Gambit Roulette: Difference between revisions

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{{trope}}
[[File:RouletteWheelOfFail350 3192RouletteWheelOfFail.jpg|frame|[[Death Note|Exactly as planned]].]]
 
{{quote|''"How can anyone, even skilled conspirators, predict with perfect accuracy the outcome of a car crash? How can they know in advance that a man will go to a certain pay phone at a certain time, so that he can see a particular truck he needs to see? How can the actions of security guards be accurately anticipated? Isn't it risky to hinge an entire plan of action on the hope that the police won't stop a car speeding recklessly through a downtown area?"''
 
{{quote|''"How can anyone, even skilled conspirators, predict with perfect accuracy the outcome of a car crash? How can they know in advance that a man will go to a certain pay phone at a certain time, so that he can see a particular truck he needs to see? How can the actions of security guards be accurately anticipated? Isn't it risky to hinge an entire plan of action on the hope that the police won't stop a car speeding recklessly through a downtown area?"''|'''[[Roger Ebert]]'s''' [http://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID{{=}}/19990709/REVIEWS/907090302 review] of ''[[Arlington Road]]''}}
 
A convoluted [[Plan]] that relies on events completely within the realm of chance yet comes off without a hitch.
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If your first reaction to seeing the plan unfold is "There is no way that you ''planned'' that!", then it's roulette.
 
[[Gambit rouletteRoulette]] tries to make a character seem impressive but can break [[Willing Suspension of Disbelief]]. You ''really'' have to establish a character as [[The Chessmaster]] for them to be able to pull it off without arousing your audience's skepticism. If the character pulling the roulette is a god, a person with precognition, a hyper-advanced AI, or someone else with similar abilities interacting with mortals, it becomes ''somewhat'' more believable, but even then the [[Willing Suspension of Disbelief|suspension of disbelief]] can be tenuous at best.
 
If, as part of [[retcon]]ning in a new [[Big Bad]], everything up to then (including the supposed successes of the heroes against the old villains) is all part of a new scheme, its's [[Arc Welding]]. Also often the justification of the [[Omniscient Morality License]]; their control over events is supposedly total.
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{{examples}}
== [[Anime]] and [[Manga]] ==
 
== Anime and Manga ==
* ''[[Death Note]]'' is essentially Gambit Roulette: the series. The most impressive is the plan that [[Wham! Episode|changes the course of the entire series]]—Light arranging {{spoiler|L's death}} while coming off completely above suspicion—which involves an extended [[Memory Gambit]], at the end of which every element needed to be exactly in the place they were in order to work.
** Including such utterly unpredictable details as a cop Light didn't even know prior to the [[Memory Gambit]] missing when he shot at the temporary owner of the Death Note. The plan required Light to kill Higuchi while holding the Death Note, so that he could reclaim ownership of it and make the memory restoration permanent. Had the bullet been just an inch to the left, Higuchi would've died too soon and whoever picked up the Death Note first (most likely the cop who shot him) would become its official owner. And Light's memory of being Kira would be gone forever.
* In ''[[Bleach]]'', most of Sosuke Aizen's ridiculously longwinded plans rely on this, which is odd given that he's easily powerful enough to get what he wants via brute force. Later on, this gets brought to its logical conclusion: Aizen claims ''the entire plot'' (or at least Ichigo's role) has apparently been ''exactly as planned''. It's never fully expanded on, so it's possible he was just lying to mess with Ichigo. Also, Kisuke Urahara engages in Gambit Roulettes as well, to the point where the series can be reduced to these two [[Chessmaster]]s dueling one another in a case of Aizen's "just as planned" attitude versus Urahara's "just as expected" attitude.
* Yuuko of ''[[xxxHolic×××HOLiC]]'' and ''[[Tsubasa Reservoir Chronicle]]'' seems to be aware of all "effects" to all "costs" via Wishes and manipulates them together to affect the future in ways mere mortals can't possibly predict. Yuuko's one limitation is that only other people can initiate Wishes, and she has to be a [[Literal Genie]] to get the result she wants. Things get complicated when the villain of ''[[Tsubasa Reservoir Chronicle]]'' uses his ability to see the future through dreams to manipulate fate this way too, often with the ''same'' costs and effects. There are other dreamseers in the series pulling strings as well, but most of them are allied with either Yuuko or Fei Wong and incorporated into their plans.
** And everything both of them planned was secretly part of Clow Reed's plan, which also incorporated the entire plot of [[Cardcaptor Sakura]]. Please note that Clow has been dead for centuries.
** It should also be noted that every member of the initial party is somehow working for Yuuko or Fei Wong. All of them had been previously manipulated by the two [[The Chessmaster|chessmasters]] into the circumstances which led them to Yuuko's shop. Only one of them knows which side he's playing for from the beginning, but even his memories were changed to better serve the [[Big Bad]].
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* The titular character in the manga/anime ''[[Akagi]]'' used a Gambit Roulette on the blind player Ishikawa that came out of nowhere so fast, that despite everything adding up, it is still hard to believe that everything was on purpose, especially considering his inner thoughts seemed rather random during the match.
* While ''[[Code Geass]]'''s main draw was the [[Gambit Speed Chess]], there's the time Lelouch checkmated Schneizel. Earlier in the series, he'd recorded a fake conversation to make Mao think Lelouch was really speaking to him. It worked, mostly because it was broadly focused. Lelouch never went into any specifics and Mao was too obsessed with C.C. to fully focus. Lelouch just had to say things about C.C. that would rile Mao. But when he did it again with Schneizel, Lelouch somehow knew [[The Tape Knew You Would Say That|the first thing Schneizel was going to say, how he'd respond to any of his statements, the exact timing of the responses, and even the moment Schneizel would]] ''[[The Tape Knew You Would Say That|interrupt him]]''.
* ''[[Kyo Kara Maoh!|Kyo Kara Maoh]]'': Shinou and Daikenja/Ken Murata had a Roulette in play for ''four thousand years'' aimed at defeating the Soushou.
* In ''[[Fairy Tail]]'', Jellal reveals his Gambit Roulette after the Magic Council fires a magic laser for the purpose of destroying his aim to resurrect an evil mage. When the dust clears, it's found that it had been his plan to do so all along, as some special crystals have absorbed all the magic fired, giving him the power source to resurrect him. One could say that it was more of a [[Batman Gambit]] considering he planted an astral projection of himself in the council in order to guide them to that point, but there was no guarantee they would use the magic laser, hit the tower straight on, and the crystals would absorb all the magic, and that he wouldn't be found out...etc.
* A frighteningly good Roulette is used in, of ''all'' the Gundam series, the [[Super Robot|much-less-serious]]-[[Real Robot|than-usual]] ''[[G Gundam]]''. Neo-Japan's previous Gundam-Fighter and now military advisor was behind the intrigue to claim the Devil Gundam in order to use it to rule the world. Therefore he blamed Kyouji and removed Domon's father from the scene. He even used Domon to get his hands on his toy of destruction. In the end he can foil Neo-Hong Kong's prime minister to get his hands on the Devil but it is (of course) of no use to him.
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* [[Spider-Man]]'s infamous [[The Clone Saga|Clone Saga]] was eventually revealed to be a massive Gambit Roulette by [[Norman Osborn]].
 
