Gambit Roulette: Difference between revisions

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[[File:RouletteWheelOfFail350_3192.jpg|frame|[[Death Note (Manga)|Exactly as planned]].]]
 
 
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== Anime/Manga ==
* ''[[Death Note (Manga)|Death Note]]'' is essentially [[Gambit Roulette]]: the series. The most impressive is the plan that [[Wham! Episode|changes the course of the entire series]] -- Light arranging {{spoiler|L's death}} while coming off completely above suspicion -- which involves an extended [[Memory Gambit]], at the end of which every element needed to be exactly in the place they were in order to work.
** Including such utterly unpredictable details as a cop Light didn't even know prior to the [[Memory Gambit]] missing when he shot at the temporary owner of the Death Note. The plan required Light to kill Higuchi while holding the Death Note, so that he could reclaim ownership of it and make the memory restoration permanent. Had the bullet been just an inch to the left, Higuchi would've died too soon and whoever picked up the Death Note first (most likely the cop who shot him) would become its official owner. And Light's memory of being Kira would be gone forever.
* In ''[[Bleach]]'', most of Sosuke Aizen's ridiculously longwinded plans rely on this, which is odd given that he's easily powerful enough to get what he wants via brute force. Later on, this gets brought to its logical conclusion: Aizen claims ''the entire plot'' (or at least Ichigo's role) has apparently been ''exactly as planned''. It's never fully expanded on, so it's possible he was just lying to mess with Ichigo. Also, Kisuke Urahara engages in Gambit Roulettes as well, to the point where the series can be reduced to these two [[Chessmaster|Chessmasters]] dueling one another in a case of Aizen's "just as planned" attitude versus Urahara's "just as expected" attitude.
* Yuuko of ''[[XXX HolicXxxHolic]]'' and ''[[Tsubasa Reservoir Chronicle]]'' seems to be aware of all "effects" to all "costs" via Wishes and manipulates them together to affect the future in ways mere mortals can't possibly predict. Yuuko's one limitation is that only other people can initiate Wishes, and she has to be a [[Literal Genie]] to get the result she wants. Things get complicated when the villain of ''[[Tsubasa Reservoir Chronicle]]'' uses his ability to see the future through dreams to manipulate fate this way too, often with the ''same'' costs and effects. There are other dreamseers in the series pulling strings as well, but most of them are allied with either Yuuko or Fei Wong and incorporated into their plans.
** And everything both of them planned was secretly part of Clow Reed's plan, which also incorporated the entire plot of [[Cardcaptor Sakura (Manga)|Cardcaptor Sakura]]. Please note that Clow has been dead for centuries.
** It should also be noted that every member of the initial party is somehow working for Yuuko or Fei Wong. All of them had been previously manipulated by the two [[The Chessmaster|chessmasters]] into the circumstances which led them to Yuuko's shop. Only one of them knows which side he's playing for from the beginning, but even his memories were changed to better serve the [[Big Bad]].
* ''[[Yu-Gi-Oh!]]''
** Dartz, the leader of the Doma Organization, used this to recruit his followers; except for Mai, Haga, and Ryuzaki, all of his servants' past troubles that eventually lead to their joining the Organization were orchestrated by Dartz himself just so he could inflict a rage against humanity in them and use [[More Than Mind Control]] to cajole them into signing up.
** Later on, Yami Bakura's master plan comes up, which [[Yu-Gi-Oh!: The Abridged Series (Web Video)|took over 200 bloody episodes]] to come to fruition.
** Furthermore, in just about every duel in the series, the opposing duelist is always thought to be a [[Chessmaster]], no matter how competent (or not) the duelist actually is. If I had a nickel for every time a duelist says something to the effect of "he was planning it from the start!" (with the only logical exception being Atem/Yami Yugi because he can control destiny with his wi), I'd be a very rich contributor.
* Yubel, Judai's [[Stalker Withwith a Crush]] from ''[[Yu-Gi-Oh! GX]]'' gives a prime example of this trope. During Season 3 of the show, she completes and executes one of the most intricate and chancy plans of the genre (then again, she did have several years isolated in space to contemplate it), by manipulating everyone and everything with mind-control, possession and, [[Serious Business|most unthinkably]], losing a match on purpose.
* ''[[Digimon Adventure 02]]'': Each villain appeared (and sometimes believed himself/herself) to be the [[Big Bad]], only for it to turn out that another, higher villain had orchestrated everything from behind the scenes. It all leads to one final [[Big Bad]], [[Hijacked Byby Ganon|MaloMyotismon]], having used people to use other people to use still others, with no one [[Disc One Final Boss]] aware of the next one's influence. The aspect of this that most ''blatantly'' puts the lie into "I totally planned all that" was Arukenimon, the one villain who ''did'' know she wasn't the top dog: her arc was about her plan to destroy seven [[Cosmic Keystone|Cosmic Keystones]] and cause [[The End of the World Asas We Know It]], which would have made it impossible for her boss to get what it turns out he wanted (not to mention leaving him slightly ''dead.'') [[Willing Suspension of Disbelief|Somehow it's doubtful]] that this is what he had in mind, and the same goes for [[Man Behind the Man|his boss]], the aforementioned MaloMyotismon, who wanted the world(s) intact and accordingly [[Take Over the World|actually conquerable]].
* In the anime and manga ''[[Spiral]]: Suiri no Kizuna'', the ability to ravel and unravel [[Plan|Plans]] and Roulettes is, although it's not stated quite so baldly, a superpower many characters possess. Most of them assert that everything in the plot is a giant Roulette planned by the protagonist's older brother.
* [[Monster (Animemanga)|Johan Liebert]] is possibly the most intelligent human who ever existed. He seems capable of figuring out the nature and intentions of any person he briefly gazes upon and instantly finds a way to use them for his evil schemes or just [[Mind Rape|talk them into committing suicide]] without breaking a sweat. This is [[Willing Suspension of Disbelief|taken so far]] it is better for your sanity to just assume he is omniscient and run with it.
** Or the circumstances of his early life and his growing infamy keep him surrounded by people with really obvious buttons to push, and (like some real-life sociopaths) he fails to even notice the existence of anybody he can't easily play with, some of which feeds back into the camera's Gaze. It's questionable if most of the time he ''has'' any real plans for the future, or if he's just amusing himself with whomever's handy, and the existence of organizations seeking to use him keeps him moving enough to escape capture. He's smarter than most people, but he misses a lot.
* In an episode of ''[[Galaxy Angel (Animeanime)|Galaxy Angel]]'', one (fake) debt leads to the faking of a kidnapping plot by Ranpha and Mint - which leads to another fake kidnapping plot by Volcott - which leads to ''another'' fake kidnapping plot by his commander - which leads to that victim's family landing ''another'' fake plot - which somehow results in some random little girl and bear faking one... Which results in the original perpetrator falling ploy to the plot, leading him to increase the random on ''his'' plot. The story ends on an infinite loop, of course.
* The titular character in the manga/anime ''[[Akagi]]'' used a Gambit Roulette on the blind player Ishikawa that came out of nowhere so fast, that despite everything adding up, it is still hard to believe that everything was on purpose, especially considering his inner thoughts seemed rather random during the match.
* While ''[[Code Geass]]'''s main draw was the [[Gambit Speed Chess]], there's the time Lelouch checkmated Schneizel. Earlier in the series, he'd recorded a fake conversation to make Mao think Lelouch was really speaking to him. It worked, mostly because it was broadly focused. Lelouch never went into any specifics and Mao was too obsessed with C.C. to fully focus. Lelouch just had to say things about C.C. that would rile Mao. But when he did it again with Schneizel, Lelouch somehow knew [[The Tape Knew You Would Say That|the first thing Schneizel was going to say, how he'd respond to any of his statements, the exact timing of the responses, and even the moment Schneizel would]] ''[[The Tape Knew You Would Say That|interrupt him]]''.
* ''[[Kyo Kara Maoh (Light Novel)!|Kyo Kara Maoh]]'': Shinou and Daikenja/Ken Murata had a Roulette in play for ''four thousand years'' aimed at defeating the Soushou.
* In ''[[Fairy Tail]]'', Jellal reveals his [[Gambit Roulette]] after the Magic Council fires a magic laser for the purpose of destroying his aim to resurrect an evil mage. When the dust clears, it's found that it had been his plan to do so all along, as some special crystals have absorbed all the magic fired, giving him the power source to resurrect him. One could say that it was more of a [[Batman Gambit]] considering he planted an astral projection of himself in the council in order to guide them to that point, but there was no guarantee they would use the magic laser, hit the tower straight on, and the crystals would absorb all the magic, and that he wouldn't be found out...etc.
* A frighteningly good Roulette is used in, of ''all'' the Gundam series, the [[Super Robot|much-less-serious]]-[[Real Robot|than-usual]] ''[[G Gundam]]''. Neo-Japan's previous Gundam-Fighter and now military advisor was behind the intrigue to claim the Devil Gundam in order to use it to rule the world. Therefore he blamed Kyouji and removed Domon's father from the scene. He even used Domon to get his hands on his toy of destruction. In the end he can foil Neo-Hong Kong's prime minister to get his hands on the Devil but it is (of course) of no use to him.
** Then of course, we have ''[[Gundam Wing]]'', where Milliardo Peacecraft takes over leadership of [[La Résistance|White Fang]] and says that in order to bring peace, he's going to destroy the source of all conflicts - the Earth. Cue his former best friend Treize Khushrenada, who assumes command of the [[The Federation|World Nation]] and vows to fight Milliardo to the last man. It's subtly hinted in the anime, and outright stated in the manga, that they're faking it, and their '''real''' intention is to scare the world towards peace by showing them a horrible and pointless war - so subtly that, unfortunately, many dismiss Milliardo's actions as a hamhanded retread of ''[[Chars Counterattack]]''.
*** This is because Milliardo either needed to act convincing enough to seem realistically motivated (thus fooling the audience as well as his cohorts) or he actually believed in destroying the Earth like Char. Milliardo goaded Treize into retaking leadership of the Romafeller Foundation as a means to ensure that someone would play off him, since he knew Relena wouldn't be able to. But the whole battle feels more like an elaborate abstraction of chess ala [[Morton's Fork]]. This is best hinted at during the scene in which Treize almost sacrifices himself charging Libra in a [[Thanatos Gambit]], where immediately afterwards, White Fang realizes the whole incident was a farce to get them distracted from Treize's commando troops.
** In ''[[Mobile Suit Gundam 00]]'', Aeolia Schoenberg, a scientist who passed away 200 years before the setting, invented every essential technology required till the present to obtain his supposed ideal of humanity traveling to the stars. Therefore he initiates the creation of Celestial Being and probably the Innovators as well, and possibly foresaw all the important events of the series, e.g. the failure of the first CB actions, the birth of the federation which would turn corrupt and then be beaten by CB again. Though, it's unclear how much of Ribbons behaviour was in unison with his plans. Ribbons claims his rule was the final goal, but that's highly doubtful. It's more likely that Aeolia anticipated Ribbons' betrayal, or perhaps even considered in a necessary part of the plan.
*** Shoenberg's case makes a bit more sense when you consider he put the quantum supercomputer VEDA in charge of running the plan after his death. It's not so much him anticipating things that would happen centuries after his death as VEDA (through Celestial Being) playing [[Gambit Speed Chess]] with the world.
* [[Inuyasha]]'s father, who died before the series began, is to be the driving force behind most of the series, having set it all up so that his sons would get stronger.
* In ''[[Pokémon Special (Manga)|Pokémon Special]]'', Blue's K-O'ed while Sabrina battles Lorelei, then wakes up, [[Evil Gloating|tells Lorelei her entire plan up until that point]], then ''reveals'' that it was her "victory strut" and sends Clefable to grab the ice dolls. She then allows them to become broken, apparently ''taking her lower arm off'' in order to free Sabrina from the spell shackling them together...only that was never her arm in the first place, but rather her Ditto; she'd been expecting some sort of trick and this was her reason for putting her jacket on when she'd first arrived on Cerise Island. [[Fridge Logic|Of course, if that were true, one wonders why she went through all of the trouble of being "dead weight" in the first place, since]] she and Sabrina were apparently never ''actually'' shackled together... Oh, yes, did we mention that she's supposed to be [[Guile Hero|the ''good'' guy?]]
