genre (then again, she did have several years isolated in space to contemplate it), by manipulating everyone and everything with mind-control, possession and, [[Serious Business|most unthinkably]], losing a match on purpose.
* ''[[Digimon Adventure 02]]'': Each villain appeared (and sometimes believed himself/herself) to be the [[Big Bad]], only for it to turn out that another, higher villain had orchestrated everything from behind the scenes. It all leads to one final [[Big Bad]], [[Hijacked by Ganon|MaloMyotismon]], having used people to use other people to use still others, with no one [[Disc One Final Boss]] aware of the next one's influence. The aspect of this that most ''blatantly'' puts the lie into "I totally planned all that" was Arukenimon, the one villain who ''did'' know she wasn't the top dog: her arc was about her plan to destroy seven [[Cosmic Keystone|Cosmic Keystones]]s and cause [[The End of the World as We Know It]], which would have made it impossible for her boss to get what it turns out he wanted (not to mention leaving him slightly ''dead.'') [[Willing Suspension of Disbelief|Somehow it's doubtful]] that this is what he had in mind, and the same goes for [[Man Behind the Man|his boss]], the aforementioned MaloMyotismon, who wanted the world(s) intact and accordingly [[Take Over the World|actually conquerable]].
* In the anime and manga ''[[Spiral]]: Suiri no Kizuna'', the ability to ravel and unravel [[Plan|Plans]]s and Roulettes is, although it's not stated quite so baldly, a superpower many characters possess. Most of them assert that everything in the plot is a giant Roulette planned by the protagonist's older brother.
* [[Monster (manga)|Johan Liebert]] is possibly the most intelligent human who ever existed. He seems capable of figuring out the nature and intentions of any person he briefly gazes upon and instantly finds a way to use them for his evil schemes or just [[Mind Rape|talk them into committing suicide]] without breaking a sweat. This is [[Willing Suspension of Disbelief|taken so far]] it is better for your sanity to just assume he is omniscient and run with it.
** Or the circumstances of his early life and his growing infamy keep him surrounded by people with really obvious buttons to push, and (like some real-life sociopaths) he fails to even notice the existence of anybody he can't easily play with, some of which feeds back into the camera's Gaze. It's questionable if most of the time he ''has'' any real plans for the future, or if he's just amusing himself with whomever's handy, and the existence of organizations seeking to use him keeps him moving enough to escape capture. He's smarter than most people, but he misses a lot.
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* The titular character in the manga/anime ''[[Akagi]]'' used a Gambit Roulette on the blind player Ishikawa that came out of nowhere so fast, that despite everything adding up, it is still hard to believe that everything was on purpose, especially considering his inner thoughts seemed rather random during the match.
* While ''[[Code Geass]]'''s main draw was the [[Gambit Speed Chess]], there's the time Lelouch checkmated Schneizel. Earlier in the series, he'd recorded a fake conversation to make Mao think Lelouch was really speaking to him. It worked, mostly because it was broadly focused. Lelouch never went into any specifics and Mao was too obsessed with C.C. to fully focus. Lelouch just had to say things about C.C. that would rile Mao. But when he did it again with Schneizel, Lelouch somehow knew [[The Tape Knew You Would Say That|the first thing Schneizel was going to say, how he'd respond to any of his statements, the exact timing of the responses, and even the moment Schneizel would]] ''[[The Tape Knew You Would Say That|interrupt him]]''.
* ''[[Kyo Kara Maoh!|Kyo Kara Maoh]]'': Shinou and Daikenja/Ken Murata had a Roulette in play for ''four thousand years'' aimed at defeating the Soushou.
* In ''[[Fairy Tail]]'', Jellal reveals his [[Gambit Roulette]] after the Magic Council fires a magic laser for the purpose of destroying his aim to resurrect an evil mage. When the dust clears, it's found that it had been his plan to do so all along, as some special crystals have absorbed all the magic fired, giving him the power source to resurrect him. One could say that it was more of a [[Batman Gambit]] considering he planted an astral projection of himself in the council in order to guide them to that point, but there was no guarantee they would use the magic laser, hit the tower straight on, and the crystals would absorb all the magic, and that he wouldn't be found out...etc.
* A frighteningly good Roulette is used in, of ''all'' the Gundam series, the [[Super Robot|much-less-serious]]-[[Real Robot|than-usual]] ''[[G Gundam]]''. Neo-Japan's previous Gundam-Fighter and now military advisor was behind the intrigue to claim the Devil Gundam in order to use it to rule the world. Therefore he blamed Kyouji and removed Domon's father from the scene. He even used Domon to get his hands on his toy of destruction. In the end he can foil Neo-Hong Kong's prime minister to get his hands on the Devil but it is (of course) of no use to him.
** Then of course, we have ''[[Gundam Wing]]'', where Milliardo Peacecraft takes over leadership of [[La Résistance|White Fang]] and says that in order to bring peace, he's going to destroy the source of all conflicts - the Earth. Cue his former best friend Treize Khushrenada, who assumes command of the [[The Federation|World Nation]] and vows to fight Milliardo to the last man. It's subtly hinted in the anime, and outright stated in the manga, that they're faking it, and their '''real''' intention is to scare the world towards peace by showing them a horrible and pointless war - so subtly that, unfortunately, many dismiss Milliardo's actions as a hamhanded retread of ''[[Chars Counterattack]]''.
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* In the ''[[Pokémon (anime)|Pokémon]]'' episode "The Stolen Stones", Team Rocket devised a plot to steal Fire Stones involving a [[Noodle Implements|rocket ship, a tandem bicycle that splits into two unicycles, a battlefield, three pitfalls (including one placed in the center of the battlefield), and two bags of fake stones]], and Jessie even lost a battle on purpose in order to pull off the plan without a hitch.
* In ''[[Houshin Engi]]'' it turns out that the entire houshin project was really there to destroy an omnipotent being, who was in turn manipulating history. The main character turns out to be the same person as a major villain, the person whom they were, was a member of the same race as the first omnipotent being, and he had predicted the whole series of events hundreds of years earlier.
* In ''[[Jo JoJoJo's Bizarre Adventure|Jo Jos Bizarre Adventure]]'' when Dio received brain damage and could barely move, he tried to run away only to be stopped and beaten by Jotaro. Then it was revealed he really wanted to get near Joseph Joestar's body to drain his blood and heal himself, manipulating Jotaro into throwing him right there.
* In ''[[Project ARMS]]'', the ultimate plan of Keith White ends up being this.
* [[Magnificent Bastard|Hiruma]], the quarterback of the Deimon Devilbats, of ''[[Eyeshield 21]]''. Most of the quarterbacks, actually. Takami of Ojou White Knights and Hiruma once had a "Is that what you thought I'd say?" battle in the middle of an intense play.
* Near the end of the ''[[Blue Dragon]]'' anime, Zola reveals that she had managed to use events since she was a child to ensure that she could release darkness upon the world, managing to find all seven Soldiers of Light required to free it, recruit five of them, kill off Nene so that Deathroy would choose a weaker partner in Delphinium who couldn't oppose her alone, and lure both Delphinium and Logi, the last Soldier, to the Sealed Grounds, unleashing the darkness. She almost succeeded in consuming the world as a result too.
* ''[[Neon Genesis Evangelion|Evangelion]]'' is, ultimately, a subversion: the convoluted plans of nearly all factions have as their crux being able to control Rei Ayanami, which, right at the last minute, turns out to be untrue thanks to [[The Power of Love]].
* Oto x Maho has Konata, Kanata's mother, having in the first chapter, what appears to be a [[The Plan|legitimate plan]]. Later, in a flashback scene, we find out that it was only the last stage of a [[Gambit Roulette]] years in the making, which included nothing happening to her and her son, her finding a "supervisor"(A sort of messenger for a [[Magical Girl]]), a bad guy showing up at PRECISELY the right time, her being physically stronger than her son when it ends, not to mention everything else that is purely in the realm of chance. Of course, because of [[Unspoken Plan Guarantee]], it goes off without a hitch.
* Both seasons of [[Ghost in the Shell: Stand Alone Complex]] tend to rely on both sides playing these against one another, with an [[Anti-Villain]] caught in the middle.
* Toua Tokuchi of ''[[One Outs]]'' is a frequent user of this trope, [[Magnificent Bastard|though he still manages to make it look pretty damn awesome.]]
* [[Darker Thanthan Black]]: Amber's ultimate plan to save the contractors is never explained. It involves numerous decoys and sacrifices, as well as planning ahead and taking into a account a ton of random factors and different characters. It ''would'' be a [[Gambit Roulette]]. But it's actually justified because Amber can not only see the future, but she can also rewind time if she messes up.
** ''And'' it's implied she "lived" through all of this many, ''many'' times to make it work.
* The entire plot of "[[Berserk]]" is one big [[Gambit Roulette]]. Justified by events being orchestrated by {{spoiler|an [[Eldritch Abomination]]}}.
 
 
== Comic Books ==
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* The creation of ''[[Preacher (Comic Book)]]'s'' Saint of Killers as orchestrated by God Himself, who through a mere blizzard he generated and a reliance on every single pawn acting accordingly, managed to have the overall chain of events unfold flawlessly according to plan (if we disregard getting [[Hoist by His Own Petard]] in the series's ending).
* In Volume 9 of ''[[The Sandman]],'' it is revealed that everything that happened, not only in that volume, but everything that came before to bring everyone to that point, was all Dream's doing. The reason for doing this is revealed shortly after, but that's not even the strangest part. It is implied that he was doing it ''without even knowing it.''
* In ''[[Superman: Red Son]]'', Lex Luthor evokes this trope when, after a epic battle between the Superman-controlled communist world and his country, the USA, they are forced to join skills against a Brainiac that reveals itself to be evil. He says "It's almost as if it was planned to the tenth decimal place forty years ago."
* Some of the plots that [[Jack Chick]] imputes to the Vatican fall squarely into this.
* As pointed out by [[Atop the Fourth Wall|Linkara]], the master plan of Prometheus in ''[[Cry for Justice]]'', in addition to being random in and of itself, requires coincidence after coincidence and perfect prediction of the actions of both heroes and villains. Prometheus may be [[Crazy Prepared]] for combat and a genius to boot, but he can't predict the future and even the characters in the story point out that he doesn't have villains in his database of combat tactics.
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* [[Spider-Man]]'s infamous [[The Clone Saga|Clone Saga]] was eventually revealed to be a massive Gambit Roulette by [[Norman Osborn]].
 
== RealFan LifeWorks ==
 
* In ''[[Aeon Natum Engel (Fanfic)|Aeon Natum Engel]]'' Gendo admits this is what his plans amount to. Although, considering the setting, even [[Xanatos Gambit|Xanatos Gambits]]s are in risk of becoming like this. Why? Well, because [[Eldritch Abomination|Nyarlathotep]] is a [[Spanner in the Works|dick]].
== Fanfiction ==
* ''In [[Harry Potter and Thethe Methods of Rationality]]'', Draco remembers a tragedy play his father brought him to see (an expy of [[Death Note]]), and at the end, Lucius asked him what the meaning of the play was. Draco mistook it to be as clever as the characters. His father chastised him, saying that any plan that requires more than three steps to succeed is unlikely to the point of worthless. And because only a fool goes with a plan that is barely possible, you really should never plan more than two steps.
* In ''[[Aeon Natum Engel (Fanfic)|Aeon Natum Engel]]'' Gendo admits this is what his plans amount to. Although, considering the setting, even [[Xanatos Gambit|Xanatos Gambits]] are in risk of becoming like this. Why? Well, because [[Eldritch Abomination|Nyarlathotep]] is a [[Spanner in the Works|dick]].
* ''In [[Harry Potter and The Methods of Rationality]]'', Draco remembers a tragedy play his father brought him to see (an expy of [[Death Note]]), and at the end, Lucius asked him what the meaning of the play was. Draco mistook it to be as clever as the characters. His father chastised him, saying that any plan that requires more than three steps to succeed is unlikely to the point of worthless. And because only a fool goes with a plan that is barely possible, you really should never plan more than two steps.
* Anytime anyone does anything in ''[[Light and Dark - The Adventures of Dark Yagami|Light and Dark The Adventures of Dark Yagami]]''.
* At the end of the ''[http://www.fanfiction.net/s/3137871/1/Hero_High Hero] [http://www.fanfiction.net/s/3875254/1/Hero_High_Earth_style High]'' [http://www.fanfiction.net/s/4267279/1/Hero_High_Sphinx_Academy Series]. The main villain Pharaoh Alexander Sovereign nee Tempus reveals that his entire plan that he has practically set up throughout the series, was to stop his mother's crazy plan, revealing her to be the true villain. Or at least the eviler of two evils. He was also known to being infamous for his plans within plans, as well as fully understanding what a person is likely to do in the situation he presents them.
* ''[[My Little Avengers]]'': It's eventually revealed that ''the entire plot'' was engineered by [[Big Bad|Loki]] in order to create a scenario wherein [[The Hero|Big Mac]] is forced to willingly surrender Thor's power, allowing Loki to take over Equestria. And it temporarily works, too, only being undone due to Pinkie Pie being a bigger [[Spanner in the Works]] than even [[Magnificent Bastard|Loki]] could have anticipated.
 