== Fan Works ==
 
== Fanfiction ==
* In ''[[Aeon Natum Engel]]'' Gendo admits this is what his plans amount to. Although, considering the setting, even [[Xanatos Gambit]]s are in risk of becoming like this. Why? Well, because [[Eldritch Abomination|Nyarlathotep]] is a [[Spanner in the Works|dick]].
* ''In [[Harry Potter and Thethe Methods of Rationality]]'', Draco remembers a tragedy play his father brought him to see (an expy of [[Death Note]]), and at the end, Lucius asked him what the meaning of the play was. Draco mistook it to be as clever as the characters. His father chastised him, saying that any plan that requires more than three steps to succeed is unlikely to the point of worthless. And because only a fool goes with a plan that is barely possible, you really should never plan more than two steps.
* Anytime anyone does anything in ''[[Light and Dark - The Adventures of Dark Yagami|Light and Dark The Adventures of Dark Yagami]]''.
* At the end of the ''[http://www.fanfiction.net/s/3137871/1/Hero_High Hero] [http://www.fanfiction.net/s/3875254/1/Hero_High_Earth_style High]'' [http://www.fanfiction.net/s/4267279/1/Hero_High_Sphinx_Academy Series]. The main villain Pharaoh Alexander Sovereign nee Tempus reveals that his entire plan that he has practically set up throughout the series, was to stop his mother's crazy plan, revealing her to be the true villain. Or at least the eviler of two evils. He was also known to being infamous for his plans within plans, as well as fully understanding what a person is likely to do in the situation he presents them.
* ''[[My Little Avengers]]'': It's eventually revealed that ''the entire plot'' was engineered by [[Big Bad|Loki]] in order to create a scenario wherein [[The Hero|Big Mac]] is forced to willingly surrender Thor's power, allowing Loki to take over Equestria. And it temporarily works, too, only being undone due to Pinkie Pie being a bigger [[Spanner in the Works]] than even [[Magnificent Bastard|Loki]] could have anticipated.
 
 
== Film ==
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* The ''[[Ocean's Eleven]]'' series. The plans of the main characters match this trope quite well, apparently requiring ''everything'' to interlock absolutely perfectly. However, [[Gambit Speed Chess|they have to adjust the plans several times due to unexpected variables]].
** In particular, the heist in ''Ocean's Thirteen'' relies on a Gambit Roulette within a Gambit Roulette, with a third Gambit Roulette thrown in for good measure. By the end of the film, the plan becomes so circuitous that it almost qualifies as a subversion itself.
** Subverted in [[OceansOcean's 11|the original]]; all of their gambits seem to have payedpaid off, but a small oversight results in them losing the money in the end.
* In ''[[Wild Things]]'', Suzie plots to kill the dirty cop who killed her ex-boyfriend and get rich in the process. The full plot is too complicated to explain, but involves relying on everyone being willing to betray everyone else, before then discovering that they've been betrayed themselves. And [[But Wait! There's More!|as if that's not enough]], in the final scene, the defense lawyer from the rape trial, chosen from the phonebook, implies that he was somehow in on it all along.
** Most of it does rely on people behaving in [[Batman Gambit|character-predictable ways]] rather than sheer insane chance, especially as the plan meant that anything that looked coincidental was usually a result of then-unrevealed plotters working the other side and delivering the right evidence exactly on cue. It's still ludicrously complicated.
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* J.R. Ewing claims to have planned ''every frickin' little thing'' in the ''[[Dallas]]'' movie.
* The commanding officers of the titular vessel in ''[[The Hunt for Red October]]'' manage to defect to the United States in a multi-billion dollar experimental submarine, while getting the Soviet government to believe the Americans had sunk them, and keeping his entire crew of at least a few hundred oblivious to what really happened. [[Lampshade Hanging|Lampshaded]] near the beginning: the Captain even says that they have about 1 chance in 3 of pulling it off.
* The person running the tables in ''Eagle Eye'' at first appears to be damn near omniscient and prescient - creepily anticipating everything except Jerry being alive - to the point of (as just the most "damn"-worthy example) calling the cell phones of every single person on a train within ''seconds'' of needing to do so. It becomes slightly more believable when it's revealed "she's" a [[AIA.I. Is a Crapshoot|government supercomputer]]... until the [[Fridge Logic]] sets in.
* ''[[Lucky Number Slevin]]'', in which the main character suffers a case of mistaken identity, and is brought in by two separate mob bosses to get revenge upon each other. Long story short, it turns out that he and his mentor - the assassin the mob bosses both hired to take out the MC once he'd done what they wanted - [[Kansas City Shuffle|planned the whole thing]] in order to get revenge on both of them for the murder of his parents.
* The aggregate actions of the Joker in ''[[The Dark Knight]]'': for an agent of chaos with a stated disdain for [[The Chessmaster|Chessmasters]], he manages to effortlessly pull together seemingly random and improbable events into a single overall scheme.
* ''[[Total Recall]]'': For his scheme to work, Mars Administrator Cohaagen has to eventually get Quaid back to Mars (but he blows his memory cap early so he ends up becoming a [[Loose Cannon Cop]]), he has to get in contact with the Mars Resistance so that Cohaagen can find Resistance Leader Quaato. When this actually happens, Cohaagen admits that the possibility was nearly unbelievable, and even [[Lampshade Hanging|Lampshades it]], rattling off a list of all the ways in which the plan actually went wrong. This is one of the many reasons behind the [[All Just a Dream]] interpretation of the movie.
* The [[Anti-Villain|Antivillains]]s' scheme in ''[[Inside Man]]''. It hinges on ensuring that [[Everybody Lives]] (hence their [[Anti-Villain]] status) while simultaneously keeping the cops thinking they're deadly dangerous. While the movie presents this as [[Gambit Speed Chess]], it falls apart when you consider that it relies on the cops not making any mistakes like accidentally shooting a hostage.
** Remember that Dalton Russell (aka. the main man and the man who is actually carrying away the cash) is not amongst the fake hostages and in fact exploits the fact that it is ridiculously unlikely that the police would look for newly-made hidden hideouts in the back, and that they wouldn't expect the criminals to not leave the bank for a week. The only way the police COULD have caught Dalton without assaulting the building head-on in the first minute would be to have [[Sherlock Holmes]] level insight.
* ''[[The Shawshank Redemption]]'' with Andy Dufresne's method of stealing the Warden's clothing and ledgers and crawling through a hole in his cell made by a rock hammer and covered by a poster in the span of 19 years, the exact night of a thunderstorm as to conceal the noises made by his pounding a rock on a pipe to escape the prison by crawling through a sewer pipe... all this time one-upping the warden. [[So Cool Its Awesome|Ridiculously legendary]]!
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** The antagonist did have a remote trigger for the bomb, so he could have just ordered the bus to speed. Maybe...
* The end of ''Ninja Champion'' is especially (in)famous for this.
* In ''[[The A-Team (film)|The a A-Team]]'' every military action is needlessly dangerous and complex, often relying heavily on the enemy doing some very exact and unlikely actions, like shooting someone directly in the head.
* ''Reindeer Games'' would be completely forgotten if it wasn't for the twist ending that's so insane that it pretty much defies all logic.
* Alexander Pearce's plan in ''[[The Tourist]]''. He tells his wife to board a particular train at a a particular time and randomly select a passenger of his height and build, whom she will then pretend is him in disguise. It turns out that the guy she picked really ''is'' him in disguise. But, wait, go back and read that again: she's to pick a guy at random. Well, what if she had picked a different guy? It's not like there's only one man of his height and build on that train. In fact, she almost ''does'' pick someone else, but it turns out he's traveling with someone. Could have gotten a bit sticky if he'd been alone, no?
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* The last car chase of ''[[The Skulls]]'' sees the heroes Luke and Will being chased at high speed along a train track before it finally comes to a stop with them crashing full speed into a dirt berm at the end of the tracks and the bad guy about the shoot Luke. But a split second before he pulls the trigger, he is shot (at long range) by the cop who then tells them that it was his plan all along to have this happen, thus showing that even the good guys can have convoluted plans. Of course, at any time during the car chase, Luke and Will could have crashed and been killed. Or the cop could have missed his long range shot with a pistol, allowing the bad guy to shoot Luke. But I guess that was part of the plan as well,
 