** Sabrina [[What the Hell, Hero?|calls her on this]], of course...and boy, is she pissed, [[Lampshade Hanging|having noted]] that same [[Fridge Logic]]. Blue nervously justifies it saying she had to make it look convincing to Lorelei or she'd lose the element of surprise that ultimately did Lorelei in.
* In the ''[[Pokémon (Animeanime)|Pokémon]]'' episode "The Stolen Stones", Team Rocket devised a plot to steal Fire Stones involving a [[Noodle Implements|rocket ship, a tandem bicycle that splits into two unicycles, a battlefield, three pitfalls (including one placed in the center of the battlefield), and two bags of fake stones]], and Jessie even lost a battle on purpose in order to pull off the plan without a hitch.
* In ''[[Houshin Engi]]'' it turns out that the entire houshin project was really there to destroy an omnipotent being, who was in turn manipulating history. The main character turns out to be the same person as a major villain, the person whom they were, was a member of the same race as the first omnipotent being, and he had predicted the whole series of events hundreds of years earlier.
* In ''[[Jo Jo's Bizarre Adventure (Manga)|Jo Jos Bizarre Adventure]]'' when Dio received brain damage and could barely move, he tried to run away only to be stopped and beaten by Jotaro. Then it was revealed he really wanted to get near Joseph Joestar's body to drain his blood and heal himself, manipulating Jotaro into throwing him right there.
* In ''[[Project ARMS]]'', the ultimate plan of Keith White ends up being this.
* [[Magnificent Bastard|Hiruma]], the quarterback of the Deimon Devilbats, of ''[[Eyeshield 21]]''. Most of the quarterbacks, actually. Takami of Ojou White Knights and Hiruma once had a "Is that what you thought I'd say?" battle in the middle of an intense play.
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* ''[[Neon Genesis Evangelion|Evangelion]]'' is, ultimately, a subversion: the convoluted plans of nearly all factions have as their crux being able to control Rei Ayanami, which, right at the last minute, turns out to be untrue thanks to [[The Power of Love]].
* Oto x Maho has Konata, Kanata's mother, having in the first chapter, what appears to be a [[The Plan|legitimate plan]]. Later, in a flashback scene, we find out that it was only the last stage of a [[Gambit Roulette]] years in the making, which included nothing happening to her and her son, her finding a "supervisor"(A sort of messenger for a [[Magical Girl]]), a bad guy showing up at PRECISELY the right time, her being physically stronger than her son when it ends, not to mention everything else that is purely in the realm of chance. Of course, because of [[Unspoken Plan Guarantee]], it goes off without a hitch.
* Both seasons of [[Ghost in Thethe Shell: Stand Alone Complex]] tend to rely on both sides playing these against one another, with an [[Anti-Villain]] caught in the middle.
* Toua Tokuchi of ''[[One Outs]]'' is a frequent user of this trope, [[Magnificent Bastard|though he still manages to make it look pretty damn awesome.]]
* [[Darker Than Black]]: Amber's ultimate plan to save the contractors is never explained. It involves numerous decoys and sacrifices, as well as planning ahead and taking into a account a ton of random factors and different characters. It ''would'' be a [[Gambit Roulette]]. But it's actually justified because Amber can not only see the future, but she can also rewind time if she messes up.
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* In the series ''[[Daredevil]]'', Vanessa Fisk was the [[Chessmaster]] behind the sinister events that transpired within the first two arcs of writer Ed Brubaker's current run on the title. Every player acted and every scenario unfolded with near-perfect precision, the one hitch being the confrontation with Matt Murdock occurring earlier than planned.
* In the original ''[[V for Vendetta]]'', the hero seems to imply that he killed a man knowing that this would drive the man's wife to assassinate Mr. Susan. On top of that, it was a fight V could not possibly have foreseen that he would have the upper hand in. Made bearable by the fact that V never brags about doing this explicitly, but rather only hints at it. Discussion [http://www.shadowgalaxy.net/Vendetta/mtreuthardt.html#three here]
* The creation of ''[[Preacher (Comic Book)]]'s'' Saint of Killers as orchestrated by God Himself, who through a mere blizzard he generated and a reliance on every single pawn acting accordingly, managed to have the overall chain of events unfold flawlessly according to plan (if we disregard getting [[Hoist Byby His Own Petard]] in the series's ending).
* In Volume 9 of ''[[The Sandman]],'' it is revealed that everything that happened, not only in that volume, but everything that came before to bring everyone to that point, was all Dream's doing. The reason for doing this is revealed shortly after, but that's not even the strangest part. It is implied that he was doing it ''without even knowing it.''
* In ''[[Superman Red Son]]'', Lex Luthor evokes this trope when, after a epic battle between the Superman-controlled communist world and his country, the USA, they are forced to join skills against a Brainiac that reveals itself to be evil. He says "It's almost as if it was planned to the tenth decimal place forty years ago."
* Some of the plots that [[Jack Chick]] imputes to the Vatican fall squarely into this.
* As pointed out by [[Atop the Fourth Wall (Web Video)|Linkara]], the master plan of Prometheus in ''[[Cry for Justice]]'', in addition to being random in and of itself, requires coincidence after coincidence and perfect prediction of the actions of both heroes and villains. Prometheus may be [[Crazy Prepared]] for combat and a genius to boot, but he can't predict the future and even the characters in the story point out that he doesn't have villains in his database of combat tactics.
* Illyana's plan in the latest volume of ''[[New Mutants]]''. Going back in time, she rescues Legion from another dimension and brings him back to earth. She then appears on Utopia, and warns them about Legion's plan to kill Dani and Karma. This causes the reforming of the old [[New Mutants]] team and the capture of Legion. Eventually, Project Purgatory arrives back on earth and kickstarts the events leading up to her return to the past. The team is defeated and captured, allowing the summoning of the Elder Gods. But this is all according to plan, as Illyana has Karma release the REAL Legion and he uses his full powers to destroy the Elder Gods. As part of a still-unrevealed bargain, he then returns Illyana's bloodstones to her and completes her revenge plot against the Elder Gods. All according to plan. And all set up with only a dying warning from Magma to let Illyana knew what was coming.
* In ''X-Men Noir: Mark of Cain'', it's eventually revealed that O*N*E had employed Cain Marko, who in turn employed Thomas Halloway's "X-Men", to steal the Crimson Gem of Cyttorak - so they could bargain it back to Prince Baran of Madripoor in exchange for an extraterritorial prison to be used by Professor X to develop hardened criminals into covert operatives. ''Whew''. However, Halloway later puzzles out that Xavier involved (and killed) Marko in the first place solely to lure Halloway out of hiding. He intended, as a psychiatrist, to study Halloway and his curious [[Chronic Hero Syndrome]].
* How about Lex Luthor's plan in ''Superman Batman Generations''? He uses Gold Kryptonite on Superman's unborn son Joel, forever robbing him of super powers. Then several years later, he goes to Joel and plays off his inferiority complex to turn him against his family, all of which hinged ''entirely'' upon Clark and Lois having another child, one who would have powers and take up the Superman mantle. Then he posed as Lois' doctor and helped fight her cancer so she could see her daughter's wedding day - at which point Joel, who has powers thanks to Luthor, kills his sister while Lex snaps Lois' neck. Then, back at his base, Lex tells Joel about all his lies while admitting that his powers are killing him, meaning Superman's immediate family is all dead now. And the plan's '''still''' not done yet...
* [[Spider -Man]]'s infamous [[The Clone Saga|Clone Saga]] was eventually revealed to be a massive Gambit Roulette by [[Norman Osborn]].
 
 
== Fanfiction ==
* In ''[[Aeon Natum Engel (Fanfic)|Aeon Natum Engel]]'' Gendo admits this is what his plans amount to. Although, considering the setting, even [[Xanatos Gambit|Xanatos Gambits]] are in risk of becoming like this. Why? Well, because [[Eldritch Abomination|Nyarlathotep]] is a [[Spanner in Thethe Works|dick]].
* ''In [[Harry Potter and The Methods of Rationality]]'', Draco remembers a tragedy play his father brought him to see (an expy of [[Death Note (Manga)|Death Note]]), and at the end, Lucius asked him what the meaning of the play was. Draco mistook it to be as clever as the characters. His father chastised him, saying that any plan that requires more than three steps to succeed is unlikely to the point of worthless. And because only a fool goes with a plan that is barely possible, you really should never plan more than two steps.
* Anytime anyone does anything in ''[[Light and Dark - The Adventures of Dark Yagami (Fanfic)|Light and Dark The Adventures of Dark Yagami]]''.
* At the end of the [http://www.fanfiction.net/s/3137871/1/Hero_High Hero] [http://www.fanfiction.net/s/3875254/1/Hero_High_Earth_style High] [http://www.fanfiction.net/s/4267279/1/Hero_High_Sphinx_Academy Series]. The main villain Pharaoh Alexander Sovereign nee Tempus reveals that his entire plan that he has practically set up throughout the series, was to stop his mother's crazy plan, revealing her to be the true villain. Or at least the eviler of two evils. He was also known to being infamous for his plans within plans, as well as fully understanding what a person is likely to do in the situation he presents them.
* ''[[My Little Avengers (Fanfic)|My Little Avengers]]'': It's eventually revealed that ''the entire plot'' was engineered by [[Big Bad|Loki]] in order to create a scenario wherein [[The Hero|Big Mac]] is forced to willingly surrender Thor's power, allowing Loki to take over Equestria. And it temporarily works, too, only being undone due to Pinkie Pie being a bigger [[Spanner in Thethe Works]] than even [[Magnificent Bastard|Loki]] could have anticipated.
 
 
== Film ==
* ''[[Batman: theThe Movie]]'' (1966), the whole thing.
* Jigsaw, the main villain of ''[[Saw]]'', is the textbook writer on this. Not only does he manage to contrive up elaborate traps (some of which can easily be thwarted in the end), but he also can somehow pick out the best people to inflict these on, and figure out exactly how they're going to reach to further his aims. And he does this all while being bedridden. And later, ''dead'', and still able to accurately predict everything that will happen in the world several years after his death, down to the tiniest of details.
** Parodied in an episode of ''[[X -Play]]'', of all things. Adam and Morgan are locked in a cell; which leads Adam to discover a cassette player; which he uses to describe how they are trapped in a madman's game. Morgan, realizing that the player might've had a clue to help them escape, slaps it out of Adam's hand. It turns out the player had a key inside it, which unlocks a cabinet with a TV that the killer broadcasts his messages (his first being that he knew Adam would tape over his recording, Morgan would break the player, and they would find the key).
* Jigsaw looks normal compared to the masked killer in the film ''The Collector'', who rigs up a normal house with pinpoint, gruesome traps so quickly and effectively that it seems more likely that he has magic reality-warping powers like [[Watchmen (Comic Bookcomics)|Dr. Manhattan]] then anything human.
* The ''[[OceansOcean's Eleven]]'' series. The plans of the main characters match this trope quite well, apparently requiring ''everything'' to interlock absolutely perfectly. However, [[Gambit Speed Chess|they have to adjust the plans several times due to unexpected variables]].
** In particular, the heist in ''Ocean's Thirteen'' relies on a [[Gambit Roulette]] within a [[Gambit Roulette]], with a third [[Gambit Roulette]] thrown in for good measure. By the end of the film, the plan becomes so circuitous that it almost qualifies as a subversion itself.
** Subverted in [[Oceans 11|the original]]; all of their gambits seem to have payed off, but a small oversight results in them losing the money in the end.
* In ''[[Wild Things]]'', Suzie plots to kill the dirty cop who killed her ex-boyfriend and get rich in the process. The full plot is too complicated to explain, but involves relying on everyone being willing to betray everyone else, before then discovering that they've been betrayed themselves. And [[But Wait! There's More!|as if that's not enough]], in the final scene, the defense lawyer from the rape trial, chosen from the phonebook, implies that he was somehow in on it all along.
** Most of it does rely on people behaving in [[Batman Gambit|character-predictable ways]] rather than sheer insane chance, especially as the plan meant that anything that looked coincidental was usually a result of then-unrevealed plotters working the other side and delivering the right evidence exactly on cue. It's still ludicrously complicated.
* ''[[The Game (Filmfilm)|The Game]]''. Although it's implied at the end that they had backup plans here and there, not to mention a detailed psych profile on Nicholas to figure out exactly how he'd react, it's hard to believe that CRS could control every detail so completely.
* The terrorist plot in ''[[Die Hard 2]]'' depends on a conveniently-timed severe (but not too severe!) snow storm on the day their leader was being transported. Perhaps there was a deleted scene featuring a weather machine.