 
== Film ==
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* Jigsaw looks normal compared to the masked killer in the film ''The Collector'', who rigs up a normal house with pinpoint, gruesome traps so quickly and effectively that it seems more likely that he has magic reality-warping powers like [[Watchmen (comics)|Dr. Manhattan]] then anything human.
* The ''[[Ocean's Eleven]]'' series. The plans of the main characters match this trope quite well, apparently requiring ''everything'' to interlock absolutely perfectly. However, [[Gambit Speed Chess|they have to adjust the plans several times due to unexpected variables]].
** In particular, the heist in ''Ocean's Thirteen'' relies on a [[Gambit Roulette]] within a [[Gambit Roulette]], with a third [[Gambit Roulette]] thrown in for good measure. By the end of the film, the plan becomes so circuitous that it almost qualifies as a subversion itself.
** Subverted in [[OceansOcean's 11|the original]]; all of their gambits seem to have payedpaid off, but a small oversight results in them losing the money in the end.
* In ''[[Wild Things]]'', Suzie plots to kill the dirty cop who killed her ex-boyfriend and get rich in the process. The full plot is too complicated to explain, but involves relying on everyone being willing to betray everyone else, before then discovering that they've been betrayed themselves. And [[But Wait! There's More!|as if that's not enough]], in the final scene, the defense lawyer from the rape trial, chosen from the phonebook, implies that he was somehow in on it all along.
** Most of it does rely on people behaving in [[Batman Gambit|character-predictable ways]] rather than sheer insane chance, especially as the plan meant that anything that looked coincidental was usually a result of then-unrevealed plotters working the other side and delivering the right evidence exactly on cue. It's still ludicrously complicated.
* ''[[The Game (film)|The Game]]''. Although it's implied at the end that they had backup plans here and there, not to mention a detailed psych profile on Nicholas to figure out exactly how he'd react, it's hard to believe that CRS could control every detail so completely.
* The terrorist plot in ''[[Die Hard 2]]'' depends on a conveniently-timed severe (but not too severe!) snow storm on the day their leader was being transported. Perhaps there was a deleted scene featuring a weather machine.
* And in ''Die Hard with a Vengeance'' the terrorist plot requires that John McClane solve a series of riddles and puzzles. McClane would not have been able to solve any of the riddles without the help of Zeus Carver. Which the terrorist could not possibly have foreseen.
* Subverted in ''[[Mystery Men]]'' in an exchange between Captain Amazing and Casanova Frankenstein that culminates with [[I Know You Know I Know|"I only knew that you'd know that I knew. Did you know that?"]]
* Eisenheim's plan in ''[[The Illusionist (film)|The Illusionist]]'' to fake his love's death and blame it on the Crown Prince of Austria has too many elements to have been coordinated and pulled off as masterfully as it was.
* [[Star Wars|Darth Sidious]]- see the main page.
** The protagonists' plan to rescue Han Solo from Jabba the Hutt in ''Return of the Jedi'', definitely. How courteous of Jabba to put all the players exactly where they were needed--especiallyneeded—especially the droids--anddroids—and not [[Combat Pragmatist|just shoot any of them when he had the chance]]. And how courteous of Boba Fett and the guards [[Imperial Stormtrooper Marksmanship Academy|not to hit any of the protagonists]] when they try. Admittedly, getting fed to the Rancor probably wasn't part of the plan, but Luke solved that hitch with a little [[Indy Ploy|improvisation]].
* The main villain, whatever his real name may have been, in ''[[Swordfish]]''. More identities, schemes and deceptions than you can shake a stick at; neither the characters or the viewer are informed much regarding his real plans.
* The entire plot of ''Fracture'' requires that the correct cop be called into the scene of a murder, recognize the victim as the woman he was having an affair with, and then attack her husband. Furthermore, it required that he not kill her husband, but be sufficiently angry to not notice that the husband was switching their guns. In spite of his otherwise brilliant planning, the husband failed to even realize that shooting someone, being found innocent of attempted murder, and then having life support withdrawn, constitutes a count of murder totally separate from the initial crime.
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* J.R. Ewing claims to have planned ''every frickin' little thing'' in the ''[[Dallas]]'' movie.
* The commanding officers of the titular vessel in ''[[The Hunt for Red October]]'' manage to defect to the United States in a multi-billion dollar experimental submarine, while getting the Soviet government to believe the Americans had sunk them, and keeping his entire crew of at least a few hundred oblivious to what really happened. [[Lampshade Hanging|Lampshaded]] near the beginning: the Captain even says that they have about 1 chance in 3 of pulling it off.
* The person running the tables in ''Eagle Eye'' at first appears to be damn near omniscient and prescient - creepily anticipating everything except Jerry being alive - to the point of (as just the most "damn"-worthy example) calling the cell phones of every single person on a train within ''seconds'' of needing to do so. It becomes slightly more believable when it's revealed "she's" a [[AIA.I. Is a Crapshoot|government supercomputer]]... until the [[Fridge Logic]] sets in.
* ''[[Lucky Number Slevin]]'', in which the main character suffers a case of mistaken identity, and is brought in by two separate mob bosses to get revenge upon each other. Long story short, it turns out that he and his mentor - the assassin the mob bosses both hired to take out the MC once he'd done what they wanted - [[Kansas City Shuffle|planned the whole thing]] in order to get revenge on both of them for the murder of his parents.
* The aggregate actions of the Joker in ''[[The Dark Knight]]'': for an agent of chaos with a stated disdain for [[The Chessmaster|Chessmasters]], he manages to effortlessly pull together seemingly random and improbable events into a single overall scheme.
* ''[[Total Recall]]'': For his scheme to work, Mars Administrator Cohaagen has to eventually get Quaid back to Mars (but he blows his memory cap early so he ends up becoming a [[Loose Cannon Cop]]), he has to get in contact with the Mars Resistance so that Cohaagen can find Resistance Leader Quaato. When this actually happens, Cohaagen admits that the possibility was nearly unbelievable, and even [[Lampshade Hanging|Lampshades it]], rattling off a list of all the ways in which the plan actually went wrong. This is one of the many reasons behind the [[All Just a Dream]] interpretation of the movie.
* The [[Anti-Villain|Antivillains]]s' scheme in ''[[Inside Man]]''. It hinges on ensuring that [[Everybody Lives]] (hence their [[Anti-Villain]] status) while simultaneously keeping the cops thinking they're deadly dangerous. While the movie presents this as [[Gambit Speed Chess]], it falls apart when you consider that it relies on the cops not making any mistakes like accidentally shooting a hostage.
** Remember that Dalton Russell (aka. the main man and the man who is actually carrying away the cash) is not amongst the fake hostages and in fact exploits the fact that it is ridiculously unlikely that the police would look for newly-made hidden hideouts in the back, and that they wouldn't expect the criminals to not leave the bank for a week. The only way the police COULD have caught Dalton without assaulting the building head-on in the first minute would be to have [[Sherlock Holmes]] level insight.
* ''[[The Shawshank Redemption]]'' with Andy Dufresne's method of stealing the Warden's clothing and ledgers and crawling through a hole in his cell made by a rock hammer and covered by a poster in the span of 19 years, the exact night of a thunderstorm as to conceal the noises made by his pounding a rock on a pipe to escape the prison by crawling through a sewer pipe... all this time one-upping the warden. [[So Cool Its Awesome|Ridiculously legendary]]!
** He undoubtedly finished the tunnel a while before the night of his escape, and was just waiting for a sufficiently big storm. After all, he was patient enough to work his plan at nights for 19 years without giving up or telling a soul about it, what's a few extra days or weeks in the can?
** The narrator also notes that Andy was fully aware that the whole thing could have fallen apart if he had ever been switched to a different cell. But he was already in prison for life with a bunch of violent rapists, so what was the worst that could happen if he were discovered?
* While ''Chaos'' is a good movie, it suffers for being completely made up of hundreds of [[Gambit Roulette|Gambit Roulettes]] in order to advance the plot. 1: The banker pressing the alarm, thus sending in the police. 2: Conners being made the negotiator, thus shutting down the power. 3: Conners shutting down the power, thus giving the virus free game. 4: Conners failing to stop SWAT from entering the bank, thus making the mooks escaping the bank. 5: The mooks not being caught on camera while escaping the bank with the hostages (granted, this one was admitted failed in movie). 6: The female cop's phone going off, thus making the cops entering that building. 7: The fact that the whole idea of letting Conners pretend to be dead was based on the idea that out of 2 guys, 1 body is found, and just because it has Conners badge on it makes the cops take for granted that it's Conners body, while not bothering to look for the MISSING SECOND BODY!)
* In ''[[Push]]'', Nick's plan to save Kira relied on knowing exactly what lie Agent Carver would tell her. Of course, that's just the most obvious sneak in the plan; the whole thing was so convoluted that psychics couldn't tell what was going on. Ultimately, the entire movie was planned, predicted, and orchestrated by Cassie's mother. There's a reason why she's known as the best Watcher in the world.
* Subverted in the Danish ''[[Olsen-Banden]]'' films (and the Norwegian and Swedish remakes thereof) by having Egon Olsen's elaborate schemes go off almost without a hitch, only to have the gang deprived of their rewards later by some amazing coincidence. Egon (the only competent member of the gang) is caught by the police and goes to prison (sometimes even for something he's actually done). Though, sometimes he's playing [[Gambit Speed Chess]] while the Roulette is spinning.
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* The antagonists' plans in the original ''[[House on Haunted Hill]]'' are not only extremely complicated and based on a large amount of chance, they also require an improbable level of footwork on the part of the antagonists, almost requiring them to be in two places at once.
* ''[[Children of Men]]'', while a brilliant film, contains a pretty major spin of the wheel in the bandit attack: it turns out that Clive Owen's character, Theo, is travelling with a terrorist group that's decided on a bit of regime change. Julian's death during the attack was part of the plan to bring Luke to the leadership of The Fishes. But that means the plan involved a perfect pistol shot, taken from the back of a speeding motorcycle, into a very small car containing not only the pregnant girl who could be the last hope of humanity, but the would-be leader as well. In a realistic film like this it's hard to imagine a plan so dangerous even being considered.
* In ''[[Speed]]'', the main villain of the film puts a bomb on a bus to take revenge on a police officer that ruined his last scheme and ransom them for $3.7 million. The rules are that once the bus reaches 50  mph, the bomb is armed, and if it drops below 50, then the bomb goes off. The villain then tells said police officer, conveniently the protagonist, all about this. The problem is, the film makes it quite clear that had our protagonist been just a second sooner, he would have caught the bus before arming the bomb, showing that there may have been time to do so. In this sense, the villain relied on the chance that the protagonist wouldn't make it to the bus in time, else the bomb would never arm and there would be nobody to hold hostage.
** The antagonist did have a remote trigger for the bomb, so he could have just ordered the bus to speed. Maybe...
* The end of ''Ninja Champion'' is especially (in)famous for this.
* In ''[[The A-Team (film)|The a A-Team]]'' every military action is needlessly dangerous and complex, often relying heavily on the enemy doing some very exact and unlikely actions, like shooting someone directly in the head.
* ''Reindeer Games'' would be completely forgotten if it wasn't for the twist ending that's so insane that it pretty much defies all logic.
* Alexander Pearce's plan in ''[[The Tourist]]''. He tells his wife to board a particular train at a a particular time and randomly select a passenger of his height and build, whom she will then pretend is him in disguise. It turns out that the guy she picked really ''is'' him in disguise. But, wait, go back and read that again: she's to pick a guy at random. Well, what if she had picked a different guy? It's not like there's only one man of his height and build on that train. In fact, she almost ''does'' pick someone else, but it turns out he's traveling with someone. Could have gotten a bit sticky if he'd been alone, no?
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* The last car chase of ''[[The Skulls]]'' sees the heroes Luke and Will being chased at high speed along a train track before it finally comes to a stop with them crashing full speed into a dirt berm at the end of the tracks and the bad guy about the shoot Luke. But a split second before he pulls the trigger, he is shot (at long range) by the cop who then tells them that it was his plan all along to have this happen, thus showing that even the good guys can have convoluted plans. Of course, at any time during the car chase, Luke and Will could have crashed and been killed. Or the cop could have missed his long range shot with a pistol, allowing the bad guy to shoot Luke. But I guess that was part of the plan as well,
 