== [[Literature]] ==
 
== Literature ==
* In ''[[The Brothers Karamazov]]'', many of the elements of Smerdyakov's plan to kill Fyodor Karamazov were ''obviously beyond his control''. The book offers a good example of a [[The Chessmaster|Chessmaster]] attempting to manipulate events and people he realistically doesn't understand fully. The kicker though? He still pulls it off with a bit of improvisation.
* In ''The Possessed'', [[Complete Monster]] Petr Stepanovic's labyrinthine plan, involving dozens of different characters, is mostly successful - he manages to manipulate people left and right, even if he is shown to completely misunderstand the motivations of some of them, like Stavrogin and Kirillov. Another interesting subversion of the trope is that the more complex parts of the plan (like persuading several persons to kill another man with a flimsy reason) go off like clockwork, and the apparently simpler details (like persuading a suicidal nut to... kill himself) almost fall apart on several occasions.
* ''[[The Count of Monte Cristo]]'' has the Count executing a plan for revenge that's unspeakably convoluted and relies on manipulating people in ridiculously subtle and complex ways—for example, he somehow manipulates Madame de Villefort into poisoning half her family by casually conversing with her about chemistry.
* [[Deconstructed]] in ''[[Evil Genius Trilogy|Evil Genius]]'', a young adult novel by Catherine Jinks. Although the hero, Cadel, is very good at manipulating people, when he attempts a Gambit Roulette, it gets out of his control very quickly, leading to the death of several characters.
* The [[Evil Overlord|Shadow Lord]] in the ''Deltora'' books made it clear: "I have many plans. Plans within plans..." And indeed, by the ''beginning'' of the series, he had them set in place so that he was prepared for any conceivable contingency. Except dragons.
* ''[[Harry Potter (novel)|Harry Potter]]'':
** In ''[[Harry Potter and Thethe Deathly Hallows (novel)|Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows]]'', Dumbledore had orchestrated or manipulated almost every major event that had taken place in Harry's life since about the halfway point of ''The Half-Blood Prince'', with the ultimate purpose of Voldemort's destruction.
** Also in ''Deathly Hallows'', Dumbledore's method of getting Harry to find the Hallows relies on random encounters - for example, Hermione only recognised the symbol in her book because she happened to meet Luna's dad at Fleur and Bill's wedding. The same goes for Harry finding out {{spoiler|he is a Horcrux}}; if he hadn't been there when {{spoiler|Snape died}} he would never have {{spoiler|made his [[Heroic Sacrifice]] and Voldemort would've stayed immortal}}.
** In ''[[Harry Potter and Thethe Goblet of Fire (novel)|Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire]]'', Voldemort and {{spoiler|Barty Crouch Jr.}} devise a complex and convoluted Gambit Roulette to manipulate Harry into a position where Voldemort can capture him, kill him, and {{spoiler|use his blood to regenerate his body}}.
* In the [[Young Bond]] book ''Double or Die'', a teacher at Eton is kidnapped and only has enough time to send a letter confirming his resignation and send his last crossword to ''The Times''. In this, he manages to get clues to Bond and his friends about what's really happened to him, where they can go to find more information and that a friend of his is coming to Eton. This teacher probably attended a school where [[Death Note|Light]] was the headmaster and [[Saw|Jigsaw]] was the art teacher.
* Successfully executed by [[The Chessmaster]] of ''[[The Assassins of Tamurin]]'', but without pushing [[Willing Suspension of Disbelief]], due to the years of effort she puts into it and the fact that she's crazy.
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{{quote|Clonak stared at him as if he’d taken leave of his wits. “Well, of ''course'' we gave you to them, Shadow! Who else did we have more likely to trump them than a first-in, pure-blood yos’Phelium scout ''commander''? Concentrated random action. Would we waste such a weapon? Would you? I didn’t think so.[...]"}}
 