* And in ''Die Hard with a Vengeance'' the terrorist plot requires that John McClane solve a series of riddles and puzzles. McClane would not have been able to solve any of the riddles without the help of Zeus Carver. Which the terrorist could not possibly have foreseen.
* Subverted in ''[[Mystery Men]]'' in an exchange between Captain Amazing and Casanova Frankenstein that culminates with [[I Know You Know I Know|"I only knew that you'd know that I knew. Did you know that?"]]
* Eisenheim's plan in ''[[The Illusionist (Filmfilm)|The Illusionist]]'' to fake his love's death and blame it on the Crown Prince of Austria has too many elements to have been coordinated and pulled off as masterfully as it was.
* [[Star Wars|Darth Sidious]]- see the main page.
** The protagonists' plan to rescue Han Solo from Jabba the Hutt in ''Return of the Jedi'', definitely. How courteous of Jabba to put all the players exactly where they were needed--especially the droids--and not [[Combat Pragmatist|just shoot any of them when he had the chance]]. And how courteous of Boba Fett and the guards [[Imperial Stormtrooper Marksmanship Academy|not to hit any of the protagonists]] when they try. Admittedly, getting fed to the Rancor probably wasn't part of the plan, but Luke solved that hitch with a little [[Indy Ploy|improvisation]].
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* ''[[Down With Love]]''. The entire plot turns out to be one of these by Renee Zellwegger's Doris Day-esque heroine to get Ewan McGregor's Rock Hudson-esque guy to fall in love with her, as Zellwegger explains in one really long, fast-spoken monologue. It works perfectly, but subverted in that the side-effects of her campaign lead her to (temporarily) lose interest in him.
* [[Ben Affleck]]'s character in ''[[Paycheck]]'' pulls one of these on himself when he trades a ridiculously huge paycheck for a manila envelope full of odds and ends before being mindwiped. He must figure out how to use them, where, and when, in order to prevent his own death and global destruction. Justified in that he had access to the future-seeing machine he was hired to build in the first place.
* Hilariously subverted by [[Out-Gambitted|Vizzini the Sicilian]] in ''[[The Princess Bride (Filmfilm)|The Princess Bride]]'' during the iocaine powder scene.
* ''[[Basic Instinct]]'' is ludicrously complex, although that's only likely to matter much [[Distracted Byby the Sexy|if you cared about the plot to begin with]].
* While the movie itself wouldn't necessarily be one, the backstory of the film-version of ''[[Speed Racer (Filmfilm)|Speed Racer]]'' might qualify. Apparently a bunch of industries have been controlling the winner of every important race for decades. Apparently all the sponsors agreed on who won ahead of time, were always able to get the drivers to cooperate with them, and (most insanely) no designated "winner" ever crashed, leaving the race open. Let's not even go into the idea that sponsoring a winning car could double your stock price instantly.
* In ''Wicker Park'', one character, Alex, is single-handedly manipulating the three other main characters in a desperate attempt to be with Matthew. She convinces Lisa that Matthew is cheating on her and leads Matthew to believe that Lisa has abandoned him. Also, she dates Luke for the purpose of pumping him for information on Matthew and Lisa.... among other things. Although it appears that most of her plans are made up on the spot, her schemes do seem to generally work masterfully in her favor. That is, until Matthew discovers enough information to force her to admit everything she did.
* J.R. Ewing claims to have planned ''every frickin' little thing'' in the ''[[Dallas]]'' movie.
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* While ''Chaos'' is a good movie, it suffers for being completely made up of hundreds of [[Gambit Roulette|Gambit Roulettes]] in order to advance the plot. 1: The banker pressing the alarm, thus sending in the police. 2: Conners being made the negotiator, thus shutting down the power. 3: Conners shutting down the power, thus giving the virus free game. 4: Conners failing to stop SWAT from entering the bank, thus making the mooks escaping the bank. 5: The mooks not being caught on camera while escaping the bank with the hostages (granted, this one was admitted failed in movie). 6: The female cop's phone going off, thus making the cops entering that building. 7: The fact that the whole idea of letting Conners pretend to be dead was based on the idea that out of 2 guys, 1 body is found, and just because it has Conners badge on it makes the cops take for granted that it's Conners body, while not bothering to look for the MISSING SECOND BODY!)
* In ''[[Push]]'', Nick's plan to save Kira relied on knowing exactly what lie Agent Carver would tell her. Of course, that's just the most obvious sneak in the plan; the whole thing was so convoluted that psychics couldn't tell what was going on. Ultimately, the entire movie was planned, predicted, and orchestrated by Cassie's mother. There's a reason why she's known as the best Watcher in the world.
* Subverted in the Danish ''[[Olsen -Banden]]'' films (and the Norwegian and Swedish remakes thereof) by having Egon Olsen's elaborate schemes go off almost without a hitch, only to have the gang deprived of their rewards later by some amazing coincidence. Egon (the only competent member of the gang) is caught by the police and goes to prison (sometimes even for something he's actually done). Though, sometimes he's playing [[Gambit Speed Chess]] while the Roulette is spinning.
* The remake of ''[[The Wicker Man]]'': every ten years or so, a woman is sent from her isolated island community for the mainland, to find a man, make him fall in love with her, get impregnated, and then take off back to the island. Then, ten years later, they will contact the man, betting on the off-chance that he's still in love with her, and ask him to come to the island in order to search for her missing child (that she only later informs him is his ''own'' child). Why do these women participate in this rather odd sequence of events? Well, it turns out the honey-bees aren't doing their job properly, and they need a human sacrifice with a blood connection to offer up to the fertility gods.
** The original Wicker Man had shades of this as well. Lord Summerisle explained at the end of the film they needed a person form the mainland who wouldn't stop looking for the girl, and assume he has command over the islanders, and who also would totally resist even the most blatant of sexual advances. Aside from knowing all that about Howie personally (he mentions "painstaking research"), or that Howie would be sent to the island to investigate, he was able to jerk Howie around, assumingly with the cooperation of the entire island. There was certainly no way of knowing Howie was going to dress up as The Fool by stealing someone else's costume. The only really direct way he kept Howie in line was sabotaging his plane so he couldn't leave.
* In ''[[Flight Plan (Film)|Flight Plan]]'' an elaborate plot required Jodie Foster's character to take the correct flight on the right day and time, to bring a coffin of her dead husband with her, sit in the correct seat and for no other passenger to notice her daughter. She would then have to fall asleep during the flight and her daughter would need to be kidnapped during the flight while she slept, without anyone noticing the daughter was ever there. Then she would need to act crazy so that [[You Have to Believe Me|no one would believe her story]], and go crazy enough to want to see her dead husband, be savvy enough to pull off a successful [[Indy Ploy]] to get into the cargo bay, and be forgetful enough to leave his coffin unlocked.
* ''[[Arlington Road]]'': the general convolutions of the plot supply [[Roger Ebert]]'s page quote. It has since changes now, but to quote the opening paragraph of his review: "Later, thinking back through the film, we realize it's not just the ending that's cuckoo. Given the logic of the ending, the entire film has to be rethought; this is one of those movies where the characters only seem to be living their own lives, when in fact they're strapped to the wheels of a labyrinthine hidden plot." It is definitely a Batman ploy taken to Roulette levels to the point of being a [[Shoot the Shaggy Dog]] story.
** The best part of this is that Lang actually says to Faraday in the middle of the plan unfurling "Did you really think I would leave anything to chance?" even though his ENTIRE plot relies on several unlikely scenarios to all have to happen one after the other.
* The plot of ''[[Old BoyOldboy]]'' has a [[Big Bad]] whose elaborate plan can completely break the [[Willing Suspension of Disbelief]] at his scheme to get revenge on his high school nemesis. Specifically, the big bad's plot depends on the protagonist having a relationship with a specific woman, who turns out to be his own daughter, whom he hasn't seen since she was a baby. This is [[Hand Wave|handwaved]] by having the villain explain that he used [[Hypno Fool|post-hypnotic suggestions]] on both of them to ensure they would fall in love.
* ''[[Se7en]]'' in which John Doe's master plan hinges on Mills deciding to just shoot him, though he did take measures to increase the likelihood of it happening. John Doe explained in his phone call to Mills that he was "stepping up" his agenda. His final two kills (Wrath and Envy) were originally planned for somebody else, but Mills provided a better opportunity. It is impressive that he was able to pull it together in time.
** Another Roulette would be orchestrating how the cops find Victor, the "Sloth" victim exactly one year to the day after John first captured him. He had to kill the attorney (Greed), plant Victor's fingerprints behind the painting, assume the cops would get the clue to the lawyer's wife, know that the cops would ask the wife about it at the right moment, and know exactly how long it would take them to match the prints with Victor in order to bust into the apartment at the right moment.
* ''[[Face Off|Face/Off]]'': In a prison break sequence for Sean Archer, who is actually in Castor Troy's skin, his plan of escape involves removing the metallic shoes from his feet which inhibit his movement. The only way to do that is to be strapped to an electric chair that fries his brain and presumably kills him. He gets into a fight with a guy Troy screwed over in the past and the guy needed to be put to the chair at just the moment ''before'' he was, and have his brain fried but also he needed to barely survive it. Archer (as Troy) would then be strapped himself and have his boots removed, but would quickly have to convince the guy who hates his guts to help him and save him from the guards before they can electrocute him. It didn't take many words to convince him to die to save Archer.
* The antagonists' plans in the original ''[[House On Haunted Hill (Film)|House Onon Haunted Hill]]'' are not only extremely complicated and based on a large amount of chance, they also require an improbable level of footwork on the part of the antagonists, almost requiring them to be in two places at once.
* ''[[Children of Men]]'', while a brilliant film, contains a pretty major spin of the wheel in the bandit attack: it turns out that Clive Owen's character, Theo, is travelling with a terrorist group that's decided on a bit of regime change. Julian's death during the attack was part of the plan to bring Luke to the leadership of The Fishes. But that means the plan involved a perfect pistol shot, taken from the back of a speeding motorcycle, into a very small car containing not only the pregnant girl who could be the last hope of humanity, but the would-be leader as well. In a realistic film like this it's hard to imagine a plan so dangerous even being considered.
* In ''[[Speed (Film)|Speed]]'', the main villain of the film puts a bomb on a bus to take revenge on a police officer that ruined his last scheme and ransom them for $3.7 million. The rules are that once the bus reaches 50 mph, the bomb is armed, and if it drops below 50, then the bomb goes off. The villain then tells said police officer, conveniently the protagonist, all about this. The problem is, the film makes it quite clear that had our protagonist been just a second sooner, he would have caught the bus before arming the bomb, showing that there may have been time to do so. In this sense, the villain relied on the chance that the protagonist wouldn't make it to the bus in time, else the bomb would never arm and there would be nobody to hold hostage.
** The antagonist did have a remote trigger for the bomb, so he could have just ordered the bus to speed. Maybe...
* The end of ''Ninja Champion'' is especially (in)famous for this.
* In ''[[The a A-Team (Filmfilm)|The a Team]]'' every military action is needlessly dangerous and complex, often relying heavily on the enemy doing some very exact and unlikely actions, like shooting someone directly in the head.
* ''Reindeer Games'' would be completely forgotten if it wasn't for the twist ending that's so insane that it pretty much defies all logic.
* Alexander Pearce's plan in ''[[The Tourist]]''. He tells his wife to board a particular train at a a particular time and randomly select a passenger of his height and build, whom she will then pretend is him in disguise. It turns out that the guy she picked really ''is'' him in disguise. But, wait, go back and read that again: she's to pick a guy at random. Well, what if she had picked a different guy? It's not like there's only one man of his height and build on that train. In fact, she almost ''does'' pick someone else, but it turns out he's traveling with someone. Could have gotten a bit sticky if he'd been alone, no?
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* [[Deconstructed]] in [[Evil Genius Trilogy|Evil Genius]], a young adult novel by Catherine Jinks. Although the hero, Cadel, is very good at manipulating people, when he attempts a [[Gambit Roulette]], it gets out of his control very quickly, leading to the death of several characters.
* The [[Evil Overlord|Shadow Lord]] in the ''Deltora'' books made it clear: "I have many plans. Plans within plans..." And indeed, by the ''beginning'' of the series, he had them set in place so that he was prepared for any conceivable contingency. Except dragons.