== [[Literature]] ==
 
== Literature ==
* In ''[[The Brothers Karamazov]]'', many of the elements of Smerdyakov's plan to kill Fyodor Karamazov were ''obviously beyond his control''. The book offers a good example of a [[The Chessmaster|Chessmaster]] attempting to manipulate events and people he realistically doesn't understand fully. The kicker though? He still pulls it off with a bit of improvisation.
* In ''The Possessed'', [[Complete Monster]] Petr Stepanovic's labyrinthine plan, involving dozens of different characters, is mostly successful - he manages to manipulate people left and right, even if he is shown to completely misunderstand the motivations of some of them, like Stavrogin and Kirillov. Another interesting subversion of the trope is that the more complex parts of the plan (like persuading several persons to kill another man with a flimsy reason) go off like clockwork, and the apparently simpler details (like persuading a suicidal nut to... kill himself) almost fall apart on several occasions.
* ''[[The Count of Monte Cristo]]'' has the Count executing a plan for revenge that's unspeakably convoluted and relies on manipulating people in ridiculously subtle and complex ways--forways—for example, he somehow manipulates Madame de Villefort into poisoning half her family by casually conversing with her about chemistry.
* [[Deconstructed]] in ''[[Evil Genius Trilogy|Evil Genius]]'', a young adult novel by Catherine Jinks. Although the hero, Cadel, is very good at manipulating people, when he attempts a [[Gambit Roulette]], it gets out of his control very quickly, leading to the death of several characters.
* The [[Evil Overlord|Shadow Lord]] in the ''Deltora'' books made it clear: "I have many plans. Plans within plans..." And indeed, by the ''beginning'' of the series, he had them set in place so that he was prepared for any conceivable contingency. Except dragons.
* ''[[Harry Potter (novel)|Harry Potter]]'':
** In ''[[Harry Potter and Thethe Deathly Hallows (novel)|Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows]]'', Dumbledore had orchestrated or manipulated almost every major event that had taken place in Harry's life since about the halfway point of ''The Half-Blood Prince'', with the ultimate purpose of Voldemort's destruction.
** Also in ''Deathly Hallows'', Dumbledore's method of getting Harry to find the Hallows relies on random encounters - for example, Hermione only recognised the symbol in her book because she happened to meet Luna's dad at Fleur and Bill's wedding. The same goes for Harry finding out {{spoiler|he is a Horcrux}}; if he hadn't been there when {{spoiler|Snape died}} he would never have {{spoiler|made his [[Heroic Sacrifice]] and Voldemort would've stayed immortal}}.
** In ''[[Harry Potter and Thethe Goblet of Fire (novel)|Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire]]'', Voldemort and {{spoiler|Barty Crouch Jr.}} devise a complex and convoluted [[Gambit Roulette]] to manipulate Harry into a position where Voldemort can capture him, kill him, and {{spoiler|use his blood to regenerate his body}}.
* In the [[Young Bond]] book ''Double or Die'', a teacher at Eton is kidnapped and only has enough time to send a letter confirming his resignation and send his last crossword to ''The Times''. In this, he manages to get clues to Bond and his friends about what's really happened to him, where they can go to find more information and that a friend of his is coming to Eton. This teacher probably attended a school where [[Death Note|Light]] was the headmaster and [[Saw|Jigsaw]] was the art teacher.
* Successfully executed by [[The Chessmaster]] of ''[[The Assassins of Tamurin]]'', but without pushing [[Willing Suspension of Disbelief]], due to the years of effort she puts into it and the fact that she's crazy.
* Avrell Torrent, the [[Big Bad]] of Orson Scott Card's ''Empire'', has been setting up a massive Gambit Roulette that would make Palpatine envious for decades.
* The ''[[Dune]]'' series by Frank Herbert contains some of the most elaborately [[Justified Trope|justified]] Gambit Roulettes ever committed to paper, due primarily to the fact that the protagonists and many of the antagonists are genuinely prescient. The king of these, of course, is Leto Atreides II in ''Children of Dune'', who becomes Emperor on the strength of a plot that pits him against his father, aunt, and grandmother, all of whom are or were operating their own [[Plan|Plans]]s. The prize, of course, is absolute domination of humanity's future. To elaborate, the plot involves Leto faking his death, which was anticipated by both Jessica and Alia. Jessica sets up a test to see if Leto is possessed, which Alia knows about and infiltrates with her own instructions to have Leto killed no matter what. The method of their testing: overdosing him with spice, awakens Leto's prescient memories and forces him to choose his vision of the Golden Path without which humanity is doomed. Leto then confronts his father, Paul, who had earlier faked his own death in order to escape the curse of prescience, and wrests control of the vision from him, then proceeds to take the throne, killing Alia and utterly humiliating every other participant in the [[Gambit Pileup]].
** Leto then continues the trend in the next book, which picks up at the end of his 3,500 year reign as God Emperor and details an incredibly complicated plan whose final goals are to produce a breed of human who is immune to prescience and to wean humanity off of its dependence on oracles. Furthermore, the product of this breeding program is intended to kill him in such a manner as to guarantee the continuation of the sandworms and the spice. He succeeds on all counts.
** The gambits of Miles Teg and the Bene Gesserit in ''Heretics of Dune'' and ''Chapterhouse: Dune'' take on a similar flavor, resulting in yet another [[Gambit Pileup]].
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** ''After the Funeral'' is much in the same vein. Miss Gilchrist's entire plot hinged on every single member of the family not recognizing their own aunt at Richard Abernethie's funeral and believing that Richard had indeed been murdered. Even when one takes into account that none of the family members had seen their aunt in a long time, it still doesn't explain why they didn't notice that Miss Gilchrist - with whom they spent several days in the same house - looked almost exactly like the 'Aunt Cora' they had recently seen at the funeral. It also stands to reason that after the real Cora's death, a family member would have to identify the body, thus exposing the deception. Miss Gilchrist's plan to poison herself so as to appear innocent could also have colossally backfired.
** The plot in ''Evil Under the Sun'' is another example. The murderer/s not only rely on synchronizing their movements according to a very precise schedule, but also arrange for the body to be "discovered" before the actual murder takes place, while the unsuspecting intended victim is hiding nearby. There are a number of ways that could have gone wrong...
* A lot of early detective fiction relies on [[Gambit Roulette|Gambit Roulettes]] to the point where Raymond Chandler discusses it as a failing of the genre in his essay "The Simple Art of Murder".
* ''[[Animorphs]]'':
** Jake's plan to infiltrate and capture the Yeerk pool ship is a complex [[Batman Gambit]] that includes the manipulation of no less than eight separate factions, brilliantly executed by a sixteen-year-old kid of average intelligence.
** The true [[Chessmaster|Chessmasters]]s in the series are the Ellimist and Crayak. The Ellimist's backstory begins with his favourite game being to achieve world/system domination by proxy in a simulation by changing just one factor. In the game he decides to have the clouds on a moon part to give the inhabitants the urge to travel (he loses the game though). Everything that happens in the series (including the creation of at least two highly advanced races) is implied or outright stated to be the result of his subtle moves in his overall game against Crayak.
** The Ellimist is a subversion however, since he loses. He loses ''a lot''. He was called "the greatest loser" more than once. It's not until he meets the Andalites that he starts to truly reverse that trend, and then he becomes a god and is kinda exempt from this trope.
* The book ''Small Favor'' from ''[[The Dresden Files]]'' features a subversion. Harry considers the enemy's plot to be so complex it simply should not be possible, until Murphy points out that Harry really IS that predictable, and that the villains stood to gain by doing what they are doing, whether or not Harry acted as planned.
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** A similar plot was hatched in [[Knights of the Old Republic]]. More accurately, its sequel, which proposed that Revan's "fall" to the Dark Side and his subsequent conquering of the Republic (carefully leaving intact key positions and structures) was just to prepare for the coming of the "true Sith" lurking outside the galaxy, making Revan a [[Well-Intentioned Extremist]]. Note that this was all from the perspective of Revan's teacher, so take it with a grain of salt. Though even if you think Revan was just flat-out evil, this theory has some merit: You can't exactly conquer the galaxy if a bunch of crazy "true sith" destroy it.
* Subverted in the [[Belisarius Series]] where Belisarius' answer to a Gambit Roulette is to keep adding pieces and confusion to the board until Link doesn't know whether it's coming or going. Also subverted (although not entirely successfully) in that Belisarius claims not to calculate in depth but instead to cause confusion and take advantage of the opportunities that arise from this.
** Related to a [[Truth in Television]] case. The strategic clashes between Belisarius and Link (not to be confused with the ''Zelda'' Link) can be seen as a contest between two [[Chessmaster|Chessmasters]]s. Link is an AI. If anyone remembers the first match-off between real world chess grandmaster Gary Kasparov and computer program Deep Blue, Kasparov's strategy was to make the situation on the board so complicated that the computer would get confused and start running around in circles. And it worked.
* In the ''Legacy of the Drow'' series by R.A. Salvatore, Jarlaxle at first appears to be a Manipulative Bastard. In the later books, Jarlaxle muses that most of his plans are in fact Gambit Roulettes. Whenever he stirs up chaos, he always seems to come out on top. It's also hinted in later books ''he is the chosen of a god of chaos''.
* In ''[[Second Apocalypse]]'', everything seen thus far has been a complicated roulette by [[Mo Ã]]«nghus. There is some fan disagreement on whether the roulette paid out or not. Things get complicated at that level of misdirection.
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* Apparently, everything [[The Pendragon Adventure|Saint Dane]] does is part of his grand plan for Halla. A lot of which is manipulating Bobby (and Mark and Courtney) to do exactly what he wants them to do without realizing it. And then stepping in to show Bobby how horribly he's been defeated [[Hope Spot|just after he thought he won.]]
* Fortune Teller Shalice of ''[[The Pilo Family Circus]]'' demonstrates her understanding of the trope in this statement:
{{quote| Man raises his middle finger at a passing car; the driver ponders it, wondering what he'd done to offend the stranger, misses his route home while distracted, and collides with a van, killing the driver who was the real target of the exercise. The simplest of scenarios, but the setups could be so elaborate and huge they shaped the course of history.}}
** One of her ''simplest'' manipulations involves watering the lawn in front of the Acrobats' tent; when one of them left the tent, he slips on the wet grass, and angrily blames [[Monster Clown|the pranksters in the Clown Division]]. He then steals a crate of fireworks to take revenge on the clowns, only to leave it by the Circus Funhouse, where one of the local dwarfs uses it as a target in a cigar-flicking game: the resulting explosion takes out half the funhouse, and forces the management to start relying on Shalice for help again. {{spoiler|Or at least, it ''should'' have.}}
* Revealed to be the entire point of the first two books in Sergei Lukyanenko's ''[[Night Watch]]'' series (Nightwatch and Daywatch respectively).
** In the first, everything is set up by Gesar in order to rewrite Olga's fate in order to reinstate her connection to the Twilight and give her back her magical powers so that he and she can be equal. Some of this may be justified in that they are magicians of great power who have been alive for thousands of years and have the ability to peer into the possibilities of the future, but there are still moments when the reader (and the characters) is left wondering what is [[Gambit Roulette|planned]] and what is just [[Gambit Speed Chess|taking advantage of the situations as they arise]].
* In [[Michael Crichton]]'s novel ''Rising Sun'', pretty much the entire Japanese nation is portrayed as Gambit Roulettists in garish contrast to stupid Americans who don't seem to know their noses are actually on their faces, much less than they're being led around by them. The implication is that the murder of the girl in the novel was set up right from the beginning simply to embarrass another Japanese family, right down to knowing which officer was on duty that night, that John Conner would become involved as a result, and that events would go very much as planned.
* From ''[[Encyclopedia Brown]]'', we have a robber planning to strike as the victim does his grocery shopping, but calculates he won't have enough time. No problem, just ask him to pick up four tubes of toothpaste, extending his grocery list from 7 to 11 items and thus forcing him to take a non-express lane. So the plan is: Our victim won't question why the man wants ''four'' tubes of toothpaste and will proceed to buy them all. Our victim will be honorable and take a non-express lane for being one item over (since that fourth tube of toothpaste was ''so important''). This will slow our victim down significantly enough to finish robbing his house. (This one, at least, was given a [[Hand Wave]]-- apparently—apparently the supermarket in question is notorious for all of its non-express lanes being glacially slow... [[Voodoo Shark|all the more reason why our victim might choose to take the express lane despite that 11th item]].)
* In Fred Saberhagan's [[Book of Swords]], and companion series Book of Lost Swords, the character of The Emperor is shown to be very nearly omniscient in his plans, including fathering several children to various otherwise unimportant women around the known world, some 10 years before the events of the first book. Justified since the Emperor is {{spoiler|G-d}}.
* In ''[[Daemon]]'', by Daniel Suarez, Matthew Sobol, through his Daemon AI, manages to accurately predict and control events throughout the book, even after Sobol's death. While there are humans in the Daemon apparatus, they are not depicted as being in controlling positions. Either Sobol was a master at the Gambit Roulette, or his AI was a master at Speed Chess.
* In the [[Bionicle]] series by LEGO, the entire story up to the ninth year of production (many thousands of years in the story) was planned out by the Makuta Teridax, who plans every eventuality throughout those thousands of years, with all roads leading to victory. [[Chessmaster]], indeed.
* A very common occurrence in [[Iain Banks]]' The Culture novels. The Mind [[AI|AIs]]s are frequently do this, especially when it comes to the activities of the Cultures' two interventionary groups, Contact and Special Circumstances. May potentially be a subversion due to the fact that Minds can think in Hyperspace and are so ridiculously intelligent and powerful that they can pull off such a plan easily.
* In Niven and Barnes' ''The California Voodoo Game'', Dream Park's security team catches on that one of the Game's tournament participants isn't playing fair, and theorize that he's attempting a [[Batman Gambit]] to throw the win to Army. However, the suspect can't realistically expect to do this, given the sheer number of variables involved, which would make it this trope instead. As it turns out, the suspect is plotting another crime entirely, and only set things up to ''look'' like an attempt to fix the Game in order to deceive an [[Unwitting Pawn|accomplice]].
* The Demon King in Kylie Chan's ''Dark Heavens'' trilogy has one of these running from when he first meets Emma, although since a) it's implied that he was planning One Two Two's downfall even before Emma unexpectedly showed up, and b) he didn't expect her to outsmart him the first time he tried to manipulate her, it could also be considered that he starts off playing [[Gambit Speed Chess]] which develops into a Roulette.
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* This seems to be what Varys and Illyrio Mopatis are up to in ''[[A Song of Ice and Fire]]''. [[Lampshade Hanging|Lampshaded]] when one character points out in ''Dance'' that they have been [[Gambit Speed Chess|changing the plan repeatedly]].
* Sharon Lee and Steve Miller's [[Liaden Universe]]: Aware of the Department of the Interior's machinations, Liaden's Scouts hatch a cunning plan: they will destroy the DoI from within by ''feeding Val Con yos'Phelium to it'' without giving him any forewarning or preparation, counting on his line's [[Weirdness Magnet]] nature to throw a monkeywrench into its schemes. Given the way [[There Are No Coincidences]] in the Liaden Universe, this effectively turns a Roulette Gambit ''into'' a [[Batman Gambit]].
{{quote| Clonak stared at him as if he’d taken leave of his wits. “Well, of ''course'' we gave you to them, Shadow! Who else did we have more likely to trump them than a first-in, pure-blood yos’Phelium scout ''commander''? Concentrated random action. Would we waste such a weapon? Would you? I didn’t think so.[...]"}}
 