== [[Live -Action TV]] ==
* In japaneseJapanese drama ''[[Uramiya Honpo]]'', almost every plan Uramiya uses to punish her victims is a Gambit Roulette. The most blatant exemple being the second movie special, 'Mind Control No Wana'. In the last episode of the first season, we were introduced to Kiyomi, a woman who looked exactly like Uramiya and has been institutionalized since her family was murdered before her eyes when she was a child. In 'Mind Control No Wana', it is revealed that the murderer is Sunstone, an insane guru who is also {{spoiler|her real father (he raped her mother)}} and intends to marry her on his 55 birthday. After discovering the truth, Kiyomi hired Uramiya to help her avenge her family's death. Uramiya's plan was {{spoiler|to disfigure Kiyomi with acid so her face could be rebuilt into an exact replica of Uramiya, so years later, Sunstone will kill Kiyomi, mistaking her for Uramiya.}} And it worked!
* In the series ''[[Lie to Me (TV series)|Lie to Me]]'', this is Cal Lightman's favorite strategy, calling it the Long Con. This to the point of even tricking his own employees into actions he knew they would do to help.
* On ''[[24]]'' many terrorist plans are of this nature. For example, one plan in the fourth season involves kidnapping the Secretary of Defense, and threatening to execute him live on the Internet; using the traffic that generates as a mask for them hacking into every nuclear power plant in America; using ''that'' as a diversion for hijacking a fighter plane to shoot down Air Force One, then stealing the nuclear "football" from the wreckage; using the data in the football to intercept a nuclear missile being transported through Iowa; and finally, firing the missile at Los Angeles. The villains have no explicable way of knowing that the football would survive the impact, that the plane would crash close enough to their location for them to reach it before emergency crews, or that a nuclear missile would be on the road in the vicinity of their secondary team.
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** The most recent episode has [[Fan Nickname|Flocke]] predicting that Widmore would rig the plane to explode so he could take the explosives and put them in Jack's bag, and that Sawyer would prevent Flocke from getting on the submarine, AND that the people trapped on the submarine would attempt to disarm the bomb (since Flocke himself apparently can't directly kill these particular characters). The plan did not end up panning out perfectly, though.
* Many of the schemes in ''[[Veronica Mars]]'' verge into this territory, most notably the plan to kidnap her boyfriend's baby, which had as linchpins one character opening a letter addressed to someone else, her phone being tapped, and the sheriff driving all the way to Mexico without looking in his trunk.
* ''[[Mission: Impossible]]'' did this weekly for years.
* The ''[[Tales from the Crypt]]'' episode "The Pit" relied entirely on this. Not only were two men able to predict exactly how their wives would react in a certain situation, they were also able to reschedule a major international fighting event, change the designated fighters, AND apparently hype this last-minute change to the point that no ratings were lost, all without their wives finding out. Even more bizarrely, they seemed fairly confident that their wives would kill each other in the match (although, assuming one survived, her husband could have filed for divorce).
* An episode of ''[[Fringe]]'' had an FBI agent who was infected with a life-threatening parasite which was cured at the very last second. Turns out he apparently infected himself, and the entire episode was a plan to get his wife to overhear a secret discovered by other FBI agents while they were trying to save him. But if even a single thing in the episode had gone differently - including the fact that an attempt to catch a suspect had been botched - then the plan would not have worked. Note that if the heroes were even five minutes too late, the plotter would have been dead, and if they had gotten the necessary information just a few minutes prior, the wife would not have been in the room.
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Both: *fume*
Tyler: *dead man walking* }}
* Spoofed in an episode of the [[The Frantics|Frantics]]' sketch comedy show ''Four on the Floor''. Burglars are breaking into an office building. As they close in on the safe that is their target, the ringleader accurately predicts a series of improbable events including the night watchman having a fatal heart attack, a flying priest passing the office window, and a door-to-door dynamite salesman happening to be in the area. Each time, the leader smirks and tells his cohort, "Just like I planned it!"
 
 
== [[Multiple Media]] ==
* Spoofed in an episode of the [[The Frantics|Frantics]]' sketch comedy show ''Four on the Floor''. Burglars are breaking into an office building. As they close in on the safe that is their target, the ringleader accurately predicts a series of improbable events including the night watchman having a fatal heart attack, a flying priest passing the office window, and a door-to-door dynamite salesman happening to be in the area. Each time, the leader smirks and tells his cohort, "Just like I planned it!"
* In [[LEGO]]'s ''[[Bionicle]]'' universe, the main villain of every story year so far, Makuta Teridax, has been defeated several times, but has revealed that he has, in fact, ''planned'' for every possible setback ahead of time. The Gambit Roulette is still turning, in fact, as he planned for all of the following to happen: the destruction of his own body, the death of the benevolent Great Spirit Mata Nui, the subsequent resurrection of said spirit, the rest of the world believing him dead... And the odd thing is, he seems to be the only one. There seems to be no [[Gambit Pileup]] coming, no (glaringly obvious) [[Deus Ex Machina]], just a slow slide towards his victory, trying to keep him from winning as long as possible. Quite dark for a [[Merchandise-Driven]] children's story. It went [[Death Note|exactly as planned]]. Makuta committed [[Grand Theft Me]] on Mata Nui just as his soul was about to return to his body, becoming the universe as a result and banishing Mata Nui into a [[Soul Jar]] and out of the Matoran Universe
** Indirectly lampshaded when he discussed the matter with Vakama: "Little Toa, you have not yet begun to see even the barest outlines of my plans. I have schemes within schemes that would boggle your feeble mind. You may counter one, but there are a thousand more of which you know nothing. Even my ... setbacks ... are planned for, and so I shall win in the end."
** Well, he hasn't planned for ''every'' possible setback, but instead tended to adapt to the situation. Throwing the fight against Takanuva was likely improvised as a way to get the heroes off his back. Getting crushed by a huge gate at the end of that confrontation was definitely ''not'' part of The Plan, according to [[Word of God]] but it didn't hurt too much as he was going to abandon his body in the end anyway.
** Piraka Zaktan has actually seen the full plan, and keeps it in mind. This has allowed the heroes to actually work towards foiling it, as Zaktan is now a captive of the heroes, guiding them to Teridax's current supposed location. Of course, Zaktan is a Chessmaster of a sort, as well, and is treacherous to a fault, so there is no way of knowing whether he's speaking truthfully, or just waiting to betray them. Doesn't really matter now that Makuta made [[Your Head Asplode|his head a splode]].
 
 
== Mythology ==
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* In [[Norse Mythology]] Óðinn is engaging in one to delay the coming of [[Apocalypse How|Ragnarök]] and possibly beat it. [[Magnificent Bastard|This includes instigating wars between the nations and tribes of Miðgarðr to ensure there is a steady supply of warriors for the Valkyrjr to pick up for Valhöll so He has a good army for the final battle. He also spends a lot of time wandering the Nine Worlds for information about Ragnarök from any source He can find including giants.]] [[Justified Trope|Justified]] in that He gave one eye for wisdom of the future and hung Himself from the [[World Tree]] to gain the wisdom of the runes for use to the same end.
** It potentially gets even more intricate. There is a fairly common theory that Odin and Loki are the same entity.
 