* ''[[Harry Potter (Literaturenovel)|Harry Potter]]'':
** In ''[[Harry Potter and The Deathly Hallows]]'', Dumbledore had orchestrated or manipulated almost every major event that had taken place in Harry's life since about the halfway point of ''The Half-Blood Prince'', with the ultimate purpose of Voldemort's destruction.
** Also in ''Deathly Hallows'', Dumbledore's method of getting Harry to find the Hallows relies on random encounters - for example, Hermione only recognised the symbol in her book because she happened to meet Luna's dad at Fleur and Bill's wedding. The same goes for Harry finding out {{spoiler|he is a Horcrux}}; if he hadn't been there when {{spoiler|Snape died}} he would never have {{spoiler|made his [[Heroic Sacrifice]] and Voldemort would've stayed immortal}}.
** In ''[[Harry Potter and The Goblet of Fire]]'', Voldemort and {{spoiler|Barty Crouch Jr.}} devise a complex and convoluted [[Gambit Roulette]] to manipulate Harry into a position where Voldemort can capture him, kill him, and {{spoiler|use his blood to regenerate his body}}.
* In the [[Young Bond]] book ''Double or Die'', a teacher at Eton is kidnapped and only has enough time to send a letter confirming his resignation and send his last crossword to ''The Times''. In this, he manages to get clues to Bond and his friends about what's really happened to him, where they can go to find more information and that a friend of his is coming to Eton. This teacher probably attended a school where [[Death Note (Manga)|Light]] was the headmaster and [[Saw|Jigsaw]] was the art teacher.
* Successfully executed by [[The Chessmaster]] of ''[[The Assassins of Tamurin]]'', but without pushing [[Willing Suspension of Disbelief]], due to the years of effort she puts into it and the fact that she's crazy.
* Avrell Torrent, the [[Big Bad]] of Orson Scott Card's ''Empire'', has been setting up a massive Gambit Roulette that would make Palpatine envious for decades.
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** Leto then continues the trend in the next book, which picks up at the end of his 3,500 year reign as God Emperor and details an incredibly complicated plan whose final goals are to produce a breed of human who is immune to prescience and to wean humanity off of its dependence on oracles. Furthermore, the product of this breeding program is intended to kill him in such a manner as to guarantee the continuation of the sandworms and the spice. He succeeds on all counts.
** The gambits of Miles Teg and the Bene Gesserit in ''Heretics of Dune'' and ''Chapterhouse: Dune'' take on a similar flavor, resulting in yet another [[Gambit Pileup]].
* ''[[And Then There Were None (Literature)|And Then There Were None]]'' by [[Agatha Christie (Creator)|Agatha Christie]] involves a person who not only wants to kill 10 people who got away with a crime, but to do it in a certain order (from least horrible crimes to most horrible), and to make the deaths fit a [[Poetic Serial Killer|nursery rhyme that he/she happened to like]]. So many things had to go right: if a certain victim had not died last or had shot rather than hung himself/herself under psychological stress, or if someone had seen the killer after his/her "death," or if the doctor had been less gullible, or if a sea storm had not sprung up, preventing any rescuer from reaching Indian Island, or if the killer's body had not rotted enough for the time of death to be uncertain, etc.), that it was almost impossible for everything to work out perfectly in the end. Yet it did. With the occasional [[Plot Hole]] added into it, such as (the gun having only the fingerprints of the last person to touch it, despite its owner also having handled it).
** [[The Film of the Book]] does away with the silliness with the result that the killer's plan ultimately fails, and the last two intended victims survive.
** There is another [[The Film of the Book]] (USSR, 1988) which repeats the book with one exception: in the end the killer, instead of wiping away all clues, just shoots himself/herself.
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** The plot in ''Evil Under the Sun'' is another example. The murderer/s not only rely on synchronizing their movements according to a very precise schedule, but also arrange for the body to be "discovered" before the actual murder takes place, while the unsuspecting intended victim is hiding nearby. There are a number of ways that could have gone wrong...
* A lot of early detective fiction relies on [[Gambit Roulette|Gambit Roulettes]] to the point where Raymond Chandler discusses it as a failing of the genre in his essay "The Simple Art of Murder".
* ''[[Animorphs (Literature)|Animorphs]]'':
** Jake's plan to infiltrate and capture the Yeerk pool ship is a complex [[Batman Gambit]] that includes the manipulation of no less than eight separate factions, brilliantly executed by a sixteen-year-old kid of average intelligence.
** The true [[Chessmaster|Chessmasters]] in the series are the Ellimist and Crayak. The Ellimist's backstory begins with his favourite game being to achieve world/system domination by proxy in a simulation by changing just one factor. In the game he decides to have the clouds on a moon part to give the inhabitants the urge to travel (he loses the game though). Everything that happens in the series (including the creation of at least two highly advanced races) is implied or outright stated to be the result of his subtle moves in his overall game against Crayak.
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* [[Tad Williams]]' fantasy trilogy ''Memory, Sorrow, and Thorn'' uses this to good effect. The nebbish protagonist gets embroiled in a standard fantasy plot, complete with magical swords and ancient prophecies about what to do with them. However, the [[Big Bad]], who's been around since forever, '''made''' the prophecies to trick the heroes into bringing the swords right to him. He doesn't do a single thing throughout the book until the end.
* Apparently, everything [[The Pendragon Adventure|Saint Dane]] does is part of his grand plan for Halla. A lot of which is manipulating Bobby (and Mark and Courtney) to do exactly what he wants them to do without realizing it. And then stepping in to show Bobby how horribly he's been defeated [[Hope Spot|just after he thought he won.]]
* Fortune Teller Shalice of ''[[The Pilo Family Circus (Literature)|The Pilo Family Circus]]'' demonstrates her understanding of the trope in this statement:
{{quote| Man raises his middle finger at a passing car; the driver ponders it, wondering what he'd done to offend the stranger, misses his route home while distracted, and collides with a van, killing the driver who was the real target of the exercise. The simplest of scenarios, but the setups could be so elaborate and huge they shaped the course of history.}}
** One of her ''simplest'' manipulations involves watering the lawn in front of the Acrobats' tent; when one of them left the tent, he slips on the wet grass, and angrily blames [[Monster Clown|the pranksters in the Clown Division]]. He then steals a crate of fireworks to take revenge on the clowns, only to leave it by the Circus Funhouse, where one of the local dwarfs uses it as a target in a cigar-flicking game: the resulting explosion takes out half the funhouse, and forces the management to start relying on Shalice for help again. {{spoiler|Or at least, it ''should'' have.}}
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** In the first, everything is set up by Gesar in order to rewrite Olga's fate in order to reinstate her connection to the Twilight and give her back her magical powers so that he and she can be equal. Some of this may be justified in that they are magicians of great power who have been alive for thousands of years and have the ability to peer into the possibilities of the future, but there are still moments when the reader (and the characters) is left wondering what is [[Gambit Roulette|planned]] and what is just [[Gambit Speed Chess|taking advantage of the situations as they arise]].
* In [[Michael Crichton]]'s novel ''Rising Sun'', pretty much the entire Japanese nation is portrayed as Gambit Roulettists in garish contrast to stupid Americans who don't seem to know their noses are actually on their faces, much less than they're being led around by them. The implication is that the murder of the girl in the novel was set up right from the beginning simply to embarrass another Japanese family, right down to knowing which officer was on duty that night, that John Conner would become involved as a result, and that events would go very much as planned.
* From ''[[Encyclopedia Brown (Literature)|Encyclopedia Brown]]'', we have a robber planning to strike as the victim does his grocery shopping, but calculates he won't have enough time. No problem, just ask him to pick up four tubes of toothpaste, extending his grocery list from 7 to 11 items and thus forcing him to take a non-express lane. So the plan is: Our victim won't question why the man wants ''four'' tubes of toothpaste and will proceed to buy them all. Our victim will be honorable and take a non-express lane for being one item over (since that fourth tube of toothpaste was ''so important''). This will slow our victim down significantly enough to finish robbing his house. (This one, at least, was given a [[Hand Wave]]-- apparently the supermarket in question is notorious for all of its non-express lanes being glacially slow... [[Voodoo Shark|all the more reason why our victim might choose to take the express lane despite that 11th item]].)
* In Fred Saberhagan's [[Book of Swords]], and companion series Book of Lost Swords, the character of The Emperor is shown to be very nearly omniscient in his plans, including fathering several children to various otherwise unimportant women around the known world, some 10 years before the events of the first book. Justified since the Emperor is {{spoiler|G-d}}.
* In ''[[Daemon]]'', by Daniel Suarez, Matthew Sobol, through his Daemon AI, manages to accurately predict and control events throughout the book, even after Sobol's death. While there are humans in the Daemon apparatus, they are not depicted as being in controlling positions. Either Sobol was a master at the Gambit Roulette, or his AI was a master at Speed Chess.
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* Used and lampshaded in the ''Bad Blood'' chapter of the ''[[Trainspotting]]'' novel, where the HIV-positive character Davie pulls this on Alan Venters, the man who gave the HIV to the former's girlfriend by raping her, thus leading to Davie's own contraction of the virus. His plan is to make friends with a dying Venters, so that he is allowed to visit him in hospital, and also with the mother of the rapist's only son so that one day she may trust him enough to let him babysit for her. When this happens Davie drugs the child with a sleep-inducing substance and takes pictures of him, making it look like he violently raped and murdered the boy. Then he shows the pictures to Venters on his deathbed and suffocates him with a pillow, thus filling his last moments in life with immeasurable suffering. Of course, this entire plan depended greatly on random chance (most significantly on Venters staying alive long enough for all the pieces to fall into place), a fact that Davie is well aware of.
* In ''[[The Saga of Darren Shan]]''- in the last book Darren and Steve find out that they are sons of Desmond Tiny (Destiny) and that their entire life, the wars they fought in, the losses they suffered...it was all planned by Mr.Tiny. It was all a game for Tiny that in the end would in the end come down to only Steve Vs.Darren- which would then proceed to get rid of the weaker of the two.
* At the end of ''[[Good Omens (Literature)|Good Omens]]'', the characters begin to suspect (though they certainly can't confirm it) that the whole plot was a Gambit Roulette by [[God]]. Could be a [[Justified]] example for once...
* Kronos in ''[[Percy Jackson and The Olympians]]'' earned his nickname, the Crooked One, for excelling at this. ''Whenever'' his plans are thwarted, he or one of his minions says something along the lines of "we planned it that way". While he's still rotting away in Tartarus, he assembles an army, brings a dead girl back to life, kidnaps a goddess, and plans an invasion. After finding a way to possess Luke's body, he becomes almost unstoppable and is barely defeated in the end. Apparently the one thing he didn't plan for was Luke regaining control of his body just in time, resulting in [[Redemption Equals Death]] for Luke and [[And I Must Scream]] for Kronos
* A heroic version of Gambit Roulette is found in ''Master of the Five Magics'', by [[Lyndon Hardy]]. The fate of the world depends on a thaumaturge solving the puzzle of a castle in order to find an alchemical solution which will lead to a magical sphere which, when completed, will lead to the study of sorcery. After that, he has to come close enough to the chamber of a wizard in suspended animation to recognize the location, then awaken the wizard. Among the things that make this truly roulette: alchemy is a magical gamble, where one thousand starts can end in two successful potions, or none; getting the magical sphere correct depends on recognizing a faint difference, correcting the ritual for it, and finishing the crafting before the sphere explodes; the only reason Alodar is anywhere the tomb is because the ship he's on sinks nearby; and the plan finishes with what amounts to, "Hopefully, this person can save the world."
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== Live Action TV ==
* In japanese drama ''Uramiya Honpo'', almost every plan Uramiya uses to punish her victims is a Gambit Roulette. The most blatant exemple being the second movie special, 'Mind Control No Wana'. In the last episode of the first season, we were introduced to Kiyomi, a woman who looked exactly like Uramiya and has been institutionalized since her family was murdered before her eyes when she was a child. In 'Mind Control No Wana', it is revealed that the murderer is Sunstone, an insane guru who is also {{spoiler|her real father (he raped her mother)}} and intends to marry her on his 55 birthday. After discovering the truth, Kiyomi hired Uramiya to help her avenge her family's death. Uramiya's plan was {{spoiler|to disfigure Kiyomi with acid so her face could be rebuilt into an exact replica of Uramiya, so years later, Sunstone will kill Kiyomi, mistaking her for Uramiya.}} And it worked!