== [[Live -Action TV]] ==
* In japaneseJapanese drama ''[[Uramiya Honpo]]'', almost every plan Uramiya uses to punish her victims is a Gambit Roulette. The most blatant exemple being the second movie special, 'Mind Control No Wana'. In the last episode of the first season, we were introduced to Kiyomi, a woman who looked exactly like Uramiya and has been institutionalized since her family was murdered before her eyes when she was a child. In 'Mind Control No Wana', it is revealed that the murderer is Sunstone, an insane guru who is also {{spoiler|her real father (he raped her mother)}} and intends to marry her on his 55 birthday. After discovering the truth, Kiyomi hired Uramiya to help her avenge her family's death. Uramiya's plan was {{spoiler|to disfigure Kiyomi with acid so her face could be rebuilt into an exact replica of Uramiya, so years later, Sunstone will kill Kiyomi, mistaking her for Uramiya.}} And it worked!
* In the series ''[[Lie to Me (TV series)|Lie to Me]]'', this is Cal Lightman's favorite strategy, calling it the Long Con. This to the point of even tricking his own employees into actions he knew they would do to help.
* On ''[[24]]'' many terrorist plans are of this nature. For example, one plan in the fourth season involves kidnapping the Secretary of Defense, and threatening to execute him live on the Internet; using the traffic that generates as a mask for them hacking into every nuclear power plant in America; using ''that'' as a diversion for hijacking a fighter plane to shoot down Air Force One, then stealing the nuclear "football" from the wreckage; using the data in the football to intercept a nuclear missile being transported through Iowa; and finally, firing the missile at Los Angeles. The villains have no explicable way of knowing that the football would survive the impact, that the plane would crash close enough to their location for them to reach it before emergency crews, or that a nuclear missile would be on the road in the vicinity of their secondary team.
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** The most recent episode has [[Fan Nickname|Flocke]] predicting that Widmore would rig the plane to explode so he could take the explosives and put them in Jack's bag, and that Sawyer would prevent Flocke from getting on the submarine, AND that the people trapped on the submarine would attempt to disarm the bomb (since Flocke himself apparently can't directly kill these particular characters). The plan did not end up panning out perfectly, though.
* Many of the schemes in ''[[Veronica Mars]]'' verge into this territory, most notably the plan to kidnap her boyfriend's baby, which had as linchpins one character opening a letter addressed to someone else, her phone being tapped, and the sheriff driving all the way to Mexico without looking in his trunk.
* ''[[Mission: Impossible]]'' did this weekly for years.
* The ''[[Tales from the Crypt]]'' episode "The Pit" relied entirely on this. Not only were two men able to predict exactly how their wives would react in a certain situation, they were also able to reschedule a major international fighting event, change the designated fighters, AND apparently hype this last-minute change to the point that no ratings were lost, all without their wives finding out. Even more bizarrely, they seemed fairly confident that their wives would kill each other in the match (although, assuming one survived, her husband could have filed for divorce).
* An episode of ''[[Fringe]]'' had an FBI agent who was infected with a life-threatening parasite which was cured at the very last second. Turns out he apparently infected himself, and the entire episode was a plan to get his wife to overhear a secret discovered by other FBI agents while they were trying to save him. But if even a single thing in the episode had gone differently - including the fact that an attempt to catch a suspect had been botched - then the plan would not have worked. Note that if the heroes were even five minutes too late, the plotter would have been dead, and if they had gotten the necessary information just a few minutes prior, the wife would not have been in the room.
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* ''[[Wonderfalls]]'' has the same overarching theme, with God's big Rube Goldberg device.
* [[Lampshade Hanging|Lampshaded]] in an episode of the (surprisingly good fun) 2000 series ''[[The Invisible Man (TV series)|The Invisible Man]]'' with a speech given by the hero to the recurring villain, at whose mercy he is. Having asked the villain to [[Just Shoot Him]] or at least knock him out and get on with whatever he wants to do, he launches into:
{{quote| ''What is it with all these complex plots, huh? What is it? Is it a Swiss thing, is that what it is?'' (...) ''No, no, don't defend it, please.'' (...) ''Please, will you just admit it?'' (...) ''You're ridiculous. You are! I mean, you join the Q gland design team just so you can steal the design. You... you make me think Kevin's alive so I can lead you to some files that, hey, Buddy? You could have found on your own with a little research. Then you give me the flu so I can what? Wind up in some hospital room and you can take the gland out of me? Douche. Rube Goldberg has got nothing on you, pal.''}}
* Lampshaded by the National Security Advisor in the Season 4 finale of ''[[The West Wing]]'': the terrorists' entire plan to kidnap the daughter of the President of the United States hinged, first, on her taking some of her boyfriend's Ecstasy (which had been laced with GHB) and, second, on her deciding to use the bathroom in the club before leaving.
** Her point was actually that the crime, since it relied on those variables, probably wasn't the work of a master criminal or terrorist cell, but probably some opportunistic idiots. That made a lot more sense than the eventual resolution, and since Aaron Sorkin left the show before the cliffhanger was wrapped up, that might have been its intended conclusion.
* Boyd Langton's plan in ''[[Dollhouse]]''. The goal is to have Echo repeatedly imprinted, so that her resistance to imprinting will leave chemical markers in her spinal fluid, which he can then harvest and use to create a vaccine against imprinting. To this end, he installs himself as Echo's handler on a long-term basis, without anyone else in the Dollhouse knowing who he really is. During this time, Echo is sent on several engagements that nearly get her killed, as well as one or two that nearly get ''him'' killed, and he really has no reason to be so sure that she will survive. Not only that, but he's simultaneously testing Topher and Adelle to see whether or not they're worthy to be among his 'family' that will survive after the mind-wipe apocalypse.
** Keep in mind, he didn't ''just'' want Echo for that---he admitted he really did love her and wanted her as part of his "family" too. He mentions that he had wanted all of them to "grow" through the challenges he presented. And of course, as Adelle commented: he is ''spectacularly'' insane.
* On the Reunion episode that aired immediately after the final episode of ''[[Survivor]]: China'', season winner Todd implied that everything that had happened during the show, up to and including who was selected to be on the show, was all somehow part of his master plan.
* D. Gibbons on ''[[Flash Forward]]'' is running a massive [[Gambit Roulette]]. It becomes particularly obvious when the heroes find a hidden base in Somalia and discover a 17-year-old videocassette of D. Gibbons where he addresses them by name. Then again, he's a literal [[Chessmaster]], and he has a lot of experience with seeing flashforwards of the future.
* Watch the episode of ''[[How I Met Your Mother]]'' called "The Playbook", and you'll understand.
** Potentially a subversion. At first glance, the Scuba Diver does seem to rely on an uncontrollable event and a second person performing a [[Plan]] of their own, but neither are really required. Barney did not specifically need to steal that particular girl, Lily regularly has set up Ted on dates, and any one of them could have started his plan. Lily's plan wasn't actually required, she could have just grabbed the book out of his hands and ran and Barney's plan still would have worked. Barney baited her to launch the gambit, but he didn't actually need it.
* An interesting justified version happened in the first episode of [[Sherlock]], where the murder victim used Gambit Roulette to lay out a trail of clues to help the police identify her killer. Yes, it was a roulette, but considering that she had to concoct and execute this plan within the last hour or so of her life while under the watchful eyes of her killer, it makes sense that it wasn't planned out better.
** Also, a lot of Moriarty's plans depend on this. The second series finale is the best example, with many elements apparently coming down to luck, and absolutely ''hinging'' on the police being incredibly stupid.
* Happens in ''[[Star Trek: The Next Generation]]'' episode ''The Most Toys''. Collector [[Complete Monster|Kivas Fajo]] wants to add Lt. Data to his collection. To succesfully kidnap Data and fake his accidental death, he poisons the water supply of a Federation colony with Tricyanate, making it look like a natural disaster. Because the only antidote, Hitridium, is extremely unstable, he's the only merchant in the region selling the [[Green Rocks]] needed to solve this catastrophe. Said green rocks cannot be beamed, thus they must be be shuttled over because they are highly volatile, resulting in a good cover-up for any accidental explosion of the shuttle. His plan, however, hinged on the fact that Picard would send Data on the simple job of ferrying things back and forth, and this is nothing the collector has any control over. Furthermore, Data is not even the crew's best pilot (that honor goes to Riker), and being a high ranking member of the crew, he could very well not have been available to do this ferrying job. Furthermore, the Enterprise has HUNDREDS of crewmembers Picard can choose from. Thankfully, it seems fate threw him a bone and Picard decided to pick Data for the job that day.
** Not to mention it leaned heavily on the Enterprise being the closest ship in the sector to respond to the distress call from the colony.
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*** In fact it is this precise detail (that Data, as an android, is literally incapable of blowing the ship up by accidentally pressing the wrong button) that sparks Geordi's suspicions about the "accident" in the first place and eventually leads to Fajo's plan being uncovered then ruined.
* [[Revenge (TV series)|Revenge]], on occaision. For example, Tyler's plan to break up Emily and Daniel would not have worked if Jack hadn't shown up or if Emily hadn't invited him in, things Tyler hadn't no control over. In fact, if that hadn't happened, the converstation would have gone like this:
{{quote| Emily: You are extremely late. I hope you have a good excuse. Why didn't you call?<br />
Daniel: What? Tyler told me you cancelled. I came to ask why.<br />
Emily: Well, he lied.<br />
Both: *fume*<br />
Tyler: *dead man walking* }}
* Spoofed in an episode of the [[The Frantics|Frantics]]' sketch comedy show ''Four on the Floor''. Burglars are breaking into an office building. As they close in on the safe that is their target, the ringleader accurately predicts a series of improbable events including the night watchman having a fatal heart attack, a flying priest passing the office window, and a door-to-door dynamite salesman happening to be in the area. Each time, the leader smirks and tells his cohort, "Just like I planned it!"
 