 
== [[Professional Wrestling]] ==
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* In [[TNA]], the recent Eric Bischoff / [[Hulk Hogan]] angle paints the both as cunning schemers of Machiavellian levels though many elements of their scheme ([[Jeff Hardy]] being able to make it to the World Title Tournament finals & Dixie Carter foolishly signing a contract without even ''looking'' at it) would completely unravel the scheme if it had not gone precisely in their favor, requiring the conspirators to either be insanely lucky or nigh-omniscient.
** There is also the fact that they had plenty of opportunities to get the World title on either [[Jeff Hardy]] or Abyss that were much more convenient than the Triple Threat match at ''Bound for Glory''. For example, at ''Victory Road'' 2010, there was a Fatal Four Way match involving Jeff Hardy vs. Abyss vs. Mr. Anderson vs. [[Rob Van Dam]], or at ''The Whole F'n Show'' where they had Abyss vs. [[Rob Van Dam]] with Eric Bischoff as the guest referee.
** That's not even mentioning the fact that [[Kevin Nash]], [[Wrestler/Sting (wrestling)|Sting]], and The Pope had figured out the plot (or at least a general idea of what would happen), but instead of politely informing Dixie Carter or the TNA fans of what would happen, they started talking in riddles and attacking people without any given reason to the point where they became heels in the storyline. They even challenged [[Hulk Hogan]] to be a part of a match against him on the date of the reveal, even though he was recovering from major back surgery. Had Nash, Sting, and Pope acted like mature adults in the storyline, the Gambit Roulette would have probably failed.
** What's particularly strange is that, unlike what you might think, they actually did nothing to help [[Jeff Hardy]] win the title. When it comes to something that your plan hinges on this way, you'd think they would actually do something to make sure it happened.
* The Higher Power plot involving the [[Ministry of Darkness]] was started MONTHS before their slated goal was even needed, depended on their target acting very much out of character, and disregarded simpler, much more assured ways to accompllish their purpose.
 
== [[MultipleTabletop MediaGames]] ==
 
* The [[Eldritch Abomination|chaos god]] Tzeentch, also known as the Architect of Fates and the Great Schemer, is the ''[[Warhammer Fantasy Battle]]'' and ''[[Warhammer 4000040,000]]'' god of Gambit roulettes and literally lives for pulling the strings of reality in increasingly implausible and intricate ways - in fact, because such scheming is such an intricate part of its being, Tzeentch is virtually ''incapable'' of doing things straight. Even the other gods step carefully around Tzeentch because of this, which is probably just what it planned anyhow. Tzeentch's C'tan counterpart the Deceiver has been pulling some pretty twisty stuff too and it is not very clear how far each is playing the other. To a much lesser extent, the Eldar Seers have pulled off less ambitious ones - like engineering Ghazghkull Mag Uruk Thraka's rise to Warboss and indirectly causing the last two wars for Armageddon, with billions of human lives lost, just to avoid an Ork attack on a Craftworld many years down the line.
== Tabletop Games ==
* The [[Eldritch Abomination|chaos god]] Tzeentch, also known as the Architect of Fates and the Great Schemer, is the ''[[Warhammer Fantasy Battle]]'' and ''[[Warhammer 40000]]'' god of Gambit roulettes and literally lives for pulling the strings of reality in increasingly implausible and intricate ways - in fact, because such scheming is such an intricate part of its being, Tzeentch is virtually ''incapable'' of doing things straight. Even the other gods step carefully around Tzeentch because of this, which is probably just what it planned anyhow. Tzeentch's C'tan counterpart the Deceiver has been pulling some pretty twisty stuff too and it is not very clear how far each is playing the other. To a much lesser extent, the Eldar Seers have pulled off less ambitious ones - like engineering Ghazghkull Mag Uruk Thraka's rise to Warboss and indirectly causing the last two wars for Armageddon, with billions of human lives lost, just to avoid an Ork attack on a Craftworld many years down the line.
** [[Fan Wank|Some fans]] theorize the [[God-Emperor]] of Mankind planned out his necessity for life support, to better make the Imperium worship him, which helps humanity weaken Chaos (as faith weakens them).
*** Reinforced with the presence of tarot cards being used by Inquisitors to help determine the Emperor's will with a great deal of implication towards this being the case as the emperor's mind had to fracture to cope with ruling the Imperium as his body lays dieing. Some of the books even show aspects of the emperor's mind(s) even disagreeing showing that not all of them are in communion with eachother. Or are they? Meaning no one is really sure what the Emperor's plans and thoughts could be. Probably not even Tzeentch. This has led to a running joke in 4chan's /tg/ boards of the Emperor, Tzeentch and the Deciever getting together every saturday and having Gambit poker.
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* The Temporal Probability Agency is all about this. A sentient computer sends information back in time to itself from all possible time lines in order to best instruct their agents on how to save the world. Agents get odd little instructions, like 'Save this plane from terrorists. Also, spill a drink on the captain.'
 
== [[Theatre and Stage Shows]] ==
 
== Theatre and Stage Shows ==
* In his fourth tour, ''Enigma'' (2009–10), British illusionist and mentalist Derren Brown pulls one off spectacularly, with the set-up lasting the entire show:
** At the beginning, he gives a man in the audience an envelope containing a card and tells him not to open it.
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** And finally, he says "[[But Wait! There's More!]]", and reveals the main reason he called the tour ''Enigma'' back in ''2007'': it's an acronym of all six cards in the order. Cue the final set of gasps and standing ovations.
 
== [[Toys]] ==
* In [[LEGO]]'s ''[[Bionicle]]'' universe, the main villain of every story year so far, Makuta Teridax, has been defeated several times, but has revealed that he has, in fact, ''planned'' for every possible setback ahead of time. The Gambit Roulette is still turning, in fact, as he planned for all of the following to happen: the destruction of his own body, the death of the benevolent Great Spirit Mata Nui, the subsequent resurrection of said spirit, the rest of the world believing him dead... And the odd thing is, he seems to be the only one. There seems to be no [[Gambit Pileup]] coming, no (glaringly obvious) [[Deus Ex Machina]], just a slow slide towards his victory, trying to keep him from winning as long as possible. Quite dark for a [[Merchandise-Driven]] children's story. It went [[Death Note|exactly as planned]]. Makuta committed [[Grand Theft Me]] on Mata Nui just as his soul was about to return to his body, becoming the universe as a result and banishing Mata Nui into a [[Soul Jar]] and out of the Matoran Universe
** Indirectly lampshaded when he discussed the matter with Vakama: "Little Toa, you have not yet begun to see even the barest outlines of my plans. I have schemes within schemes that would boggle your feeble mind. You may counter one, but there are a thousand more of which you know nothing. Even my ... setbacks ... are planned for, and so I shall win in the end."
** Well, he hasn't planned for ''every'' possible setback, but instead tended to adapt to the situation. Throwing the fight against Takanuva was likely improvised as a way to get the heroes off his back. Getting crushed by a huge gate at the end of that confrontation was definitely ''not'' part of The Plan, according to [[Word of God]] but it didn't hurt too much as he was going to abandon his body in the end anyway.
** Piraka Zaktan has actually seen the full plan, and keeps it in mind. This has allowed the heroes to actually work towards foiling it, as Zaktan is now a captive of the heroes, guiding them to Teridax's current supposed location. Of course, Zaktan is a Chessmaster of a sort, as well, and is treacherous to a fault, so there is no way of knowing whether he's speaking truthfully, or just waiting to betray them. Doesn't really matter now that Makuta made [[Your Head Asplode|his head a splode]].
 