* In the series ''[[Lie to Me (TV series)|Lie to Me]]'', this is Cal Lightman's favorite strategy, calling it the Long Con. This to the point of even tricking his own employees into actions he knew they would do to help.
* On ''[[Twenty Four|24]]'' many terrorist plans are of this nature. For example, one plan in the fourth season involves kidnapping the Secretary of Defense, and threatening to execute him live on the Internet; using the traffic that generates as a mask for them hacking into every nuclear power plant in America; using ''that'' as a diversion for hijacking a fighter plane to shoot down Air Force One, then stealing the nuclear "football" from the wreckage; using the data in the football to intercept a nuclear missile being transported through Iowa; and finally, firing the missile at Los Angeles. The villains have no explicable way of knowing that the football would survive the impact, that the plane would crash close enough to their location for them to reach it before emergency crews, or that a nuclear missile would be on the road in the vicinity of their secondary team.
** Not to mention that the football codes are worthless unless you are the President and even then he can't launch alone unless we are already at DEFCON 1. It takes 2 people, the President and the Secretary of Defense (if he is kidnapped or compromised, another approved official) to launch unless at DEFCON 1. Also, the President's nuclear codes are to activate the Single Integrated Operational Plan (now known as OPLAN or CONPLAN), not any single missile.
** To be clear, the terrorists would have wanted the code to the Permissive Action Link (PAL) mechanism on the warhead, which is not known by the President, but would only be accessible to a senior officer (at least O-6) responsible for those weapons. And even then, PAL code lists (usually six digits) are (supposedly) split between commands, so any one person or one location will only have half of any particular PAL code until the code is relayed in a nuclear release order.
** On the other hand, Habib Marwan's plan is a little more flexible than many Gambit Roulettes, in that overall success or failure did not ''require'' every single sub-plan to succeed. Sure, Bauer and CTU foiled a lot of his plans, but he accomplishes quite a bit - destroying a train, kidnapping the Secretary of Defense, shooting down Air Force One and [[Bus Crash|apparently killing the President of the United States, or at least forcing him out of office.]], causing massive fear and terror, and all in one day. The guy's ''at least'' the most successful terrorist since Osama bin Laden, and no doubt a revered martyr among the Islamist radical community.
** Let's not forget that the heroes had to make some staggeringly stupid decisions for the plot even to advance as far as it did: Federal Agents arrive to arrest Jack in the middle of trying to arrest Marwan and refuse to let him finish, allowing Marwan to escape. A defense contractor worries that that the Secretary of Defense's future son-in-law might find incriminating information, so they start torturing him to find out what he knows. When Jack threatens to get away anyway, they ''set off an EMP in downtown Los Angeles'' and fly in a team of mercenaries they apparently had on standby for murdering CIA agents. Many other examples.
* Subverted in ''[[Heroes (TV series)|Heroes]]'': it appears the mysterious organization seems to be manipulating a ridiculous number of variables to come out at a dark future, but we eventually discover that things didn't turn out quite as they planned either...
** They specifically have: 1) a guy who can see the future; 2) a little girl who can tell them exactly where any human being in the world is at all times; 3) a telepath capable of reading people's minds over long distances and probing their deepest memories. And, initially, 4) an agent capable of total ''mind control'', being able to order anyone she can talk to to do anything and then make them forget about it. All this makes the villains' prescience at least a '''bit''' more plausible. Really, the dizzying array of assets the Company has at the outset of the series tends to make their '''failures''' less believable than their successes. As is frequently said about the RPG ''[[Exalted]]'', with characters this powerful, if they haven't remade the world in their image by the end of the campaign, you must be doing something wrong.
** Used straight on a smaller scale, when Nathan's crusade is about to be shut down by an appalled Homeland Security agent (and acquaintance of the currently imprisoned Tracy), Nate's [[Psycho for Hire]] [[The Dragon|second-in-command]] manages to rig Tracy's restraints, so she'd break free, try to escape, and show just how dangerous she really is... just in time for the agent (who'd just returned with an armful of Cease And Desist orders) to see her freak out and kill someone (something Tracy hadn't done in a while because she had actual control of her powers now). This whole scenario ''only'' works if Tracy panics and kills - something she hadn't done in months. Not to mention the chance that the agent shuts the place down anyway and insists Tracy be tried for murder, publicly.
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** Supposedly the reveal would have been that the Seventh Doctor was playing the [[Bill and Teds Excellent Adventure]] game. His future self was setting things up so his past self would succeed ... which, of course, meant that he couldn't cheat his way out of having to play [[Gambit Speed Chess]], since his future self would remember his past self's difficulties and be unable to prevent them. It's hinted at vaguely in "Survival" and blatantly in "Battlefield," but the series ended before it became explicit.
** Though we haven't quite seen all of it yet, the plan of the Silence over series 5 and 6 of the new ''[[Doctor Who]]'' is very much turning out to be a case of this. Much of the plan is coherent. YMMV if this is a gambit rather than a roulette.
* In ''[[Angel (TV)|Angel]]'', Jasmine claims that virtually ''everything'' that's happened in the series up to the point of her arrival on Earth was the result of her manipulation. She may have just been trying to be impressive, though.
** The odd thing is of how little importance to her actual plan was the stuff that she was obviously directly responsible for. It's revealed that she is the master of the Beast, the demon that came to LA to slaughter a group of mystical beings in order to black out the sun and cause LA to become a haven for vampires and force the gang to release Angelus to deal with the Beast, only to have to deal with the trouble of re-ensouling Angelus after the whole ordeal. And this is all AFTER she has possessed Cordelia and has a vessel to release herself to Earth. The excuse given is that this is all a distraction so no one notices that she has possessed Cordelia, [[Fridge Logic|when in fact she could've just ran off somewhere for the time being before giving "birth".]]
*** They do mention that she claims all the disasters she had caused where in fact "a higher being's birth pains", and the people claiming that this was "all part of the plan" were either working for her, or came out of her mouth. In other words, [[Unreliable Expositor]].
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* Many of the schemes in ''[[Veronica Mars]]'' verge into this territory, most notably the plan to kidnap her boyfriend's baby, which had as linchpins one character opening a letter addressed to someone else, her phone being tapped, and the sheriff driving all the way to Mexico without looking in his trunk.
* ''[[Mission Impossible]]'' did this weekly for years.
* The ''[[Tales From the Crypt (TV)|Tales Fromfrom the Crypt]]'' episode "The Pit" relied entirely on this. Not only were two men able to predict exactly how their wives would react in a certain situation, they were also able to reschedule a major international fighting event, change the designated fighters, AND apparently hype this last-minute change to the point that no ratings were lost, all without their wives finding out. Even more bizarrely, they seemed fairly confident that their wives would kill each other in the match (although, assuming one survived, her husband could have filed for divorce).
* An episode of ''[[Fringe]]'' had an FBI agent who was infected with a life-threatening parasite which was cured at the very last second. Turns out he apparently infected himself, and the entire episode was a plan to get his wife to overhear a secret discovered by other FBI agents while they were trying to save him. But if even a single thing in the episode had gone differently - including the fact that an attempt to catch a suspect had been botched - then the plan would not have worked. Note that if the heroes were even five minutes too late, the plotter would have been dead, and if they had gotten the necessary information just a few minutes prior, the wife would not have been in the room.
** Fringe writers seem to enjoy justifying this trope. in the episode ''Plateau'', the villain Milo gained [[The Plan|super plan making powers]] by taking a drug. He orchestrated peoples deaths by setting a pen on the ground and creating a chain reaction ending in a traffic accident. In the most recent episode its been revealed that the observers are crazy good at these, but that's justified by time travel or by the fact that time isn't even linear for them. They can see ''all points of time at once.''
*** In the case of Milo, it was subverted by the episode's end. Olivia managed to avoid the subtle death trap Milo planned, because she ignored the "air quality" warning that was crucial to her getting distracted for a split second, like all the other victims. The reason? {{spoiler|This took place when Olivia in our universe was manipulated into believing she was the "other" Olivia in the alternate universe. Fortunately for her, minor details didn't quite get through to her, so she wouldn't have recognized the "air quality" warning everyone else did}}. Needless to say, Milo was quite surprised when Olivia didn't fall for the trap.
* In the [[Grand Finale]] of ''[[Star Trek: Voyager]]'' the evil Borg Queen suggests that the reason Voyager always miraculously escapes the Borg is because she's been protecting them all along, as Seven of Nine is her "favourite." This is somewhat implausible, but the audience may not have noticed due to the distracting sight of the Borg Queen's blatant [[Les Yay]] with [[Ms. Fanservice]] of Voyager.
** It precedes this, as Dark Frontier has the Borg Queen essentially say that she orchestrated 7 of 9 being taken in by Voyager and integrated into the crew, so that she could later coerce her into returning to the Collective. This required the following - Voyager to attempt to ally themselves with the Borg, then ask for a representative, then for the cube to be destroyed allowing 7 to get onto Voyager and then, despite the Borg stabbing Voyager in the back, 7 surviving and being taken into the Voyager crew.
* In one episode of ''[[Scrubs]]'', Elliot Reed is mad at JD and punishes him by telling his girlfriend not to sleep with him. After finally acquiescing to her demands (to admit they weren't even) she writes him a note saying that he may sleep with her. He [[Shaggy Dog Story|spends the rest of the episode]] trying to catch up to his girlfriend, only to realize the note actually says "Now we're even." The problem? At no point is the note concealed from anyone but the camera. It was handed to JD unfolded and face up, and remained that way the entire episode. Yes, this entire dastardly plot would have been thwarted if he'd looked down.
** It could be argued that even if he had read the note earlier, Elliot's plan would still have worked - she'd have gotten her revenge on J.D. one way or the other.
* In ''[[Red Dwarf (TV)|Red Dwarf]]'' season 8, Holly claims that everything that has happened since Lister woke up from stasis back on Red Dwarf has been orchestrated by Holly to keep Lister distracted. Resurrecting the crew was just his latest scheme.
** Of course, Holly being Holly, it's most likely just made up to make himself sound smart. Or because he felt like saying it, said it, then realised it would make him sound smart, so stuck with that story. So maybe not an actual Gambit anything.
*** In an earlier episode, Holly impersonates another AI and leads the cast through a complete adventure where Holly Dies at the end. It's actually completely possible that Holly is orchestrating the entire series to keep Lister distracted and that pretending to be computer senile is part of it.
* God does this in ''[[Joan of Arcadia]]'', but then - God. Omniscient.
* ''[[Wonderfalls]]'' has the same overarching theme, with God's big Rube Goldberg device.
* [[Lampshade Hanging|Lampshaded]] in an episode of the (surprisingly good fun) 2000 series ''[[The Invisible Man (TV series)|The Invisible Man]]'' with a speech given by the hero to the recurring villain, at whose mercy he is. Having asked the villain to [[Just Shoot Him]] or at least knock him out and get on with whatever he wants to do, he launches into:
{{quote| ''What is it with all these complex plots, huh? What is it? Is it a Swiss thing, is that what it is?'' (...) ''No, no, don't defend it, please.'' (...) ''Please, will you just admit it?'' (...) ''You're ridiculous. You are! I mean, you join the Q gland design team just so you can steal the design. You... you make me think Kevin's alive so I can lead you to some files that, hey, Buddy? You could have found on your own with a little research. Then you give me the flu so I can what? Wind up in some hospital room and you can take the gland out of me? Douche. Rube Goldberg has got nothing on you, pal.''}}
* Lampshaded by the National Security Advisor in the Season 4 finale of ''[[The West Wing]]'': the terrorists' entire plan to kidnap the daughter of the President of the United States hinged, first, on her taking some of her boyfriend's Ecstasy (which had been laced with GHB) and, second, on her deciding to use the bathroom in the club before leaving.
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* An interesting justified version happened in the first episode of [[Sherlock]], where the murder victim used Gambit Roulette to lay out a trail of clues to help the police identify her killer. Yes, it was a roulette, but considering that she had to concoct and execute this plan within the last hour or so of her life while under the watchful eyes of her killer, it makes sense that it wasn't planned out better.
** Also, a lot of Moriarty's plans depend on this. The second series finale is the best example, with many elements apparently coming down to luck, and absolutely ''hinging'' on the police being incredibly stupid.