 
== [[Multiple Media]] ==
* Spoofed in an episode of the [[The Frantics|Frantics]]' sketch comedy show ''Four on the Floor''. Burglars are breaking into an office building. As they close in on the safe that is their target, the ringleader accurately predicts a series of improbable events including the night watchman having a fatal heart attack, a flying priest passing the office window, and a door-to-door dynamite salesman happening to be in the area. Each time, the leader smirks and tells his cohort, "Just like I planned it!"
* In [[LEGO]]'s ''[[Bionicle]]'' universe, the main villain of every story year so far, Makuta Teridax, has been defeated several times, but has revealed that he has, in fact, ''planned'' for every possible setback ahead of time. The [[Gambit Roulette]] is still turning, in fact, as he planned for all of the following to happen: the destruction of his own body, the death of the benevolent Great Spirit Mata Nui, the subsequent resurrection of said spirit, the rest of the world believing him dead... And the odd thing is, he seems to be the only one. There seems to be no [[Gambit Pileup]] coming, no (glaringly obvious) [[Deus Ex Machina]], just a slow slide towards his victory, trying to keep him from winning as long as possible. Quite dark for a [[Merchandise-Driven]] children's story. It went [[Death Note|exactly as planned]]. Makuta committed [[Grand Theft Me]] on Mata Nui just as his soul was about to return to his body, becoming the universe as a result and banishing Mata Nui into a [[Soul Jar]] and out of the Matoran Universe
** Indirectly lampshaded when he discussed the matter with Vakama: "Little Toa, you have not yet begun to see even the barest outlines of my plans. I have schemes within schemes that would boggle your feeble mind. You may counter one, but there are a thousand more of which you know nothing. Even my ... setbacks ... are planned for, and so I shall win in the end."
** Well, he hasn't planned for ''every'' possible setback, but instead tended to adapt to the situation. Throwing the fight against Takanuva was likely improvised as a way to get the heroes off his back. Getting crushed by a huge gate at the end of that confrontation was definitely ''not'' part of The Plan, according to [[Word of God]] but it didn't hurt too much as he was going to abandon his body in the end anyway.
** Piraka Zaktan has actually seen the full plan, and keeps it in mind. This has allowed the heroes to actually work towards foiling it, as Zaktan is now a captive of the heroes, guiding them to Teridax's current supposed location. Of course, Zaktan is a Chessmaster of a sort, as well, and is treacherous to a fault, so there is no way of knowing whether he's speaking truthfully, or just waiting to betray them. Doesn't really matter now that Makuta made [[Your Head Asplode|his head a splode]].
 
 
== Mythology ==
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* In [[Norse Mythology]] Óðinn is engaging in one to delay the coming of [[Apocalypse How|Ragnarök]] and possibly beat it. [[Magnificent Bastard|This includes instigating wars between the nations and tribes of Miðgarðr to ensure there is a steady supply of warriors for the Valkyrjr to pick up for Valhöll so He has a good army for the final battle. He also spends a lot of time wandering the Nine Worlds for information about Ragnarök from any source He can find including giants.]] [[Justified Trope|Justified]] in that He gave one eye for wisdom of the future and hung Himself from the [[World Tree]] to gain the wisdom of the runes for use to the same end.
** It potentially gets even more intricate. There is a fairly common theory that Odin and Loki are the same entity.
 
 
== [[Professional Wrestling]] ==
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* In [[TNA]], the recent Eric Bischoff / [[Hulk Hogan]] angle paints the both as cunning schemers of Machiavellian levels though many elements of their scheme ([[Jeff Hardy]] being able to make it to the World Title Tournament finals & Dixie Carter foolishly signing a contract without even ''looking'' at it) would completely unravel the scheme if it had not gone precisely in their favor, requiring the conspirators to either be insanely lucky or nigh-omniscient.
** There is also the fact that they had plenty of opportunities to get the World title on either [[Jeff Hardy]] or Abyss that were much more convenient than the Triple Threat match at ''Bound for Glory''. For example, at ''Victory Road'' 2010, there was a Fatal Four Way match involving Jeff Hardy vs. Abyss vs. Mr. Anderson vs. [[Rob Van Dam]], or at ''The Whole F'n Show'' where they had Abyss vs. [[Rob Van Dam]] with Eric Bischoff as the guest referee.
** That's not even mentioning the fact that [[Kevin Nash]], [[Wrestler/Sting (wrestling)|Sting]], and The Pope had figured out the plot (or at least a general idea of what would happen), but instead of politely informing Dixie Carter or the TNA fans of what would happen, they started talking in riddles and attacking people without any given reason to the point where they became heels in the storyline. They even challenged [[Hulk Hogan]] to be a part of a match against him on the date of the reveal, even though he was recovering from major back surgery. Had Nash, Sting, and Pope acted like mature adults in the storyline, the Gambit Roulette would have probably failed.
** What's particularly strange is that, unlike what you might think, they actually did nothing to help [[Jeff Hardy]] win the title. When it comes to something that your plan hinges on this way, you'd think they would actually do something to make sure it happened.
* The Higher Power plot involving the [[Ministry of Darkness]] was started MONTHS before their slated goal was even needed, depended on their target acting very much out of character, and disregarded simpler, much more assured ways to accompllish their purpose.
 
== [[MultipleTabletop MediaGames]] ==
 
* The [[Eldritch Abomination|chaos god]] Tzeentch, also known as the Architect of Fates and the Great Schemer, is the ''[[Warhammer Fantasy Battle]]'' and ''[[Warhammer 4000040,000]]'' god of [[Gambit Roulette|Gambit roulettes]] and literally lives for pulling the strings of reality in increasingly implausible and intricate ways - in fact, because such scheming is such an intricate part of its being, Tzeentch is virtually ''incapable'' of doing things straight. Even the other gods step carefully around Tzeentch because of this, which is probably just what it planned anyhow. Tzeentch's C'tan counterpart the Deceiver has been pulling some pretty twisty stuff too and it is not very clear how far each is playing the other. To a much lesser extent, the Eldar Seers have pulled off less ambitious ones - like engineering Ghazghkull Mag Uruk Thraka's rise to Warboss and indirectly causing the last two wars for Armageddon, with billions of human lives lost, just to avoid an Ork attack on a Craftworld many years down the line.
== Tabletop Games ==
* The [[Eldritch Abomination|chaos god]] Tzeentch, also known as the Architect of Fates and the Great Schemer, is the ''[[Warhammer]]'' and ''[[Warhammer 40000]]'' god of [[Gambit Roulette|Gambit roulettes]] and literally lives for pulling the strings of reality in increasingly implausible and intricate ways - in fact, because such scheming is such an intricate part of its being, Tzeentch is virtually ''incapable'' of doing things straight. Even the other gods step carefully around Tzeentch because of this, which is probably just what it planned anyhow. Tzeentch's C'tan counterpart the Deceiver has been pulling some pretty twisty stuff too and it is not very clear how far each is playing the other. To a much lesser extent, the Eldar Seers have pulled off less ambitious ones - like engineering Ghazghkull Mag Uruk Thraka's rise to Warboss and indirectly causing the last two wars for Armageddon, with billions of human lives lost, just to avoid an Ork attack on a Craftworld many years down the line.
** [[Fan Wank|Some fans]] theorize the [[God-Emperor]] of Mankind planned out his necessity for life support, to better make the Imperium worship him, which helps humanity weaken Chaos (as faith weakens them).
*** Reinforced with the presence of tarot cards being used by Inquisitors to help determine the Emperor's will with a great deal of implication towards this being the case as the emperor's mind had to fracture to cope with ruling the Imperium as his body lays dieing. Some of the books even show aspects of the emperor's mind(s) even disagreeing showing that not all of them are in communion with eachother. Or are they? Meaning no one is really sure what the Emperor's plans and thoughts could be. Probably not even Tzeentch. This has led to a running joke in 4chan's /tg/ boards of the Emperor, Tzeentch and the Deciever getting together every saturday and having Gambit poker.
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*** All of the Chaos gods generally teeter towards facepalming suicide. Tzeentch may be the only one to actually realize it and keeps them in check. It's stated somewhere that, if left to do as they please, any of the chaos gods would totally destroy the known universe and existence as we know it.
*** Regardless of his ultimate purpose his most famous and abysmal failures are at the hands of a bunch of intoxicated, overstuffed, oversexed, genetically engineered, battle lusting, werewolfish, space vikings. In your face biatch. HOWL.
*** Worth noting that the attack on Prospero was in itself one of his [[Plan|Plans]]s. First, he lets Magnus, one of the most powerful psykers in the universe forsee a future where the Imperium is destroyed, causing Magnus to break his word, his father to turn against him and all of this before anybody even knew he existed. Second, he allows Magnus and his legion of psykers to get the crap kicked out of them so they had no choice to turn to him for aid. Third, he causes them to use the Rubric, resulting in his now faithful legion of Supersoldiers being literally nothing but [[Gambit Speed Chess]] playing psykers or their mindless servants.
** And remember kids, in ''this'' universe, this guy is the god of ''Hope''...
* Let's talk [[Exalted|Sidereals]], shall we? As they have access to the [[Loom Of Fate]], they have the power to observe the tiniest workings of Fate and all its potential consequences. Moreover, they can subtly alter fate more or less by ''[[Celestial Bureaucracy|filling out the right paperwork.]]'' As such, they have a bad tendency of putting forth [[Plan|Plans]]s and Roulettes with disturbing frequency.
** And yet they're still not as bad as their employers. The Maidens of Fate seem to order baffling orders to their servants, who just go along with it because [[A God Am I|who's going to argue?]] [[Organization Index|The Bureau of Oversight]] is just as bad, often giving Sidereals assignments like "Make sure the princess is wearing white at the ball next Thursday" or "replace a rose in a garden with a lily" or "move the chair four inches to the left."
*** Both of these groups, however, have the supernatural powers and influences to make sure they can see the full consequences of these gambits in advance, and/or adjust fate itself to pre-ordain them. It's a gambit roulette to outsiders, but fairly predictable daily business for them.
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* In ''[[Magic: The Gathering]]'', the ancient [[Magnificent Bastard]] planeswalker dragon Nicol Bolas subtly pulls strings behind the scenes to unseal the Eye of Ugin and release the Eldrazi for reasons known only to himself. When his henchman Sarkhan Vol asks how he managed to set up the exact circumstances to unlock the seal, Bolas admits that he merely set up as much as he could and relied on chance for the rest.
** Speaking of which, in the actual game it is possible to pull off one of your own with Genesis (not tournament-legal) and a green/white Kamigawa deck that contains among other things, Kodama of the Center Tree. Just discard Genesis, and have enough green and white lands to summon most cards. If your foe has enchantments or artifacts, cycling one of the spirit cards destroys them (there's even one to prevent damage, Kami of the False Hope). If your enemy relies on multiple attackers, you can soulshift Kodama of the Center Tree to pull them out of your grave. If you need to have a heavy hitter, you can pull Kodama out of your grave. Then you can use Genesis to put it back in your deck. There are random outcomes that can cause you to lose (the opponent has a speed deck, you don't draw genesis or enough lands), but normally no matter what you do or is done to you, you can have some option to win.
* The Quori in ''[[Eberron]]'' frequently pull off this kind of plan, and the game offers a really good explanation as to how: in addition to being super-intelligent [[Eldritch Abomination|Eldritch Abominations]]s, the Quori frequently return to their home plane to plot, where [[Year Inside, Hour Outside]] is in effect. This essentially means that they have ''weeks'' to plan their next move while a single night passes on the Material Plane.
* The Temporal Probability Agency is all about this. A sentient computer sends information back in time to itself from all possible time lines in order to best instruct their agents on how to save the world. Agents get odd little instructions, like 'Save this plane from terrorists. Also, spill a drink on the captain.'
 
== [[Theatre and Stage Shows]] ==
 
* In his fourth tour, ''Enigma'' (2009-102009–10), British illusionist and mentalist Derren Brown pulls one off spectacularly, with the set-up lasting the entire show:
== Theatre and Stage Shows ==
* In his fourth tour, ''Enigma'' (2009-10), British illusionist and mentalist Derren Brown pulls one off spectacularly, with the set-up lasting the entire show:
** At the beginning, he gives a man in the audience an envelope containing a card and tells him not to open it.
** At the interval, he asks the audience to vote for a choice of seven cards: a goose, confetti, ice-cream, a moose, an egg, a needle, and apple juice.
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** And finally, he says "[[But Wait! There's More!]]", and reveals the main reason he called the tour ''Enigma'' back in ''2007'': it's an acronym of all six cards in the order. Cue the final set of gasps and standing ovations.
 