== [[Video Games]] ==
* In ''[[Shadow of Destiny]]'' the Homunculi arranged all the events in hopes of being free of the bonds of the game put on it leading to multiple endings including Discovering Eikre is actually the Alchemist from centuries ago , discovering the girl in modern times is actually the centuries old daughter and the real daughter was trapped back in time , and other things. However after all play throughs Eikre can use the players own knowledge and choose bonus ending A. Causing a paradox by making the homuncili touch the gem and destroying it thus ending it's Gambit roulette or bonus ending b Giving the alchemist the knowlledge and means to save his dying wife Either ending ends with Eikre fading away and then in modern times a man looking like him getting hit in the back like in the beginning of the game but instead of a knife he turns to see it's a soccer ball and the boy who kicked it turns out to be a descendant of the boy who was trying to kill him but now since none of that happened everyones happy... cept the homunculi
* In the ''[[Marathon Trilogy|Marathon]]'' games, [[AIA.I. Is a Crapshoot|AIs who have gone Rampant]] tend to make these kind of plans.
* Both 3D [[PlayStation 2]] ''[[Castlevania]]'' games have plots that sneak suspiciously close to this. ''Lament of Innocence'' more so than ''Curse of Darkness'', as in ''Curse of Darkness'' {{spoiler|Dracula}} is wirepulling everything from behind the scenes, and there's perhaps only one character he has no major influence over - Julia. Anyhow, Isaac's devious and original scheme is ''Dracula's'' devious and original scheme. Hector even spells it out in the end. ''Lament of Innocence'' sees Mathias playing some serious hardcore roulette, and it's actually quite terrifying to see how much of a 'Master tactician' he is. For that plan to work, everything would have had to unfold exactly as it does in the game. Which it does. He is a scary, scary man.
* ''[[City of Heroes]]'' has a Doctor Doom-esque villain named Nemesis who takes this to an extreme in almost every encounter. In a single story arc, he tricks the hero into defeating some neo-fascists that ''looked'' like they were going to take over his infrastructure, just to save himself the bother; predicts that your contact will believe Nemesis's real plan was to take over the neo-fascists' robot army and send you to prevent that, while he proceeds with a kidnapping; and wraps it all up by having you supposedly ''[[Not Quite Dead|kill]]'' him - even though, as a superhero, you may have never killed anyone else before (and indeed are explicitly prevented from doing so by the game mechanics), and despite his well-known use of countless robot doubles. Your Contact actually comments on this, noting that his death should have been impossible, speculating that Nemesis's real objectives were twofold, first to throw the heroes off his trail by faking his death, giving him breathing room to implement ''more'' plots, and second and most importantly, to get ahold of the technology from the kidnapped person to enable him to create perfect mechanical duplicates of ''his own mind'', resulting in the annoying prospect of having to deal with an endless supply of super-intelligent mechanical jackass villains. Finally, many heroes might have preferred Nemesis's power-base to be taken over by virtually anyone that wasn't quite so good with the Gambit Roulette. (It should be noted that this is far from Nemesis's most convoluted scheme.)
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** And in the sequel, ''Radiant Dawn'', it is revealed that Ashnard was but a pawn in an even ''larger'' roulette, orchestrated by none other than Lehran himself, who turned out to be Sephiran, the Prime Minister of Bengion, and a major ally in Path of Radiance. He wanted the "Dark God," Yune (who's actually rather nice, if a tad rude) to be released, only because this would also wake up her sister, Ashera, the Goddess of order, who would then cleanse the world of all life.
* In ''[[Jade Empire]]'', Master Sun Li, the Glorious Strategist, pulls off a twenty year Gambit Roulette to put himself in power by training the main character so that only he knows how to kill him/her, yet keeping him/her loyal, letting him/her kill the emperor after baiting him/her to that point, and then killing the main character and taking the throne. If you replay the game you can see all the points where he was manipulating things. Also lampshaded by the Spirit Monk while talking to the soldier in Tien's Landing when s/he comments that "he couldn't possibly have known that the flyer was going to crash here" (or something to that effect).
* Onaga's manipulation of Shujinko to revive him in ''[[Mortal Kombat: Deception]]'' can certainly qualify.
** As well as Argus's plan to prevent [[The End of the World as We Know It]] in ''[[Mortal Kombat Armageddon]]''.
* In the higher stages of [[Kirby]]'s [[Spin-Off|Avalanche]], a computer will, despite all of your disruption tactics, somehow ''always'' manage to pull off an Avalanche (a chain of 9 or greater) if you don't beat them in [[Harder Than Hard|under two minutes]].
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*** Now Xenosaga makes a lot more sense.
* ''[[Star Fox Adventures]]'' has Andross's plan to revive himself. As explained at the end, he learned of the power of the Krazoa spirits on Dinosaur Planet, as well as Krystal's ability to channel their power, then had her trapped a crystal so that as Fox returned the other spirits, their power would be channeled through Krystal to revive him. So he had to [[The Man Behind the Man|manipulate]] General Scales into pushing Krystal into the Krazoa spirit's breath's path, which trapped her in a crystal that would channel the spirit's energy, and more importantly somehow know both that Krystal would arrive on the planet and that she had the ability to channel energy... although of course, we have no idea how omniscient evil ape ghosts really are.
* As it turns out, almost everything that happened during ''[[StarcraftStarCraft]] 1'' and Brood War was just one epic Gambit Roulette by The Overmind. The Overmind was created by the Xel'Naga to control the zerg swarms, but [[Big Bad|The Dark One]] made sure it was made "with consciousness but without free will" and compelled to destroy the protoss. The Overmind (presumably by virtue of being a mountain-sized brain) had a vision of the future telling it that if it didn't do something to change the course of events then all its zerg children would become food for the menacing [[The Dragon|hybrids]], so - it infested Kerrigan, the most powerful psychic it could find, to give her the potential to control the zerg, then engineered its own death so that the zerg would be released from its control and into Kerrigan's, but not before making its prophecy available for Zeratul to reach, letting Zeratul know that they needed to use [[MacGuffin|the artifacts]] on Kerrigan so that she'd be freed from the same overriding compulsions that had ruled The Overmind, and also letting them know that they must not kill her. This would then rob the hybrids of their ability to control the zerg and use them to destroy all the other factions and bring about [[The End of the World as We Know It|the end of the universe]]. That's a pretty epic gamble right there.
** The plan's actually more simple, if you assume it's [[Xanatos Speed Chess]].
*** Overmind develops Kerrigan to replace him. Problem: He's still controlling her.
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* ''[[G Senjou no Maou]]'' gives us one in the form of the devil, [[Magnificent Bastard|Maou]]. Every one of his plans require that everyone acts exactly how he knows them to act. A single misstep would bring down the entire scheme. This culminates in his last giant trap: {{spoiler|creating a blockade and making it a hell on earth all to get his father out of prison}}. It should also be noted that despite this, he ''still'' manages to weasel himself out of sticky situations by playing [[Gambit Speed Chess]] with the protagonists.
* In ''[[Rainbow Six]] Vegas'', Gabriel Nowak—one of your allies—turns out to be the mastermind behind an assault on the entirety of Las Vegas by an army of mercenary terrorists, in order to distract the authorities and assault a hidden military complex under a dam suspiciously like Hoover Dam, in order to steal prototype weaponry. How does he convince the good-guys he is on their side? He participates in an operation where he is captured by terrorists. In the first game, after being captured, he is rescued by other members of Rainbow. In the middle of the escape, the team gets into a firefight, then leaves him behind, later revealing that he is the bad-guy when he manages to steal a Rainbow helicopter and is either shot down or just crashes it. In ''Vegas 2'', he apparently was released before his "rescue" in order to masquerade as an NSA agent supporting ''yet another'' Rainbow team—two members of which were in the team that rescues him—before going back to the casino where he is "held captive", then goes back pretending to be an NSA Agent in order to fool his former mentor and fellow Rainbow member, Bishop and bump off an underling, one of the terrorist leaders. In addition to being a heist plan who's complexity surpases that of something cooked up by Danny Ocean, it requires absolutely ''everything'' to go exactly to plan. And all the while, he is simultaneously at huge risk for getting mistaken as an escaped hostage or an NSA Agent and shot by his own mooks, getting blown up in his own capture or dying in the helicopter crash (you can just shoot it down, but if you don't it seems like he did it intentionally). It's also worth mentioning that he also did the attack on Vegas to take two scientists from the WMD project hostage, ''knowing'' they would be rescued so they could be sent back to the compound under the dam...to be taken hostage ''again'' in the attack on the dam! The odds that he would not get killed trying to do this—never mind getting away with it—are astronomical. But he ''does''...nearly. But hey, it's [[Viva Las Vegas|Vegas, baby]]!...*sigh* [[I Need a Freaking Drink]] after typing that...
 