* Happens in ''[[Star Trek: theThe Next Generation]]'' episode ''The Most Toys''. Collector [[Complete Monster|Kivas Fajo]] wants to add Lt. Data to his collection. To succesfully kidnap Data and fake his accidental death, he poisons the water supply of a Federation colony with Tricyanate, making it look like a natural disaster. Because the only antidote, Hitridium, is extremely unstable, he's the only merchant in the region selling the [[Green Rocks]] needed to solve this catastrophe. Said green rocks cannot be beamed, thus they must be be shuttled over because they are highly volatile, resulting in a good cover-up for any accidental explosion of the shuttle. His plan, however, hinged on the fact that Picard would send Data on the simple job of ferrying things back and forth, and this is nothing the collector has any control over. Furthermore, Data is not even the crew's best pilot (that honor goes to Riker), and being a high ranking member of the crew, he could very well not have been available to do this ferrying job. Furthermore, the Enterprise has HUNDREDS of crewmembers Picard can choose from. Thankfully, it seems fate threw him a bone and Picard decided to pick Data for the job that day.
** Not to mention it leaned heavily on the Enterprise being the closest ship in the sector to respond to the distress call from the colony.
** The fact that Data is the only android crew member might be part of why he was picked for this mission. He's a stickler for procedure, thus eliminating the possibility of "pilot error" that might result in a Hitridium explosion.
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== [[Multiple Media]] ==
* Spoofed in an episode of the [[The Frantics|Frantics]]' sketch comedy show ''Four on the Floor''. Burglars are breaking into an office building. As they close in on the safe that is their target, the ringleader accurately predicts a series of improbable events including the night watchman having a fatal heart attack, a flying priest passing the office window, and a door-to-door dynamite salesman happening to be in the area. Each time, the leader smirks and tells his cohort, "Just like I planned it!"
* In [[LEGO]]'s ''[[Bionicle]]'' universe, the main villain of every story year so far, Makuta Teridax, has been defeated several times, but has revealed that he has, in fact, ''planned'' for every possible setback ahead of time. The [[Gambit Roulette]] is still turning, in fact, as he planned for all of the following to happen: the destruction of his own body, the death of the benevolent Great Spirit Mata Nui, the subsequent resurrection of said spirit, the rest of the world believing him dead... And the odd thing is, he seems to be the only one. There seems to be no [[Gambit Pileup]] coming, no (glaringly obvious) [[Deus Ex Machina]], just a slow slide towards his victory, trying to keep him from winning as long as possible. Quite dark for a [[Merchandise-Driven]] children's story. It went [[Death Note (Manga)|exactly as planned]]. Makuta committed [[Grand Theft Me]] on Mata Nui just as his soul was about to return to his body, becoming the universe as a result and banishing Mata Nui into a [[Soul Jar]] and out of the Matoran Universe
** Indirectly lampshaded when he discussed the matter with Vakama: "Little Toa, you have not yet begun to see even the barest outlines of my plans. I have schemes within schemes that would boggle your feeble mind. You may counter one, but there are a thousand more of which you know nothing. Even my ... setbacks ... are planned for, and so I shall win in the end."
** Well, he hasn't planned for ''every'' possible setback, but instead tended to adapt to the situation. Throwing the fight against Takanuva was likely improvised as a way to get the heroes off his back. Getting crushed by a huge gate at the end of that confrontation was definitely ''not'' part of The Plan, according to [[Word of God]] but it didn't hurt too much as he was going to abandon his body in the end anyway.
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== Mythology ==
* In ''[[The Iliad (Literature)|The Iliad]]'', Zeus launches an incredibly complicated plan that involves manipulating gods and mortals alike to set off a war between Troy and the cities of Greece that kills thousands upon thousands of mortals. One of his two ultimate goals is to whittle down the surplus population of Earth so the earth goddess Gaia wouldn't send another monster after him, as she had done previously with Typhon and the Giants, and more particularly to destroy the many demigods he had fathered with various mortal women on all those occasions he had cuckolded Hera, to keep them from threatening his power.
** ''[[Oedipus Rex]]'', in which everything that has happened to Oedipus has been one of several possible outcomes all to the benefit of Apollo, who is implied to have orchestrated the events of the play from minimally as far back as Laius's rule before Oed was born and even as far back as Cadmus's searching for his sister Io and founding Thebes in the first place. Then again, Apollo is not only a god, but specifically the god of prophecy.
*** Oedipus was part of a plan to make another war (with Thebes as the main participant) to finish what the war with Troy started.
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== [[Professional Wrestling]] ==
* In the retcon type, it has been revealed that WWE's [[Kane (Wrestlingwrestling)|Kane]] has been working a plan that's equal parts this and [[Indy Ploy]] since he debuted fourteen years ago, the overall goal to be to exact vengeance against his [[Kayfabe]] brother [[The Undertaker]] by overcoming him and taking his place as the dominant force in the WWE. One thing that really puts this one over the top - Kane's ultimate success came in the form of burying Undertaker alive. This fourteen year plan involved doing so ''twice'' before that.
* In [[TNA]], the recent Eric Bischoff / [[Hulk Hogan]] angle paints the both as cunning schemers of Machiavellian levels though many elements of their scheme ([[Jeff Hardy]] being able to make it to the World Title Tournament finals & Dixie Carter foolishly signing a contract without even ''looking'' at it) would completely unravel the scheme if it had not gone precisely in their favor, requiring the conspirators to either be insanely lucky or nigh-omniscient.
** There is also the fact that they had plenty of opportunities to get the World title on either [[Jeff Hardy]] or Abyss that were much more convenient than the Triple Threat match at ''Bound for Glory''. For example, at ''Victory Road'' 2010, there was a Fatal Four Way match involving Jeff Hardy vs. Abyss vs. Mr. Anderson vs. [[Rob Van Dam]], or at ''The Whole F'n Show'' where they had Abyss vs. [[Rob Van Dam]] with Eric Bischoff as the guest referee.
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** And yet they're still not as bad as their employers. The Maidens of Fate seem to order baffling orders to their servants, who just go along with it because [[A God Am I|who's going to argue?]] [[Organization Index|The Bureau of Oversight]] is just as bad, often giving Sidereals assignments like "Make sure the princess is wearing white at the ball next Thursday" or "replace a rose in a garden with a lily" or "move the chair four inches to the left."
*** Both of these groups, however, have the supernatural powers and influences to make sure they can see the full consequences of these gambits in advance, and/or adjust fate itself to pre-ordain them. It's a gambit roulette to outsiders, but fairly predictable daily business for them.
* [[Green Ronin]]'s D20 Medieval campaign setting has the Prelate [[Prestige Class]], whose ultimate ability is to kill Murphy's Law. Any and all plans the Prelate makes will go according to plan unless someone else is running a counterplan. The class is, of course, a [[Captain Ersatz]] of [[The Three Musketeers (Literaturenovel)|Cardinal Richelieu]].
* The Great Dragon Dunkelzahn, an important metaplot NPC in the Shadowrun universe, manages to orchestrate plans that required the ability to predict {{spoiler|volcanic eruptions causing new islands to form, massive stock market transactions, an insane AI taking over an archology, and pretty much every major event even those happening over a decade after his death}} and still manages to influence all of them in some shape or form, even causing some of them..
** This is [[Lampshade Hanging|Lampshaded]] many times by the Shadowtalk commenters and handwaved by others speculating Great Dragons possibly having divination powers. This is done for any of the massive plots of any of the Great Dragons...though how the immortal elves managed THEIR roulettes...
* In ''[[Magic: theThe Gathering]]'', the ancient [[Magnificent Bastard]] planeswalker dragon Nicol Bolas subtly pulls strings behind the scenes to unseal the Eye of Ugin and release the Eldrazi for reasons known only to himself. When his henchman Sarkhan Vol asks how he managed to set up the exact circumstances to unlock the seal, Bolas admits that he merely set up as much as he could and relied on chance for the rest.
** Speaking of which, in the actual game it is possible to pull off one of your own with Genesis (not tournament-legal) and a green/white Kamigawa deck that contains among other things, Kodama of the Center Tree. Just discard Genesis, and have enough green and white lands to summon most cards. If your foe has enchantments or artifacts, cycling one of the spirit cards destroys them (there's even one to prevent damage, Kami of the False Hope). If your enemy relies on multiple attackers, you can soulshift Kodama of the Center Tree to pull them out of your grave. If you need to have a heavy hitter, you can pull Kodama out of your grave. Then you can use Genesis to put it back in your deck. There are random outcomes that can cause you to lose (the opponent has a speed deck, you don't draw genesis or enough lands), but normally no matter what you do or is done to you, you can have some option to win.
* The Quori in ''[[Eberron]]'' frequently pull off this kind of plan, and the game offers a really good explanation as to how: in addition to being super-intelligent [[Eldritch Abomination|Eldritch Abominations]], the Quori frequently return to their home plane to plot, where [[Year Inside, Hour Outside]] is in effect. This essentially means that they have ''weeks'' to plan their next move while a single night passes on the Material Plane.
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== [[Video Games]] ==
* In ''[[Shadow of Destiny]]'' the Homunculi arranged all the events in hopes of being free of the bonds of the game put on it leading to multiple endings including Discovering Eikre is actually the Alchemist from centuries ago , discovering the girl in modern times is actually the centuries old daughter and the real daughter was trapped back in time , and other things. However after all play throughs Eikre can use the players own knowledge and choose bonus ending A. Causing a paradox by making the homuncili touch the gem and destroying it thus ending it's Gambit roulette or bonus ending b Giving the alchemist the knowlledge and means to save his dying wife Either ending ends with Eikre fading away and then in modern times a man looking like him getting hit in the back like in the beginning of the game but instead of a knife he turns to see it's a soccer ball and the boy who kicked it turns out to be a descendant of the boy who was trying to kill him but now since none of that happened everyones happy... cept the homunculi
* In the ''[[Marathon (Video Game)Trilogy|Marathon]]'' games, [[AI Is a Crapshoot|AIs who have gone Rampant]] tend to make these kind of plans.
* Both 3D [[PSPlay Station 2]] ''[[Castlevania]]'' games have plots that sneak suspiciously close to this. ''Lament of Innocence'' more so than ''Curse of Darkness'', as in ''Curse of Darkness'' {{spoiler|Dracula}} is wirepulling everything from behind the scenes, and there's perhaps only one character he has no major influence over - Julia. Anyhow, Isaac's devious and original scheme is ''Dracula's'' devious and original scheme. Hector even spells it out in the end. ''Lament of Innocence'' sees Mathias playing some serious hardcore roulette, and it's actually quite terrifying to see how much of a 'Master tactician' he is. For that plan to work, everything would have had to unfold exactly as it does in the game. Which it does. He is a scary, scary man.
* ''[[City of Heroes]]'' has a Doctor Doom-esque villain named Nemesis who takes this to an extreme in almost every encounter. In a single story arc, he tricks the hero into defeating some neo-fascists that ''looked'' like they were going to take over his infrastructure, just to save himself the bother; predicts that your contact will believe Nemesis's real plan was to take over the neo-fascists' robot army and send you to prevent that, while he proceeds with a kidnapping; and wraps it all up by having you supposedly ''[[Not Quite Dead|kill]]'' him - even though, as a superhero, you may have never killed anyone else before (and indeed are explicitly prevented from doing so by the game mechanics), and despite his well-known use of countless robot doubles. Your Contact actually comments on this, noting that his death should have been impossible, speculating that Nemesis's real objectives were twofold, first to throw the heroes off his trail by faking his death, giving him breathing room to implement ''more'' plots, and second and most importantly, to get ahold of the technology from the kidnapped person to enable him to create perfect mechanical duplicates of ''his own mind'', resulting in the annoying prospect of having to deal with an endless supply of super-intelligent mechanical jackass villains. Finally, many heroes might have preferred Nemesis's power-base to be taken over by virtually anyone that wasn't quite so good with the [[Gambit Roulette]]. (It should be noted that this is far from Nemesis's most convoluted scheme.)
** Oh, it gets better when you find out that he engineered the Rikti war.
** Apparently, he invented time travel as well. Still, his [[Paper-Thin Disguise]] leads to some doubt: Nemesis ''never'' moves that openly. So, is he genuinely apologetic for unleashing [[The End of the World Asas We Know It]] or is this a part of an even more elaborate scheme?
** One of the [[Loading Screen]] hints is "Everything is a Nemesis Plot." Another hint is "Not everything is a Nemesis Plot." Also he was apparently Emperor of the US after [[World War II]] (his reign was brief, however.)