== [[Toys]] ==
* In [[LEGO]]'s ''[[Bionicle]]'' universe, the main villain of every story year so far, Makuta Teridax, has been defeated several times, but has revealed that he has, in fact, ''planned'' for every possible setback ahead of time. The [[Gambit Roulette]] is still turning, in fact, as he planned for all of the following to happen: the destruction of his own body, the death of the benevolent Great Spirit Mata Nui, the subsequent resurrection of said spirit, the rest of the world believing him dead... And the odd thing is, he seems to be the only one. There seems to be no [[Gambit Pileup]] coming, no (glaringly obvious) [[Deus Ex Machina]], just a slow slide towards his victory, trying to keep him from winning as long as possible. Quite dark for a [[Merchandise-Driven]] children's story. It went [[Death Note|exactly as planned]]. Makuta committed [[Grand Theft Me]] on Mata Nui just as his soul was about to return to his body, becoming the universe as a result and banishing Mata Nui into a [[Soul Jar]] and out of the Matoran Universe
** Indirectly lampshaded when he discussed the matter with Vakama: "Little Toa, you have not yet begun to see even the barest outlines of my plans. I have schemes within schemes that would boggle your feeble mind. You may counter one, but there are a thousand more of which you know nothing. Even my ... setbacks ... are planned for, and so I shall win in the end."
** Well, he hasn't planned for ''every'' possible setback, but instead tended to adapt to the situation. Throwing the fight against Takanuva was likely improvised as a way to get the heroes off his back. Getting crushed by a huge gate at the end of that confrontation was definitely ''not'' part of The Plan, according to [[Word of God]] but it didn't hurt too much as he was going to abandon his body in the end anyway.
** Piraka Zaktan has actually seen the full plan, and keeps it in mind. This has allowed the heroes to actually work towards foiling it, as Zaktan is now a captive of the heroes, guiding them to Teridax's current supposed location. Of course, Zaktan is a Chessmaster of a sort, as well, and is treacherous to a fault, so there is no way of knowing whether he's speaking truthfully, or just waiting to betray them. Doesn't really matter now that Makuta made [[Your Head Asplode|his head a splode]].
 
== [[Video Games]] ==
* In ''[[Shadow of Destiny]]'' the Homunculi arranged all the events in hopes of being free of the bonds of the game put on it leading to multiple endings including Discovering Eikre is actually the Alchemist from centuries ago , discovering the girl in modern times is actually the centuries old daughter and the real daughter was trapped back in time , and other things. However after all play throughs Eikre can use the players own knowledge and choose bonus ending A. Causing a paradox by making the homuncili touch the gem and destroying it thus ending it's Gambit roulette or bonus ending b Giving the alchemist the knowlledge and means to save his dying wife Either ending ends with Eikre fading away and then in modern times a man looking like him getting hit in the back like in the beginning of the game but instead of a knife he turns to see it's a soccer ball and the boy who kicked it turns out to be a descendant of the boy who was trying to kill him but now since none of that happened everyones happy... cept the homunculi
* In the ''[[Marathon Trilogy|Marathon]]'' games, [[AIA.I. Is a Crapshoot|AIs who have gone Rampant]] tend to make these kind of plans.
* Both 3D [[Play StationPlayStation 2]] ''[[Castlevania]]'' games have plots that sneak suspiciously close to this. ''Lament of Innocence'' more so than ''Curse of Darkness'', as in ''Curse of Darkness'' {{spoiler|Dracula}} is wirepulling everything from behind the scenes, and there's perhaps only one character he has no major influence over - Julia. Anyhow, Isaac's devious and original scheme is ''Dracula's'' devious and original scheme. Hector even spells it out in the end. ''Lament of Innocence'' sees Mathias playing some serious hardcore roulette, and it's actually quite terrifying to see how much of a 'Master tactician' he is. For that plan to work, everything would have had to unfold exactly as it does in the game. Which it does. He is a scary, scary man.
* ''[[City of Heroes]]'' has a Doctor Doom-esque villain named Nemesis who takes this to an extreme in almost every encounter. In a single story arc, he tricks the hero into defeating some neo-fascists that ''looked'' like they were going to take over his infrastructure, just to save himself the bother; predicts that your contact will believe Nemesis's real plan was to take over the neo-fascists' robot army and send you to prevent that, while he proceeds with a kidnapping; and wraps it all up by having you supposedly ''[[Not Quite Dead|kill]]'' him - even though, as a superhero, you may have never killed anyone else before (and indeed are explicitly prevented from doing so by the game mechanics), and despite his well-known use of countless robot doubles. Your Contact actually comments on this, noting that his death should have been impossible, speculating that Nemesis's real objectives were twofold, first to throw the heroes off his trail by faking his death, giving him breathing room to implement ''more'' plots, and second and most importantly, to get ahold of the technology from the kidnapped person to enable him to create perfect mechanical duplicates of ''his own mind'', resulting in the annoying prospect of having to deal with an endless supply of super-intelligent mechanical jackass villains. Finally, many heroes might have preferred Nemesis's power-base to be taken over by virtually anyone that wasn't quite so good with the [[Gambit Roulette]]. (It should be noted that this is far from Nemesis's most convoluted scheme.)
** Oh, it gets better when you find out that he engineered the Rikti war.
** Apparently, he invented time travel as well. Still, his [[Paper-Thin Disguise]] leads to some doubt: Nemesis ''never'' moves that openly. So, is he genuinely apologetic for unleashing [[The End of the World as We Know It]] or is this a part of an even more elaborate scheme?
** One of the [[Loading Screen]] hints is "Everything is a Nemesis Plot." Another hint is "Not everything is a Nemesis Plot." Also he was apparently Emperor of the US after [[World War II]] (his reign was brief, however.)
*** More recently, following Issue 14: Architect: "If it's not already a Nemesis plot, you can use the Mission Architect to make it one."
* The ''[[Metal Gear Solid]]'' series is rife with [[Gambit Roulette|Gambit Roulettes]], but ''[[Metal Gear Solid]] 2'' takes the cake, though, with a plot so staggeringly convoluted that the bad guys reveal they didn't really ''have'' a goal. It was a test run to see how good they were at manipulating events. Surprisingly the bad guys are still in control long after they reveal their plot. Only the previous game's player character and his dead brother's arm have any freedom. It's a symbolism thing, honest. [[Mind Screw|Unless it's not.]]
** ''[[Metal Gear]] Solid 4'' is the pinnacle of this insanity, revealing the Liquid Snake "possession" was in fact an elaborate ruse by Revolver Ocelot (through self-hypnosis and nanomachines), who was working on bringing down the Patriots (A series of [[A Is]]) in order to free Big Boss. The kicker? From shortly after the end of MGS2 until thirty seconds before his death five years Ocelot's personality was completely dominated by Liquid's, preventing him from being able to alter any part of his plan once it was put into effect.
*** It's beyond that in complexity. Ocelot actually pretends that Liquid's arm took over his personality by self-suggestion in order to trick the Patriots into believing he was a similar threat as Liquid Snake in ''Metal Gear Solid 1'', so the Patriots would pull their own [[Plan]] to use Snake to defeat Ocelot, which is what he exactly planned for, as they became so focused on defeating Ocelot that they failed to realize that [[Mind Screw|in the course of defeating him Snake would also end up destroying the Patriots]].
* Bian Zoldark from ''[[Super Robot Wars]]: Original Generation'' tried this. It was subverted by the fact that he was able to do it while still in control of his organization, but once he died as part of his master scheme, his own group fell to factional in-fighting and nearly doomed it.
* In ''[[Super Paper Mario]]'' for the Nintendo Wii, Dimentio has been orchestrating events all along as part of the [[Quirky Miniboss Squad]] so that after the hero's prophesied defeat of the [[Big Bad]] Count Bleck, he could take over the power needed to destroy the universe, channel it through one of the heroes, Luigi, to destroy and recreate the universe.
* In ''[[Chrono Cross]]'' the entire plot is the result of multiple sides manipulating each other into doing their bidding. But it turns out, the manipulators are also being manipulated. And so are the manipulators of the manipulators. Now throw in [[Time Travel]] and [[Alternate Universe|Alternate Universes]]s and you see how overcomplicated this actually gets.
* The entire underlying plot behind ''[[Fire Emblem]]: Path of Radiance'' is a twenty-something year-old [[Gambit Roulette]] centered around Lehran's Medallion and channeling power into it by thrusting the entire continent into a war, so that Ashnard could release the Dark God.
** And in the sequel, ''Radiant Dawn'', it is revealed that Ashnard was but a pawn in an even ''larger'' roulette, orchestrated by none other than Lehran himself, who turned out to be Sephiran, the Prime Minister of Bengion, and a major ally in Path of Radiance. He wanted the "Dark God," Yune (who's actually rather nice, if a tad rude) to be released, only because this would also wake up her sister, Ashera, the Goddess of order, who would then cleanse the world of all life.
* In ''[[Jade Empire]]'', Master Sun Li, the Glorious Strategist, pulls off a twenty year Gambit Roulette to put himself in power by training the main character so that only he knows how to kill him/her, yet keeping him/her loyal, letting him/her kill the emperor after baiting him/her to that point, and then killing the main character and taking the throne. If you replay the game you can see all the points where he was manipulating things. Also lampshaded by the Spirit Monk while talking to the soldier in Tien's Landing when s/he comments that "he couldn't possibly have known that the flyer was going to crash here" (or something to that effect).
* Onaga's manipulation of Shujinko to revive him in ''[[Mortal Kombat: Deception]]'' can certainly qualify.
** As well as Argus's plan to prevent [[The End of the World as We Know It]] in ''[[Mortal Kombat Armageddon]]''.
* In the higher stages of [[Kirby]]'s [[Spin-Off|Avalanche]], a computer will, despite all of your disruption tactics, somehow ''always'' manage to pull off an Avalanche (a chain of 9 or greater) if you don't beat them in [[Harder Than Hard|under two minutes]].
* Master Albert from the ''[[Mega Man ZX]]'' series may have broken a record for the longest-running single [[Gambit Roulette]] (in video games, at least), in order to reset the world and ''[[A God Am I|become its god.]]'' He even threw a couple of gambits into the mix. And it all conspired over a couple of centuries. It didn't quite work out, considering {{spoiler|he was fighting his great-great-great granddaughter/spare body, with the biometal with the same powers as he}}, but even then, he doesn't seem to care anyway.
** Oh, and he said "Just as I planned." Talk about a [[Magnificent Bastard]].
** ZX actually has TWO Roulette records - Master Thomas planned out his own Gambit Roulette to kill off Albert so he could do his own scheme to reset the world. It may or may not have gone on for as long as Albert's, but that's not the point. This marks the first [[Gambit Roulette]] being designed to destroy ANOTHER [[Gambit Roulette]]... And the most remarkable thing about it, is that it ''worked.''
** [[It Got Worse|It may be ''even more complicated'', actually]]. [[Complete Monster|Dr. Weil]], the [[Big Bad]] from the [[Mega Man Zero]] series, is the one who inhabited [[Artifact of Doom|Model W]], the object of each ZX villain's desire. There is a good chance that he still lives on as Model W, and has in fact [[Gambit Pileup|manipulated EVERYONE]] from behind the scenes. Of course, ZX Advent seems to culminate in the total destruction of Model W, but then again, who knows?
* ''[[Legacy of Kain]]''. Possibly justified in that most of the players involved either have access to time travel, or happen to be an omniscient squid god.
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* ''[[Nintendo Wars|Battalion Wars 2]]'' provides a fine example of this.In an attempt to recover a lost superweapon, Kaiser Vlad manipulates the news to cause the Anglo Isles to attack the Solar Empire. When the Anglo Isles retreats, the Solar Empire launches a counter-attack, and asks the Tundran Territories to help them. While everyone is busy with that, Vlad launches a full scale invasion of Tundra, fights his way to the far north, locates and mines the super weapon, and tries to run away. [[You Can't Thwart Stage One|Of course, everything goes as planned,]] until that last step. The allied nations crush his armies, attack his mining spider, and in the end, Vlad and Kommandt Ubel end up trapped in a mine shaft.
** What's really maddening is that Vlad Doesn't invade Tundra until ''After'' they pull out of the Isles.
* Gambit Roulettes are the entire ''modus operandi'' of the Alchemists in ''[[Melty Blood]]'', to varying degrees of success. Apparently, all the really experienced alchemists planned so far ahead that they noticed the inevitable end of the world, and set about trying to stop it. However, everything they do just makes it worse (they've developed an impressive collection of doomsday weapons designed to stop all the other doomsday weapons that they themselves have made). It's implied that saving the world would require the realization of the impossible, which is why at least one alchemist (who managed to set up a [[Gambit Roulette]] wherein ''the particles of his soul would not-quite-randomly come back together after being scattered into the [[The Lifestream]] and bring him back to life every so often'') is seeking the 6th sorcery (sorcery being defined as that which realizes the impossible), which could save the world.
* [[Magnificent Bastard|Admiral Aken Bosch]] does this to both the [[The Federation|Galactic Terran-Vasudan Alliance]] and his own rebel organization, [[The Revolution Will Not Be Civilized|Neo-Terran Front]]. The entire rebellion is just a smokescreen to hide his true goal of obtaining old documents and schematics from the archives of Galactic Terran Alliance to build a machine called ETAK capable of translating the Shivan [[Starfish Language]], and then plundering Vasudan archaeology sites to acquire [[Precursors|Ancient]] texts and artifacts so he can activate the Knossos portal and use his ETAK device to speak to the [[Starfish Aliens|Shivans]] and forge an alliance with them.]] And he actually ''succeeds'', because he also knows that the Alliance Intelligence ''wants'' him to succeed, meaning that several attempts to intercept him "mysteriously" fail.
* Gizel Godwin in ''[[Suikoden V]]'' loves this kind of trope, to the point where he often runs two or three plans at once just to see what will stick. His father actually advises him ''against'' this method, arguing that intrigue should be done decisively to minimise the risk of an unintended consquence. He is ultimately proven to be right: although one of his schemes during the Sacred Games is successful, the fallout from the failed schemes generates a great deal of ill-will towards the Godwins. {{spoiler|This sets the tone for Gizel's haphazard conduct during the war, which slowly turns public opinion against him and allows the Prince to stage a successful coup}}.
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*** Now Xenosaga makes a lot more sense.
* ''[[Star Fox Adventures]]'' has Andross's plan to revive himself. As explained at the end, he learned of the power of the Krazoa spirits on Dinosaur Planet, as well as Krystal's ability to channel their power, then had her trapped a crystal so that as Fox returned the other spirits, their power would be channeled through Krystal to revive him. So he had to [[The Man Behind the Man|manipulate]] General Scales into pushing Krystal into the Krazoa spirit's breath's path, which trapped her in a crystal that would channel the spirit's energy, and more importantly somehow know both that Krystal would arrive on the planet and that she had the ability to channel energy... although of course, we have no idea how omniscient evil ape ghosts really are.
* As it turns out, almost everything that happened during ''[[StarcraftStarCraft]] 1'' and Brood War was just one epic [[Gambit Roulette]] by The Overmind. The Overmind was created by the Xel'Naga to control the zerg swarms, but [[Big Bad|The Dark One]] made sure it was made "with consciousness but without free will" and compelled to destroy the protoss. The Overmind (presumably by virtue of being a mountain-sized brain) had a vision of the future telling it that if it didn't do something to change the course of events then all its zerg children would become food for the menacing [[The Dragon|hybrids]], so - it infested Kerrigan, the most powerful psychic it could find, to give her the potential to control the zerg, then engineered its own death so that the zerg would be released from its control and into Kerrigan's, but not before making its prophecy available for Zeratul to reach, letting Zeratul know that they needed to use [[MacGuffin|the artifacts]] on Kerrigan so that she'd be freed from the same overriding compulsions that had ruled The Overmind, and also letting them know that they must not kill her. This would then rob the hybrids of their ability to control the zerg and use them to destroy all the other factions and bring about [[The End of the World as We Know It|the end of the universe]]. That's a pretty epic gamble right there.
** The plan's actually more simple, if you assume it's [[Xanatos Speed Chess]].
*** Overmind develops Kerrigan to replace him. Problem: He's still controlling her.
**** Solution: Make himself vulnerable. She takes over, she can defy the hybrids. Unfortunately, she's still an evil bitch.
**** After death, the spirit of the Overmind lives on...and lets Zeratul know the plan,, and reveals the artifact.
* [[Umineko no Naku Koro ni|Kinzo's]] ability to use magic seems to rely on this.
** As EP7 reveals, Kinzo's true plan with the epitaph is that it was ''made'' to be solved by one person - Yasu. It was all a big gamble in order to get Yasu to forgive him. There's a ''reason'' why the inscription above the chapel says "You will only be blessed at a probability of a [[Million-to-One Chance|quadrillion to one]]." [[Spanner in the Works|Except he probably didn't count on any of the siblings being able to solve the epitaph's riddle.]]
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* In ''[[.hack GU Games|.hack//G.U.]]'', {{spoiler|[[Magnificent Bastard|Ovan]]}}'s plan is this. His plan relies entirely on getting Haseo to fight ''all'' of the other Avatars, something which could have been rendered impossible by any number of circumstances (What would've happened if an epitaph user simply decided to stop playing the game?). He even [[Lampshade Hanging|lampshades]] this near the end; {{spoiler|when Yata asks him if everything that's happened was all part of his plan, Ovan responds that all of it was pure chance.}}
* ''[[G Senjou no Maou]]'' gives us one in the form of the devil, [[Magnificent Bastard|Maou]]. Every one of his plans require that everyone acts exactly how he knows them to act. A single misstep would bring down the entire scheme. This culminates in his last giant trap: {{spoiler|creating a blockade and making it a hell on earth all to get his father out of prison}}. It should also be noted that despite this, he ''still'' manages to weasel himself out of sticky situations by playing [[Gambit Speed Chess]] with the protagonists.
* In ''[[Rainbow Six]] Vegas'', Gabriel Nowak--oneNowak—one of your allies--turnsallies—turns out to be the mastermind behind an assault on the entirety of Las Vegas by an army of mercenary terrorists, in order to distract the authorities and assault a hidden military complex under a dam suspiciously like Hoover Dam, in order to steal prototype weaponry. How does he convince the good-guys he is on their side? He participates in an operation where he is captured by terrorists. In the first game, after being captured, he is rescued by other members of Rainbow. In the middle of the escape, the team gets into a firefight, then leaves him behind, later revealing that he is the bad-guy when he manages to steal a Rainbow helicopter and is either shot down or just crashes it. In ''Vegas 2'', he apparently was released before his "rescue" in order to masquerade as an NSA agent supporting ''yet another'' Rainbow team--twoteam—two members of which were in the team that rescues him--beforehim—before going back to the casino where he is "held captive", then goes back pretending to be an NSA Agent in order to fool his former mentor and fellow Rainbow member, Bishop and bump off an underling, one of the terrorist leaders. In addition to being a heist plan who's complexity surpases that of something cooked up by Danny Ocean, it requires absolutely ''everything'' to go exactly to plan. And all the while, he is simultaneously at huge risk for getting mistaken as an escaped hostage or an NSA Agent and shot by his own mooks, getting blown up in his own capture or dying in the helicopter crash (you can just shoot it down, but if you don't it seems like he did it intentionally). It's also worth mentioning that he also did the attack on Vegas to take two scientists from the WMD project hostage, ''knowing'' they would be rescued so they could be sent back to the compound under the dam...to be taken hostage ''again'' in the attack on the dam! The odds that he would not get killed trying to do this--neverthis—never mind getting away with it--areit—are astronomical. But he ''does''...nearly. But hey, it's [[Viva Las Vegas|Vegas, baby]]!...*sigh* [[I Need a Freaking Drink]] after typing that...
 