 
== [[Web Art]] ==
* This motivational poster is part of Aizen's plan - http://browse.deviantart.com/?q=motivational&order=9&offset=24#/d2lvs4q
 
 
== [[Web Comics]] ==
* At the end of the "Professor Madblood and the Doppelganger Gambit" arc in ''[[Narbonic]]'', Helen claims the whole chaotic sequence of events was her plan. As the series goes on, it's hinted that she plans a great deal more than typically believed - Artie at one point suspects everything about him was engineered so that he could save Helen's life at one crucial, impossible-to-predict moment. Of course, Helen ''is'' a megalomaniac (albeit an extremely cute one), so some or all of this could be from her own self-aggrandizing. Indeed, in another comic, she explicitly claims a fondness for the [[Indy Ploy]] approach: "It's times like these I almost question my usual strategy of doing whatever dumb thing pops into my head."
* From ''Daily Victim'' by Dave "Fargo" Kosak, the features [https://web.archive.org/web/20100728192257/http://archive.gamespy.com/dailyvictim/index.asp?id=527 "Okay man, listen up: I've developed a 32-step program designed to get my hot girlfriend into cosplay,"] where the focus character tries to get his girlfriend to like dressing up without realizing that she's being manipulated, and [https://web.archive.org/web/20100728192303/http://archive.gamespy.com/dailyvictim/index.asp?id=648 "My 6-month plan to get my hot girlfriend into cosplay has colossally backfired"], where his plan has worked ''too well'', and he needs to wean her off of her obsession via an equally circuitous scheme.
** And then there's the system administrator who [https://web.archive.org/web/20100813114308/http://archive.gamespy.com/dailyvictim/index.asp?id=356 always has a backup plan]: "You see, you never want to fake a major organ failure to hijack an ambulance to a concert where you falsify medical documents and sneak into the trunk of your friend's car in a Spider-Man costume unless you're PREPARED for the eventuality that someone might get hurt if the car slams into a deer."
* Near the end of ''[[Walkyverse|It's Walky]]'', a [[We Can Rule Together]] speech by Penny and (presumably correct) extrapolation by Alan reveal that Dargon founded SEMME in the ''seventies'' specifically to gather abductees and Martian technology, the former to be given just this [[We Can Rule Together]] speech, the latter in anticipation of SEMME's eventual disbandment and the resultant scattering of Martian technology to military centers around the world. The latter event, by the way, was ''thirty years later'' and contingent on an HA caper they couldn't possibly have predicted, itself following his ''death and resurrection''. If either Dargon or Penny had lived long enough, we might have seen what, exactly, they planned to do with the world's military infrastructure destroyed.
** The trope was actually ''parodied'' near the beginning of the strip:
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** On the non-[[Eldritch Abomination]] front, Terezi is good at this as well. Though again, somewhat justified- she's [[Blind Seer|the Seer of Mind]], so she can predict the outcomes and effects of the choices of individuals.
* Freefall: Sam Starfall's favorite master plan is to simply imply he HAS a master plan, then let his victims make up the details....
* In ''[[El Goonish Shive]]'', Magus needs Ellen to zap Elliot with her [[Gender Bender]] ray. His plans range from the "slightly implausible" (he orchestrated the entire sequence of events that led up to Ellen's "[[Opposite SexGender Clone|birth]]") to the completely ridiculous (planning to amplify Ellen's desire for pepper in order to make her sneeze and accidentally zap Elliot).
{{quote|'''Magus:''' [[Lampshade Hanging|Wow, I really am desperate for a plan]].}}
** Chaos has more of these (and in fact was involved in some of Magus'). Justified in her case, since she's practically omniscient and ''[[Prescience Is Predictable|bored]]''. She wants things as random as possible because its more fun that way.
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* Mentioned extensively in [http://www.cracked.com/article_16848_6-most-pointlessly-elaborate-movie-murder-plots.html Cracked.com's 6 Most Pointlessly Elaborate Movie Murder Plots].
* The purple and pink unicorns of the [http://youtube.com/watch?v=CsGYh8AacgY&feature=user Charlie the Unicorn] fame went through some pretty crazy convoluted schemes just to steal from Charlie. In [http://youtube.com/watch?v=QFCSXr6qnv4 Charlie the Unicorn 2], the fact that they get sucked into a [[Swirly Energy Thingy|strange vortex]] and find an amulet to return to the alleged â��Bo-nana Kingâ�, have a somewhat [[gratuitous Spanish]] conversation to a giant block Z, ride a giant sneaker, arrive at the Temple of the Bananas, then perform in a sing-a-long accompanied with a chorus just to discover that [[Twist Ending|Charlie was the Banana King all along]] is a completely outrageous chain of events seeing how this was just used to distract Charlie long enough to rob him of his valuables. Then again, the pink and purple unicorns could just be [[Obfuscating Stupidity]]â�¦or are they?.
* [https://web.archive.org/web/20130104181337/http://www.seventhsanctum.com/gens/evilplot.html This webpage] lets you create your own plots which can easily become Gambit Roulettes, for example: Your unstoppable plot: hone your psychic powers, easily allowing you to summon a powerful spirit, easily allowing you to kidnap a popular singer for a huge ransom, easily allowing you to force your minions to make a super battleship, so you can create an evil temple, so you can acquire an unstoppable mega-tank, which allows you to kidnap the prime minister so you can replace him/her with an imposter, so you can force your minions to make a high-tech submarine, easily allowing you to summon a demonic force, which sets the stage to seize control of a legion of golems, which sets the stage to build a clone machine, which sets the stage to pillage the hemisphere which will slake your dark need for power!
* In the early days of the [[League of Intergalactic Cosmic Champions]] The Man In Black would claim that things were going exactly as planned, even if there was no way he could have planned it.
* In an [https://web.archive.org/web/20130807103434/http://www.giantitp.com/articles/rTKEivnsYuZrh94H1Sn.html article on creating villains], the sample villain, the Fire King, infiltrates an elven noble's household, takes over the household, becomes the king's trusted advisor, starts a war, eliminates elements ''on both sides'' to prevent peace. The point of all this is to wipe out all the elves so that he can perform a ritual to absorb all the magical energy in the world, and ''conquer hell''.
* [http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OaI08XMRC7A This short] from Liv Films.
 