*** More recently, following Issue 14: Architect: "If it's not already a Nemesis plot, you can use the Mission Architect to make it one."
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*** It's beyond that in complexity. Ocelot actually pretends that Liquid's arm took over his personality by self-suggestion in order to trick the Patriots into believing he was a similar threat as Liquid Snake in ''Metal Gear Solid 1'', so the Patriots would pull their own [[Plan]] to use Snake to defeat Ocelot, which is what he exactly planned for, as they became so focused on defeating Ocelot that they failed to realize that [[Mind Screw|in the course of defeating him Snake would also end up destroying the Patriots]].
* Bian Zoldark from ''[[Super Robot Wars]]: Original Generation'' tried this. It was subverted by the fact that he was able to do it while still in control of his organization, but once he died as part of his master scheme, his own group fell to factional in-fighting and nearly doomed it.
* In ''[[Super Paper Mario (Video Game)|Super Paper Mario]]'' for the Nintendo Wii, Dimentio has been orchestrating events all along as part of the [[Quirky Miniboss Squad]] so that after the hero's prophesied defeat of the [[Big Bad]] Count Bleck, he could take over the power needed to destroy the universe, channel it through one of the heroes, Luigi, to destroy and recreate the universe.
* In ''[[Chrono Cross (Video Game)|Chrono Cross]]'' the entire plot is the result of multiple sides manipulating each other into doing their bidding. But it turns out, the manipulators are also being manipulated. And so are the manipulators of the manipulators. Now throw in [[Time Travel]] and [[Alternate Universe|Alternate Universes]] and you see how overcomplicated this actually gets.
* The entire underlying plot behind ''[[Fire Emblem]]: Path of Radiance'' is a twenty-something year-old [[Gambit Roulette]] centered around Lehran's Medallion and channeling power into it by thrusting the entire continent into a war, so that Ashnard could release the Dark God.
** And in the sequel, ''Radiant Dawn'', it is revealed that Ashnard was but a pawn in an even ''larger'' roulette, orchestrated by none other than Lehran himself, who turned out to be Sephiran, the Prime Minister of Bengion, and a major ally in Path of Radiance. He wanted the "Dark God," Yune (who's actually rather nice, if a tad rude) to be released, only because this would also wake up her sister, Ashera, the Goddess of order, who would then cleanse the world of all life.
* In ''[[Jade Empire]]'', Master Sun Li, the Glorious Strategist, pulls off a twenty year Gambit Roulette to put himself in power by training the main character so that only he knows how to kill him/her, yet keeping him/her loyal, letting him/her kill the emperor after baiting him/her to that point, and then killing the main character and taking the throne. If you replay the game you can see all the points where he was manipulating things. Also lampshaded by the Spirit Monk while talking to the soldier in Tien's Landing when s/he comments that "he couldn't possibly have known that the flyer was going to crash here" (or something to that effect).
* Onaga's manipulation of Shujinko to revive him in ''[[Mortal Kombat Deception (Video Game)|Mortal Kombat Deception]]'' can certainly qualify.
** As well as Argus's plan to prevent [[The End of the World Asas We Know It]] in ''[[Mortal Kombat Armageddon (Video Game)|Mortal Kombat Armageddon]]''.
* In the higher stages of [[Kirby]]'s [[Spin-Off|Avalanche]], a computer will, despite all of your disruption tactics, somehow ''always'' manage to pull off an Avalanche (a chain of 9 or greater) if you don't beat them in [[Harder Than Hard|under two minutes]].
* Master Albert from the ''[[Mega Man ZX]]'' series may have broken a record for the longest-running single [[Gambit Roulette]] (in video games, at least), in order to reset the world and ''[[A God Am I|become its god.]]'' He even threw a couple of gambits into the mix. And it all conspired over a couple of centuries. It didn't quite work out, considering {{spoiler|he was fighting his great-great-great granddaughter/spare body, with the biometal with the same powers as he}}, but even then, he doesn't seem to care anyway.
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* Chzo of the titular ''[[Chzo Mythos]]'' was able to pull this off, due to being omniscient (and only on one day of the year, too) and able to see the past, present and future at the same time. He got what he wanted, but how much was exactly the way he intended is up for debate.
* In ''[[Sherlock Holmes]] Versus [[Gentleman Thief|Arsene Lupin]]'', Lupin's entire scheme pretty much exemplifies this trope. And then it turns out that the whole scheme- which took months to set up- was actually a [[Kansas City Shuffle|smokescreen to ensure that the whole of London's police force would be in the wrong place while he carried out his ''actual'' theft]]. This required a [[Plan]] of its own. And then the ''game'' has been playing Gambit with you all along, and if you fall for Lupin's ploy it gives you a really disheartening ending. While you are given a hint to the real target at the beginning of the game, it is tempting to choose the obvious option when the clue to your final destination is basically "It starts with 'B' and ends with 'ig Ben'." Choosing Big Ben, however, results in a cutscene of Watson, Lestrade and the Prime Minister coming up with precisely nothing, and then you are treated to a screen explaining that, due to your incorrect choice, Watson and Holmes become estranged, Holmes retires because he's crushed by his failure, and Lestrade is demoted to traffic duty.
* The ''[[Ace Attorney]]'' series ''subverts'' this, of all things in the fourth game's finale. The real killer's defense is that since he was in prison, he had no way of getting the victim to lick the poison stamp just as Wright and Brushel started to look into a certain case more deeply, and challenges Apollo to prove he had some convoluted plot to carry this out. Klavier, though, calls his bluff, and points out that he can't prove it - because the whole thing was one big coincidence anyways, and the victim should've died from the stamp years ago, but survived due to his daughter being a [[Spanner in Thethe Works]].
** Throughout the entirety of ''[[Apollo Justice: Ace Attorney]]'', Phoenix spends 70% of the game off working on a "Secret Mission". The ending reveals that Phoenix has been manipulating Apollo, Trucy, Kristoph, Klavier, and several other characters for years to single-handedly correct a major flaw in the current legal system, get revenge on Kristoph Gavin for having him disbarred (itself a [[Plan]] against Phoenix), solve a seven year-old mystery, clear the name of three different people whom he barely knows, ''help recover the memories of an amnesiac woman he's never met outside of knowing her husband for all of two weeks and one day, AND REUNITE HER WITH HER CHILDREN, APOLLO AND TRUCY.'' AND EVERYTHING GOES JUST. AS. PLANNED.
* ''[[Nintendo Wars|Battalion Wars 2]]'' provides a fine example of this.In an attempt to recover a lost superweapon, Kaiser Vlad manipulates the news to cause the Anglo Isles to attack the Solar Empire. When the Anglo Isles retreats, the Solar Empire launches a counter-attack, and asks the Tundran Territories to help them. While everyone is busy with that, Vlad launches a full scale invasion of Tundra, fights his way to the far north, locates and mines the super weapon, and tries to run away. [[You Can't Thwart Stage One|Of course, everything goes as planned,]] until that last step. The allied nations crush his armies, attack his mining spider, and in the end, Vlad and Kommandt Ubel end up trapped in a mine shaft.
** What's really maddening is that Vlad Doesn't invade Tundra until ''After'' they pull out of the Isles.
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*** Jack being [[Bomb Throwing Anarchist|Jack]], it's quite possible he's just stirring up chaos [[For the Lulz]]. Even if LaCroix doesn't get blown up in his moment of truimph, he's still got every faction running around in a panic shooting at each other, which he likely finds ''[[Deadly Prank|hilarious]]'']].
*** There's no evidence that Caine had any interest other than as an observer; Los Angeles is still just a small corner of the world. And Jack may have been playing a [[Xanatos Gambit]] instead, planting the sarcophagus to answer the question whether La Croix is powerhungry enough to commit diablerie, on a Methuselah no less, and solve the problem in one go. If La Croix hadn't attempted to open the coffin, Jack could be content that while the Camarilla in general and La Croix in particular are nuisances to the anarchy status quo, at least their professed enlightened self-interest isn't a dangerous sham.
* Wilhelm from ''[[Xenosaga (Video Game)|Xenosaga]]''. It wouldn't be a far stretch to say he had prepared a [[Plan]], [[Gambit Pileup|which involves MANY other plans]], that spans ''several millenia''. And involves resetting the universe countless times, not unlike a [[Groundhog Day Loop]], so that the whole plan may actually span ''many tens of thousands of years''. And that's probably on the lower end of the scale. However, this actually has a good Justification. Wilhelm possesses something called the Compass of Order and Chaos, which allows him to see the flow of the human conscious. He has also been the head of Vector since humanity left Lost Jerusalem (Earth); the kicker is that, if Vector didn't exist, humanity would've been wiped out. Because humanity needed to rely on Vector's goods to survive, it gave Wilhelm ''de facto'' control over humanity. Additionally, being the head of Vector, a former member of politics in the world of [[Xenosaga (Video Game)|Xenosaga]], a Cardinal of Ormus by the name of Heinlein and the President of Hyams Heavy Industries, Vector's main rival]], Wilhelm has extensive knowledge of what's happening throughout the story. It helps that he's also a [[The Chessmaster|chessmaster]] extraordinaire, probably due to living for [[Time Abyss|several millenia]]. Given all this, it really isn't a far stretch that his plan worked simply because he had ''that'' much control over events.
** Wilhelm, and the Four Testaments, are based on the figures of the Demiurge and his Archons from Gnosticism. According to the Gnostics, Sophia, a female aspect of the true god that created the universe, an ancient word for wisdom, and analogous to the human soul, is an Aeon, an emanation of this god and, according to some traditions, she attempted to emanate as the true god did and failed, which caused her to fall out of what is known as the Pleroma, the Fullness or Oneness of the true god which is composed of all the aeons. During this exile, she gives birth to the Demiurge, and being ashamed of this, encloses him within a cloud and gives him a throne. The Demiurge who is sometimes called YHVH, also known as Ialdabaoth, is oblivious of Sophia but apparently knows of the true god's existence, and creates the material world, encasing the power he has from Sophia in matter. To ensure that the souls trapped in matter remain so, he resorts to the eternal recurrence which is, as was mentioned before, a universal time reset button. To go back to the Pleroma, one must learn the Gnosis, the secret knowledge, which was spread by Jesus, who is another Aeon. The seven Archons are the servants of Ialdabaoth and can be compared to the angels and demons of other religions, and represent the seven sins which further distances the human from returning to the Pleroma.
*** Now Xenosaga makes a lot more sense.
* ''[[Star Fox Adventures (Video Game)|Star Fox Adventures]]'' has Andross's plan to revive himself. As explained at the end, he learned of the power of the Krazoa spirits on Dinosaur Planet, as well as Krystal's ability to channel their power, then had her trapped a crystal so that as Fox returned the other spirits, their power would be channeled through Krystal to revive him. So he had to [[The Man Behind the Man|manipulate]] General Scales into pushing Krystal into the Krazoa spirit's breath's path, which trapped her in a crystal that would channel the spirit's energy, and more importantly somehow know both that Krystal would arrive on the planet and that she had the ability to channel energy... although of course, we have no idea how omniscient evil ape ghosts really are.
* As it turns out, almost everything that happened during ''[[Starcraft]] 1'' and Brood War was just one epic [[Gambit Roulette]] by The Overmind. The Overmind was created by the Xel'Naga to control the zerg swarms, but [[Big Bad|The Dark One]] made sure it was made "with consciousness but without free will" and compelled to destroy the protoss. The Overmind (presumably by virtue of being a mountain-sized brain) had a vision of the future telling it that if it didn't do something to change the course of events then all its zerg children would become food for the menacing [[The Dragon|hybrids]], so - it infested Kerrigan, the most powerful psychic it could find, to give her the potential to control the zerg, then engineered its own death so that the zerg would be released from its control and into Kerrigan's, but not before making its prophecy available for Zeratul to reach, letting Zeratul know that they needed to use [[MacGuffin|the artifacts]] on Kerrigan so that she'd be freed from the same overriding compulsions that had ruled The Overmind, and also letting them know that they must not kill her. This would then rob the hybrids of their ability to control the zerg and use them to destroy all the other factions and bring about [[The End of the World Asas We Know It|the end of the universe]]. That's a pretty epic gamble right there.
** The plan's actually more simple, if you assume it's [[Xanatos Speed Chess]].
*** Overmind develops Kerrigan to replace him. Problem: He's still controlling her.
**** Solution: Make himself vulnerable. She takes over, she can defy the hybrids. Unfortunately, she's still an evil bitch.