 
== [[Web Art]] ==
* This motivational poster is part of Aizen's plan - http://browse.deviantart.com/?q=motivational&order=9&offset=24#/d2lvs4q
 
 
== [[Web Comics]] ==
* At the end of the "Professor Madblood and the Doppelganger Gambit" arc in ''[[Narbonic]]'', Helen claims the whole chaotic sequence of events was her plan. As the series goes on, it's hinted that she plans a great deal more than typically believed - Artie at one point suspects everything about him was engineered so that he could save Helen's life at one crucial, impossible-to-predict moment. Of course, Helen ''is'' a megalomaniac (albeit an extremely cute one), so some or all of this could be from her own self-aggrandizing. Indeed, in another comic, she explicitly claims a fondness for the [[Indy Ploy]] approach: "It's times like these I almost question my usual strategy of doing whatever dumb thing pops into my head."
* From ''Daily Victim'' by Dave "Fargo" Kosak, the features [https://web.archive.org/web/20100728192257/http://archive.gamespy.com/dailyvictim/index.asp?id=527 "Okay man, listen up: I've developed a 32-step program designed to get my hot girlfriend into cosplay,"] where the focus character tries to get his girlfriend to like dressing up without realizing that she's being manipulated, and [https://web.archive.org/web/20100728192303/http://archive.gamespy.com/dailyvictim/index.asp?id=648 "My 6-month plan to get my hot girlfriend into cosplay has colossally backfired"], where his plan has worked ''too well'', and he needs to wean her off of her obsession via an equally circuitous scheme.
** And then there's the system administrator who [https://web.archive.org/web/20100813114308/http://archive.gamespy.com/dailyvictim/index.asp?id=356 always has a backup plan]: "You see, you never want to fake a major organ failure to hijack an ambulance to a concert where you falsify medical documents and sneak into the trunk of your friend's car in a Spider-Man costume unless you're PREPARED for the eventuality that someone might get hurt if the car slams into a deer."
* Near the end of ''[[Walkyverse|It's Walky]]'', a [[We Can Rule Together]] speech by Penny and (presumably correct) extrapolation by Alan reveal that Dargon founded SEMME in the ''seventies'' specifically to gather abductees and Martian technology, the former to be given just this [[We Can Rule Together]] speech, the latter in anticipation of SEMME's eventual disbandment and the resultant scattering of Martian technology to military centers around the world. The latter event, by the way, was ''thirty years later'' and contingent on an HA caper they couldn't possibly have predicted, itself following his ''death and resurrection''. If either Dargon or Penny had lived long enough, we might have seen what, exactly, they planned to do with the world's military infrastructure destroyed.
** The trope was actually ''parodied'' near the beginning of the strip:
{{quote| '''Head Alien''': ''Nothing'' happens that I haven't designed. Do you understand?<br />
'''Alien Mook''': N'Sync?<br />
'''Head Alien''': [dejected] I was careless. }}
* The entire Bird "conspiracy" in the webcomic ''[[Kevin and Kell]]''. Too long to explain, but it implies giving somebody super powers, [[Time Travel]], The Y2K bug, and locking an odd couple in a room.
* ''[[Dominic Deegan]]'', with his limited ability to [[Omniscient Morality License|see the future]], plays [[The Chessmaster]] in almost every arc, manipulating events to [[Serial Escalation|a more ridiculous degree each time]]. By the Snowsong arc, he's stepped into [[Gambit Roulette]] territory even ''considering'' his powers, albeit mitigated by some minor setbacks.
** The mindgames the Travorias play on one another throughout the series would count as [[Gambit Roulette|Gambit Roulettes]]...except that they nearly always ''fail''.
* Averted in ''[[Girl Genius]]'', where a character is able to work out that a conspiracy against [[The Empire]] won't be coming after its incapacitated ruler because his being crippled couldn't possibly have been planned by them.
* A really stupid example, or even possibly a parody of this trope is ''[[Bob and George]]'' in it's entirety. The whole series just being a gigantic set up for their mom to make George stop being a too much of a pussy to fight, and kill Bob if he got out of hand. And the last few years being a bet between the Helmeted Author and Author to see if George would shoot Bob or not based on Gambit Roulettes between Bob and George themselves where George merged with the Shadowy Author and Bob was merged with the Helmeted Author, and manipulated certain aspects of their final meeting, that were in truth being manipulated by the author characters (even when the author characters WEREN'T using their "author powers" to alter fate and such, thus why it was bet.)
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** On the non-[[Eldritch Abomination]] front, Terezi is good at this as well. Though again, somewhat justified- she's [[Blind Seer|the Seer of Mind]], so she can predict the outcomes and effects of the choices of individuals.
* Freefall: Sam Starfall's favorite master plan is to simply imply he HAS a master plan, then let his victims make up the details....
* In ''[[El Goonish Shive]]'', Magus needs Ellen to zap Elliot with her [[Gender Bender]] ray. His plans range from the "slightly implausible" (he orchestrated the entire sequence of events that led up to Ellen's "[[Opposite SexGender Clone|birth]]") to the completely ridiculous (planning to amplify Ellen's desire for pepper in order to make her sneeze and accidentally zap Elliot).
{{quote| '''Magus:''' [[Lampshade Hanging|Wow, I really am desperate for a plan]].}}
** Chaos has more of these (and in fact was involved in some of Magus'). Justified in her case, since she's practically omniscient and ''[[Prescience Is Predictable|bored]]''. She wants things as random as possible because its more fun that way.
 