 
== [[Western Animation]] ==
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* The "Winners Special" was actually an overcomplicated plot for the ''[[Total Drama Island]]'' powers that be (both in and out of universe) to use for the purpose of making the second season, in a [[Crowning Moment of Awesome]] for the whole series.
* In the infamous ''[[South Park]]'' episode "Scott Tenorman Must Die", Cartman devises an extremely intricate plan to exact revenge on Scott Tenorman for cheating him out of $16.12. The plan relies on several red herrings and on Stan and Kyle's betrayal and culminates with Scott eating chili that is made of his own parents' ground-up remains and subsequently crying in front of his favorite band, Radiohead, who then mock him for being a "crybaby".
* The Pixies' "thirty-seven year plan to take over Fairy World" in the [[Musical Episode]] of ''[[The Fairly Odd ParentsOddParents]]'' is so hilariously convoluted it possibly defies description. After it ultimately fails (for apparently not the first time), they wonder if they should try a six-week plan this time.
** Let's try... They are driving and comment that they need a baby to their next plan of 37 years, close by a train of the circus is approaching a broken bridge, two clowns see this and use the cannon to launch their son, Flappy Bob, to safety. He lands near HP and Sanderson, who take and raise him, in the right way so that he could take the plans to the Learn-a-Torium and make it, then the two pixies use their magic to help the children destroy the city, so that Flappy Bob could convince the adults to put all their children in the Camp Learn-a-Torium, so that HP and Sanderson could manipulate Timmy into wishing a world dominated by kids, so that the kids would not need fairies any more, so that the pixies could grant a wish to Flappy Bob with a loophole to control the fairy world... It's actually pretty simple.
* [[The Simpsons (animation)|Homer Simpson's]] mother plotted to destroy a missile silo owned by Mr. Burns. This plot relied entirely on her dying at exactly the right time, Homer finding her video will on the right day, everyone using what she left them in precisely the right way (and Lisa stealing her crystal earrings), and Mr. Burns leaving a cinder block and chain near the cell Homer was trapped in.
** Also seen in the episode "Eternal Moonshine of the Simpson Mind," in which Homer basically pulls a Gambit Roulette on himself. Upon learning that Marge was planning a surprise party for him, he goes to Moe's and orders an amnesia-inducing drink. Before he downs it, he predicts that he will wake up to find his family missing, remember snippets that imply that he hit Marge, go to Dr. Frink for memory recovery, only remember enough to conclude that Marge was having an affair with Duffman, and then throw himself off a bridge at the exact moment in which the party ship was underneath and at the exact place in which he lands on the ship's moonbounce.
** Sideshow Bob in "Funeral For A Fiend" does this. He builds a fake restaurant and broadcasts commercials for its grand opening solely for luring the Simpsons (and no one else) there. ''Then'' he purposely misquotes Shakespeare in order for Lisa to correct him so he could pretend to look it up on Wikipedia in order for the laptop to overheat and explode, leading to his capture. ''Then'' at his trial he relies on the chance that Bart will snatch away his nitroglycerine so he could fake a heart attack and allow his father to inject him with a drug that simulates death. ''Then'' he manages to undergo a funeral without an autopsy or any embalming process, and gets his family members to make Bart feel guilty enough about his death in order for Bart to enter the funeral home when no one else is around, and make peace with his "corpse" before it is cremated.
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* ''[[My Little Pony: Friendship Is Magic|My Little Pony Friendship Is Magic]]'': When [[Big Good|Princess Celestia]] appears at the end of the two-part pilot for the first season, she announces she'd basically planned out the whole plot in advance, in that she knew that Twilight Sparkle would end up using the Elements of Harmony to defeat the villain. How she knew she'd run into just the right group of new friends and they'd each get a chance to prove themselves along the way as fit to wield the Elements is anyone's guess. Celestia is certainly smart, and the true extent of her abilities is unknown, but predicting all that would have taken near omniscience. (So even she ''has'' that, it's still the trope by default.)
 
== [[Real Life]] ==
* According to some historians, [[Adolf Hitler]]. He is supposed to have had an exact 'blueprint for aggression' even before coming to power. More recent interpretations tend to portray Hitler as an often brilliant opportunist instead, who seized opportunities others provided and got by with [[Indy Ploy]]s. [[World War II|It didn't end so well.]]
** Another common theory is that he was trying to do this trope and did so badly, which is why leaders on both sides saw him as a threat to his own plans.
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{{reflist}}
[[Category:Spoilered Rotten{{PAGENAME}}]]
[[Category:Gambit Index]]
[[Category:Just for Pun]]
[[Category:Narrative Devices]]
[[Category:Tropes of Legend]]
[[Category:Older Than Radio]]
[[Category:Gambit Index]]
[[Category:Just for Pun]]
[[Category:The Plan]]
[[Category:{{PAGENAME}}Spoilered Rotten]]
[[Category:Tropes of Legend]]