**** After death, the spirit of the Overmind lives on...and lets Zeratul know the plan,, and reveals the artifact.
* [[Umineko no Naku Koro Ni (Visual Novel)ni|Kinzo's]] ability to use magic seems to rely on this.
** As EP7 reveals, Kinzo's true plan with the epitaph is that it was ''made'' to be solved by one person - Yasu. It was all a big gamble in order to get Yasu to forgive him. There's a ''reason'' why the inscription above the chapel says "You will only be blessed at a probability of a [[Million-to-One Chance|quadrillion to one]]." [[Spanner in Thethe Works|Except he probably didn't count on any of the siblings being able to solve the epitaph's riddle.]]
* There's a [http://youtu.be/ye7b3bOQ6lY famous video] of a ''[[Pokémon]]'' player using a convoluted method to turn [[Joke Character|Magikarp]] into an [[Lethal Joke Character|overpowered sweeper]] capable of laughing off [[Tier -Induced Scrappy|uber-tier Pokémon]]. This method relies ''extremely'' heavily on the actions of his opponent (opening with Kyogre and not switching, to give Magikarp rain for its Swift Swim speed boost), and some utterly random factors (the duration of the sleep status effect). The video creator mentions this.
* In ''[[.hack GU Games|.hack//G.U.]]'', {{spoiler|[[Magnificent Bastard|Ovan]]}}'s plan is this. His plan relies entirely on getting Haseo to fight ''all'' of the other Avatars, something which could have been rendered impossible by any number of circumstances (What would've happened if an epitaph user simply decided to stop playing the game?). He even [[Lampshade Hanging|lampshades]] this near the end; {{spoiler|when Yata asks him if everything that's happened was all part of his plan, Ovan responds that all of it was pure chance.}}
* ''[[G Senjou no Maou (Visual Novel)|G Senjou no Maou]]'' gives us one in the form of the devil, [[Magnificent Bastard|Maou]]. Every one of his plans require that everyone acts exactly how he knows them to act. A single misstep would bring down the entire scheme. This culminates in his last giant trap: {{spoiler|creating a blockade and making it a hell on earth all to get his father out of prison}}. It should also be noted that despite this, he ''still'' manages to weasel himself out of sticky situations by playing [[Gambit Speed Chess]] with the protagonists.
* In ''[[Rainbow Six]] Vegas'', Gabriel Nowak--one of your allies--turns out to be the mastermind behind an assault on the entirety of Las Vegas by an army of mercenary terrorists, in order to distract the authorities and assault a hidden military complex under a dam suspiciously like Hoover Dam, in order to steal prototype weaponry. How does he convince the good-guys he is on their side? He participates in an operation where he is captured by terrorists. In the first game, after being captured, he is rescued by other members of Rainbow. In the middle of the escape, the team gets into a firefight, then leaves him behind, later revealing that he is the bad-guy when he manages to steal a Rainbow helicopter and is either shot down or just crashes it. In ''Vegas 2'', he apparently was released before his "rescue" in order to masquerade as an NSA agent supporting ''yet another'' Rainbow team--two members of which were in the team that rescues him--before going back to the casino where he is "held captive", then goes back pretending to be an NSA Agent in order to fool his former mentor and fellow Rainbow member, Bishop and bump off an underling, one of the terrorist leaders. In addition to being a heist plan who's complexity surpases that of something cooked up by Danny Ocean, it requires absolutely ''everything'' to go exactly to plan. And all the while, he is simultaneously at huge risk for getting mistaken as an escaped hostage or an NSA Agent and shot by his own mooks, getting blown up in his own capture or dying in the helicopter crash (you can just shoot it down, but if you don't it seems like he did it intentionally). It's also worth mentioning that he also did the attack on Vegas to take two scientists from the WMD project hostage, ''knowing'' they would be rescued so they could be sent back to the compound under the dam...to be taken hostage ''again'' in the attack on the dam! The odds that he would not get killed trying to do this--never mind getting away with it--are astronomical. But he ''does''...nearly. But hey, it's [[Viva Las Vegas|Vegas, baby]]!...*sigh* [[I Need a Freaking Drink]] after typing that...
 
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** On the non-[[Eldritch Abomination]] front, Terezi is good at this as well. Though again, somewhat justified- she's [[Blind Seer|the Seer of Mind]], so she can predict the outcomes and effects of the choices of individuals.
* Freefall: Sam Starfall's favorite master plan is to simply imply he HAS a master plan, then let his victims make up the details....
* In ''[[El Goonish Shive (Webcomic)|El Goonish Shive]]'', Magus needs Ellen to zap Elliot with her [[Gender Bender]] ray. His plans range from the "slightly implausible" (he orchestrated the entire sequence of events that led up to Ellen's "[[Opposite Sex Clone|birth]]") to the completely ridiculous (planning to amplify Ellen's desire for pepper in order to make her sneeze and accidentally zap Elliot).
{{quote| '''Magus:''' [[Lampshade Hanging|Wow, I really am desperate for a plan]].}}
** Chaos has more of these (and in fact was involved in some of Magus'). Justified in her case, since she's practically omniscient and ''[[Prescience Is Predictable|bored]]''. She wants things as random as possible because its more fun that way.
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== [[Web Original]] ==
* Played with in [[The Defrosters]]. In episode 9, Pixel Girl implies that she is working on a [[Plan]] to stop Pixel Boy from playing World of Warcraft. She and James even mention TV Tropes as they debate the differences between a Gambit Roulette and a [[Xanatos Gambit]].
* Obscure example, but in [[Avatar: theThe Abridged Series|GanXingba]]'s [http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vhVPxYCXeRA Avatar: TAS], a comment is made mocking Zhao's- and Light's (Death Note) -ability to have plans that rely on perfect timing and actions they shouldn't be able to see coming.
{{quote| '''Zhao:''' (Speaking of Zhao's denial of use of the Yu Yan Archers) Well darn, it looks like I'm out of luck barring a sudden promotion, like the one arriving right now.<br />
'''Colonel Shinu:''' What!? There's no way you could have timed this down to the second!<br />
'''Zhao:''' Of course I can. I went to the Light Yagami School of Strategy. I can practically predict the future. }}
* Mentioned extensively in [http://www.cracked.com/article_16848_6-most-pointlessly-elaborate-movie-murder-plots.html Cracked.com's 6 Most Pointlessly Elaborate Movie Murder Plots].
* The purple and pink unicorns of the [http://youtube.com/watch?v=CsGYh8AacgY&feature=user Charlie the Unicorn] fame went through some pretty crazy convoluted schemes just to steal from Charlie. In [http://youtube.com/watch?v=QFCSXr6qnv4 Charlie the Unicorn 2], the fact that they get sucked into a [[Swirly Energy Thingy|strange vortex]] and find an amulet to return to the alleged â��Bo-nana Kingâ�, have a somewhat [[Gratuitous Spanish|gratuitous Spanish]] conversation to a giant block Z, ride a giant sneaker, arrive at the Temple of the Bananas, then perform in a sing-a-long accompanied with a chorus just to discover that [[Twist Ending|Charlie was the Banana King all along]] is a completely outrageous chain of events seeing how this was just used to distract Charlie long enough to rob him of his valuables. Then again, the pink and purple unicorns could just be [[Obfuscating Stupidity|obfuscating stupidity]]â�¦or are they?.
* [http://www.seventhsanctum.com/gens/evilplot.html This webpage] lets you create your own plots which can easily become Gambit Roulettes, for example: Your unstoppable plot: hone your psychic powers, easily allowing you to summon a powerful spirit, easily allowing you to kidnap a popular singer for a huge ransom, easily allowing you to force your minions to make a super battleship, so you can create an evil temple, so you can acquire an unstoppable mega-tank, which allows you to kidnap the prime minister so you can replace him/her with an imposter, so you can force your minions to make a high-tech submarine, easily allowing you to summon a demonic force, which sets the stage to seize control of a legion of golems, which sets the stage to build a clone machine, which sets the stage to pillage the hemisphere which will slake your dark need for power!
* In the early days of the [[League of Intergalactic Cosmic Champions]] The Man In Black would claim that things were going exactly as planned, even if there was no way he could have planned it.
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** It's also got God in on the act. "When you do things right, people won't be sure you've done anything at all."
*** Well he ''is'' God...
* Parodied in ''The [[Aqua Teen Hunger Force (Animation)|Aqua Teen Hunger Force]] Colon Movie Film For Theatres''; antagonist Walter Mellon reveals that he created the Aqua Teens, Dr. Weird, and the Insanoflex, and kidnapped [[Rush|Neil Peart]] in the meanwhile, so that Frylock and Dr. Weird would ultimately become enemies and fight to their deaths, whereupon he would inherit their houses and use the land to build a gym. Frylock then informs Mellon that they all ''rent'', and he couldn't have built gyms in residential areas anyway. Then the movie ended.
* The "Winners Special" was actually an overcomplicated plot for the ''[[Total Drama Island (Animation)|Total Drama Island]]'' powers that be (both in and out of universe) to use for the purpose of making the second season, in a [[Crowning Moment of Awesome]] for the whole series.
* In the infamous ''[[South Park]]'' episode "Scott Tenorman Must Die", Cartman devises an extremely intricate plan to exact revenge on Scott Tenorman for cheating him out of $16.12. The plan relies on several red herrings and on Stan and Kyle's betrayal and culminates with Scott eating chili that is made of his own parents' ground-up remains and subsequently crying in front of his favorite band, Radiohead, who then mock him for being a "crybaby".
* The Pixies' "thirty-seven year plan to take over Fairy World" in the [[Musical Episode]] of ''[[The Fairly Odd Parents]]'' is so hilariously convoluted it possibly defies description. After it ultimately fails (for apparently not the first time), they wonder if they should try a six-week plan this time.
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** It gets even crazier in the season 4 finale, when it's revealed that EVERYTHING outlined above was in fact orchestrated by General Treister to expose and eliminate Doe and Cardholder, who were actually moles for the Guild of Calamitous Intent; then install Hunter as the new head of the OSI. In other words, Treister's roulette depended on somebody else perfectly orchestrating and executing their own roulette, which quite possibly makes him the true master of this trope.
*** Meanwhile Mol infiltrates SPHINX as "the rookie" (unsure if she's always been or just sometime before the season finale) in order to (possibly) place her Blackhearts as prostitutes that Dr. Venture orders for Hank and Dean's home school prom in order to distract Brock while she gets away with her SPHINX captured and doped up love, Monstroso (who may be a decoy). Or maybe the Blackhearts thing was a lie. Complicated doesn't even hit ''the tip'' of the iceberg.
* Xanatos in the ''[[Gargoyles (Animation)|Gargoyles]]'' episode "Metamorphasis." His plan to fake the death of his colleague Dr. Sevarius and get a mutated Derek Maza on his side requires that the Gargoyles attack his lab at exactly the right moment before Derek is about to receive a "cure," then for Sevarius to get knocked into his aquarium during the ensuing fight and somehow not receive a fatal charge from his ''two'' electric eels.
** All indications are that the Illuminati was preparing for one of these in the ''[[Gargoyles (Animation)|Gargoyles]]'' comic, considering its operatives specifically told Xanatos that they wanted the Gargoyles to be accepted in society, told the leader of the Quarrymen that the organization wanted them destroyed, and told Matt Bluestone that they preferred the current status quo of uneasy distancing. Too bad it was [[Cut Short]].
* In the fifth season of ''[[TMNTTeenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2003|Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles]]'' (2003), it was revealed that every event in the series until then -- the Shredder's rise to power, Hamato Yoshi's death, the creation of the turtles, etc. -- had all been allowed to occur as part of a plan to {{spoiler|kill the demon Shredder}}.
* ''[[My Little Pony: Friendship Is Magic (Animation)|My Little Pony Friendship Is Magic]]'': When [[Big Good|Princess Celestia]] appears at the end of the two-part pilot for the first season, she announces she'd basically planned out the whole plot in advance, in that she knew that Twilight Sparkle would end up using the Elements of Harmony to defeat the villain. How she knew she'd run into just the right group of new friends and they'd each get a chance to prove themselves along the way as fit to wield the Elements is anyone's guess. Celestia is certainly smart, and the true extent of her abilities is unknown, but predicting all that would have taken near omniscience. (So even she ''has'' that, it's still the trope by default.)