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* Played with in [[The Defrosters]]. In episode 9, Pixel Girl implies that she is working on a [[Plan]] to stop Pixel Boy from playing World of Warcraft. She and James even mention TV Tropes as they debate the differences between a Gambit Roulette and a [[Xanatos Gambit]].
* Obscure example, but in [[Avatar: The Abridged Series|GanXingba]]'s [http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vhVPxYCXeRA Avatar: TAS], a comment is made mocking Zhao's- and Light's (Death Note) -ability to have plans that rely on perfect timing and actions they shouldn't be able to see coming.
{{quote| '''Zhao:''' (Speaking of Zhao's denial of use of the Yu Yan Archers) Well darn, it looks like I'm out of luck barring a sudden promotion, like the one arriving right now.<br />
'''Colonel Shinu:''' What!? There's no way you could have timed this down to the second!<br />
'''Zhao:''' Of course I can. I went to the Light Yagami School of Strategy. I can practically predict the future. }}
* Mentioned extensively in [http://www.cracked.com/article_16848_6-most-pointlessly-elaborate-movie-murder-plots.html Cracked.com's 6 Most Pointlessly Elaborate Movie Murder Plots].
* The purple and pink unicorns of the [http://youtube.com/watch?v=CsGYh8AacgY&feature=user Charlie the Unicorn] fame went through some pretty crazy convoluted schemes just to steal from Charlie. In [http://youtube.com/watch?v=QFCSXr6qnv4 Charlie the Unicorn 2], the fact that they get sucked into a [[Swirly Energy Thingy|strange vortex]] and find an amulet to return to the alleged â��Bo-nana Kingâ�, have a somewhat [[gratuitous Spanish]] conversation to a giant block Z, ride a giant sneaker, arrive at the Temple of the Bananas, then perform in a sing-a-long accompanied with a chorus just to discover that [[Twist Ending|Charlie was the Banana King all along]] is a completely outrageous chain of events seeing how this was just used to distract Charlie long enough to rob him of his valuables. Then again, the pink and purple unicorns could just be [[Obfuscating Stupidity]]â�¦or are they?.
* [https://web.archive.org/web/20130104181337/http://www.seventhsanctum.com/gens/evilplot.html This webpage] lets you create your own plots which can easily become Gambit Roulettes, for example: Your unstoppable plot: hone your psychic powers, easily allowing you to summon a powerful spirit, easily allowing you to kidnap a popular singer for a huge ransom, easily allowing you to force your minions to make a super battleship, so you can create an evil temple, so you can acquire an unstoppable mega-tank, which allows you to kidnap the prime minister so you can replace him/her with an imposter, so you can force your minions to make a high-tech submarine, easily allowing you to summon a demonic force, which sets the stage to seize control of a legion of golems, which sets the stage to build a clone machine, which sets the stage to pillage the hemisphere which will slake your dark need for power!
* In the early days of the [[League of Intergalactic Cosmic Champions]] The Man In Black would claim that things were going exactly as planned, even if there was no way he could have planned it.
* In an [https://web.archive.org/web/20130807103434/http://www.giantitp.com/articles/rTKEivnsYuZrh94H1Sn.html article on creating villains], the sample villain, the Fire King, infiltrates an elven noble's household, takes over the household, becomes the king's trusted advisor, starts a war, eliminates elements ''on both sides'' to prevent peace. The point of all this is to wipe out all the elves so that he can perform a ritual to absorb all the magical energy in the world, and ''conquer hell''.
* [http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OaI08XMRC7A This short] from Liv Films.
 
 
== [[Western Animation]] ==
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* The "Winners Special" was actually an overcomplicated plot for the ''[[Total Drama Island]]'' powers that be (both in and out of universe) to use for the purpose of making the second season, in a [[Crowning Moment of Awesome]] for the whole series.
* In the infamous ''[[South Park]]'' episode "Scott Tenorman Must Die", Cartman devises an extremely intricate plan to exact revenge on Scott Tenorman for cheating him out of $16.12. The plan relies on several red herrings and on Stan and Kyle's betrayal and culminates with Scott eating chili that is made of his own parents' ground-up remains and subsequently crying in front of his favorite band, Radiohead, who then mock him for being a "crybaby".
* The Pixies' "thirty-seven year plan to take over Fairy World" in the [[Musical Episode]] of ''[[The Fairly Odd ParentsOddParents]]'' is so hilariously convoluted it possibly defies description. After it ultimately fails (for apparently not the first time), they wonder if they should try a six-week plan this time.
** Let's try... They are driving and comment that they need a baby to their next plan of 37 years, close by a train of the circus is approaching a broken bridge, two clowns see this and use the cannon to launch their son, Flappy Bob, to safety. He lands near HP and Sanderson, who take and raise him, in the right way so that he could take the plans to the Learn-a-Torium and make it, then the two pixies use their magic to help the children destroy the city, so that Flappy Bob could convince the adults to put all their children in the Camp Learn-a-Torium, so that HP and Sanderson could manipulate Timmy into wishing a world dominated by kids, so that the kids would not need fairies any more, so that the pixies could grant a wish to Flappy Bob with a loophole to control the fairy world... It's actually pretty simple.
* [[The Simpsons (animation)|Homer Simpson's]] mother plotted to destroy a missile silo owned by Mr. Burns. This plot relied entirely on her dying at exactly the right time, Homer finding her video will on the right day, everyone using what theyshe left herthem in precisely the right way (and Lisa stealing her crystal earrings), and Mr. Burns leaving a cinder block and chain near the cell Homer was trapped in.
** Also seen in the episode "Eternal Moonshine of the Simpson Mind," in which Homer basically pulls a Gambit Roulette on himself. Upon learning that Marge was planning a surprise party for him, he goes to Moe's and orders an amnesia-inducing drink. Before he downs it, he predicts that he will wake up to find his family missing, remember snippets that imply that he hit Marge, go to Dr. Frink for memory recovery, only remember enough to conclude that Marge was having an affair with Duffman, and then throw himself off a bridge at the exact moment in which the party ship was underneath and at the exact place in which he lands on the ship's moonbounce.
** Sideshow Bob in "Funeral For A Fiend" does this. He builds a fake restaurant and broadcasts commercials for its grand opening solely for luring the Simpsons (and no one else) there. ''Then'' he purposely misquotes Shakespeare in order for Lisa to correct him so he could pretend to look it up on Wikipedia in order for the laptop to overheat and explode, leading to his capture. ''Then'' at his trial he relies on the chance that Bart will snatch away his nitroglycerine so he could fake a heart attack and allow his father to inject him with a drug that simulates death. ''Then'' he manages to undergo a funeral without an autopsy or any embalming process, and gets his family members to make Bart feel guilty enough about his death in order for Bart to enter the funeral home when no one else is around, and make peace with his "corpse" before it is cremated.
* Subverted in one episode of ''[[Teamo Supremo]]'': the main characters are stumped as to how the seemingly unrelated robberies committed by "Mr. Vague" contribute to his ingenious plan.
{{quote| '''Mr. Vague:''' You fools! I have no plan! I just like to act evil and steal stuff!}}
* An example (but certainly not the only one) where this is used for comedic effect: In the ''[[Looney Tunes]]'' cartoon "Fool Coverage", Daffy Duck (after much persuasion) sells Porky Pig an insurance policy that will pay him a million dollars if he gets a black eye. However, after Porky signs, he's informed that the policy has some fine print - the payout can only occur if the policyholder receives a black eye as a result of a stampede of wild elephants running through his house between 3:55 and 4 PM on the Fourth of July during a hailstorm. When this improbable sequence of events actually occurs (right after Porky signs up), Daffy makes up an additional clause on the spot that requires that a baby zebra be part of the stampede - and guess what runs through the house immediately thereafter.
* In ''[[Justice League]]'', after Brainiac has been revealed to have been living in Lex Luthor for years, he states that he's been manipulating Lex Luthor into manipulating everything else so that he, and not Lex, could implant his mind into a duplicate of Amazo (or rather, a "more suitable body). Really, he just installed a backup of his program into Lex and rolled with whatever came his way. This turns into Gambit Speed Chess when Lex takes advantage of being merged with an immortal robot in order to try and become a techno-organic god.
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* Xanatos in the ''[[Gargoyles]]'' episode "Metamorphasis." His plan to fake the death of his colleague Dr. Sevarius and get a mutated Derek Maza on his side requires that the Gargoyles attack his lab at exactly the right moment before Derek is about to receive a "cure," then for Sevarius to get knocked into his aquarium during the ensuing fight and somehow not receive a fatal charge from his ''two'' electric eels.
** All indications are that the Illuminati was preparing for one of these in the ''[[Gargoyles]]'' comic, considering its operatives specifically told Xanatos that they wanted the Gargoyles to be accepted in society, told the leader of the Quarrymen that the organization wanted them destroyed, and told Matt Bluestone that they preferred the current status quo of uneasy distancing. Too bad it was [[Cut Short]].
* In the fifth season of ''[[Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2003|Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles]]'' (2003), it was revealed that every event in the series until then -- thethen—the Shredder's rise to power, Hamato Yoshi's death, the creation of the turtles, etc. -- had all been allowed to occur as part of a plan to {{spoiler|kill the demon Shredder}}.
* ''[[My Little Pony: Friendship Is Magic|My Little Pony Friendship Is Magic]]'': When [[Big Good|Princess Celestia]] appears at the end of the two-part pilot for the first season, she announces she'd basically planned out the whole plot in advance, in that she knew that Twilight Sparkle would end up using the Elements of Harmony to defeat the villain. How she knew she'd run into just the right group of new friends and they'd each get a chance to prove themselves along the way as fit to wield the Elements is anyone's guess. Celestia is certainly smart, and the true extent of her abilities is unknown, but predicting all that would have taken near omniscience. (So even she ''has'' that, it's still the trope by default.)
 
== [[Real Life]] ==
 
* According to some historians, [[Adolf Hitler]]. He is supposed to have had an exact 'blueprint for aggression' even before coming to power. More recent interpretations tend to portray Hitler as an often brilliant opportunist instead, who seized opportunities others provided and got by with [[Indy Ploy|Indy Ploys]]s. [[World War II|It didn't end so well.]]
== Real Life ==
* According to some historians, [[Adolf Hitler]]. He is supposed to have had an exact 'blueprint for aggression' even before coming to power. More recent interpretations tend to portray Hitler as an often brilliant opportunist instead, who seized opportunities others provided and got by with [[Indy Ploy|Indy Ploys]]. [[World War II|It didn't end so well.]]
** Another common theory is that he was trying to do this trope and did so badly, which is why leaders on both sides saw him as a threat to his own plans.
* Admiral Yamamoto's plan for the Battle of Midway was supposed to be a Gambit Roulette that involved splitting his forces into seven different groups across the entire Pacific to defeat the American carrier fleet. A simpler idea like "Put all my ships in one fleet, sail in to attack Midway. The Americans don't have enough ships to stop such a fleet, so if they do force a battle, I destroy their fleet. If they don't, I conquer Midway," would have been a pretty good [[Xanatos Gambit]]. Yamamoto's roulette plan ended in a spectacular failure when American codebreakers figured out key details of his plan. Because his ships were split up into many groups, they couldn't support each other, leading to many ships not even seeing action; this was especially damaging since the escort cruisers with Yamamoto's scout planes were all assigned to a battleship taskforce which was not in position to scout for the carrier taskforce.
*** Some of the more ridiculous elements, like the "diversionary" attack on Alaska (which contradicted the entire point of the operation and served only to weaken the main force), were imposed by Yamamoto's superiors.
* A certain screenwriter, presumably just to get attention, claimed that a particularly ludicrous Roulette was performed against him by 20th Century Fox. In summary, he alleged that a script of his was stolen by Fox, who then gave it to [[Alan Moore]] to be turned into a comic (''[[The League of Extraordinary Gentlemen]]'') specifically so it could be filmed without people guessing its true source. The resulting [[Frivolous Lawsuit]] treated Moore, who had done nothing wrong, so badly that he chose to cut all ties with the film industry.
* There's an [[Urban Legend]] that on his death, [[Walt Disney]] left a series of films dictating, in detail, exactly how every aspect of the Walt Disney Company was to progress for the next twenty years -- filmsyears—films ''directly addressed'' to the various members of the staff, as if he were still in conference with all of them. (As Snopes [http://snopes.com/disney/wdco/dejaview.asp points out], all one need do to demonstrate the fallacy of this is to look at the company's record in the 1970s: '''dead''' Walt could have done better than ''The Computer Wore Tennis Shoes'' and ''Now You See Him, Now You Don't''.)
* [[Conspiracy Theorist|Conspiracy Theorists]]s tend to use this trope in regards to their target to explain and justify their theories.
 
{{reflist}}
[[Category:Spoilered Rotten{{PAGENAME}}]]
[[Category:Gambit Index]]
[[Category:Just for Pun]]
[[Category:Narrative Devices]]
[[Category:Tropes of Legend]]
[[Category:Older Than Radio]]
[[Category:Gambit Index]]
[[Category:Just for Pun]]
[[Category:The Plan]]
[[Category:GambitSpoilered RouletteRotten]]
[[Category:Tropes of Legend]]