Home by Christmas: Difference between revisions

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Quite a lot, actually. This trope is about overconfidence in a war situation, be it about the entire war or a specific attack - the point is that [[Tempting Fate|what is assumed beforehand to end in a quick and easy victory]] turns into a long and gruelling battle (or even a quick and easy ''defeat'') instead. This makes any ''statements'' of confidence about the matter, such as 'Tomorrow we'll have coffee in Huesca' in the page quote, a lot [[Harsher in Hindsight]].
 
Very often [[Truth in Television]]. Compare [[It Seemed Like a Good Idea At Thethe Time]].
 
{{examples|Examples: }}
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== [[Literature]] ==
* In the [[Discworld]] book ''[[Discworld (Literature)/Jingo|Jingo]]'', the [[Upperclass Twit|Upper Class Twits]] leading the Morporkian army thought that they'd have a jolly good time teaching the Klatchians a lesson, that the enemy would run at the sight of their steel, and that they'd be home by Hogswatch. This despite the fact that they were badly armed, hopelessly outnumbered, and the Klatchians who actually saw their steel tended to start sniggering.
** Later in the book, one character bemoans that "We were going to sail into Klatch and be in Al-Khali by teatime, drinking sherbet with pliant young women in the Rhoxi," mirroring the confident statements of some WWII soldiers that "We'll be drinking coffee in Berlin by teatime."
* In ''[[Honor Harrington (Literature)|The Short Victorious War]]'', The People's Republic of Haven leaders decide to resort to war against Manticore. A short, victorious war, they believe, will both distract the proles from their current economic problems and allow them to use the riches of the Manticore system to prop up their welfare state. Needless to say, the war is a disaster for Haven and ends up lasting for almost 20 years.
** They even [[Lampshade]] this with a quote from V.K. Plehve (see the [[Real Life]] section below), providing the [[Title Drop]] for the book in the opening epigraph.
 
== [[Television]] ==
* The final episode of ''Blackadder Goes Forth'' (the fourth and last ''[[Black AdderBlackadder]]'' series, set during [[World War One]]) features characters making remarks like 'It's ice cream in Berlin in 15 days', 'See you all in Berlin for coffee and cakes', and 'We'll be sucking sausages in Berlin by teatime!' about the upcoming battle. Eventually Blackadder [[Lampshade Hanging|hangs a lampshade on]] this by [[Deadpan Snarker|snarking]], 'I hope their cafés are well stocked; everyone seems determined to eat out the moment they arrive.'
* ''[[Studio 60 On the Sunset Strip]]'': during a two parter where a cast member's brother is being held hostage in Afghanistan, we see a [[Flash Back]], during which the President of the network (who was only a VP then) opines that the war will be over in a month.
* The Battle of Serenity Valley in ''[[Firefly]]'' was assumed by Alliance command to be an easy victory. Though the Independents would ultimately lose the battle due to massive Alliance air support, the browncoats were nonetheless able to hold the Alliance for far longer than anyone thought possible (the fact that the Alliance ''had'' to call in the air support was a victory of sorts). Unfortunately, it's implied that the "victory" in the valley was ultimately disastrous for the Independents, who surrendered not long after.
 
== [[Video Games]] ==
* Often happens in [[Real Time Strategy]] or [[Turn -Based Strategy]] games when a player attacks another player or an AI opponent with an army which is ''slightly'' too small.
* [[Scary Dogmatic Aliens|The Covenant]] from ''[[Halo]]'' believed that their war against humanity would be a short venture. Instead, the war would drag on for another twenty-seven years with no end in sight for either side and would divide Covenant society to the point of [[Civil War]] (the opposite effect was true of the humans, whose many factions, after years of fighting amongst one another, generally agreed to unify against the common threat of genocide by the Covenant war machine, though there was still fighting between the groups as of 2552).
* The opening of ''[[Hogs of War]]'', as with any other [[War Tropes]] parodied, literally ends with this: [[Blatant Lies|"With some luck, it will all be over by Christmas".]] The obligatory [[Harsher in Hindsight]] part comes when, in the ending, we find out that the glasses-wearing soldier seen in the opening got dumped by his girlfriend and is now homeless due to his house having been destroyed during the war.
 
== [[Web Original]] ==
* In the story "Heart of the Lion" from ''[[The Wulf Archives (Literature)|The Wulf Archives]]'', the White Empire attempts to conquer the Veldt Lands in order to enslave the natives. This "quick campaign," led by an arrogant [[Upperclass Twit]] by the name of Lord Heatham, fails miserably -- less than half of the forces fielded actually make it to the battlefield due to adverse sea conditions and local diseases on land, and the battle with the Sholanti ends with everyone on the battlefield (except the protagonist) slaughtered to a man.
 
== [[Real Life]] ==
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*** Operation Market Garden had much more complex reasons for being initiated, as well. Eisenhower felt that he ''had'' to launch the operation to appease ''his'' superiors (the civilian politicians who wanted the war over as quickly as possible). He felt that a more measured approach, steadily winning ground from the Germans, would have been better, but he instead committed most of his forces to the operation in an attempt to secure a route straight to Berlin. In fairness, had the operation succeeded, the war ''would'' have been over by Christmas of 1944, possibly long before. The failure of the operation and the sheer amount of resources committed to it, which then tied up ''more'' resources in an attempt to save the men who were cut off from Allied aid, meant that the war would drag on until May 1945.
* When Boris Yeltsin's popularity declined, he thought he needed a quick military victory to boost his prestige. The Chechen rebels would do nicely... or so he believed. The result was a long and bloody war which ended in humiliating defeat for the Russian army, ultimately doing little more than showcasing that the once-feared Red Army was not even a shadow of its former self.
** Thigh were much more complex really. The main reason for the First Chechen War was not so much a Yeltsin's wish for a prestige, as is was the attempt to avoid a further national decay. There were a lot of separatist movements in Russia at the time, and the Chechens, who ''were'' attacking civilians and engaging in their own ethnic cleansing campaign, were just most dangerous of them. The war wasn't also as much lost as it turned into a bloody quagmire [[The Government]] decided to wash its collective hands off of. See [[The War Onon Terror]] (well, the less favorable portrayals thereof).
* Before the [[Arab -Israeli Conflict|1948 Arab-Israeli War]], one Arab general infamously claimed, "This time next week we will be eating lunch in Tel Aviv." Turns out, not so much.
* During the [[Second Sino -Japanese War]], the Japanese predicted that Shanghai would fall in three days. However, they were not prepared for the strength of their opposition, including a million of Chiang Kai-Shek's elite soldiers trained by German advisors. It took three long and hellish ''months'' involving fierce urban warfare before Shanghai finally fell.
* During the [[Korean War]], General Douglas [[Mac Arthur]] was quoted saying this almost word-for-word about the progress of coalition forces. Then the Chinese entered on the opposite side and the war was stretched out for a few more years.
* A complaint occasionally fielded about the American public during the [[War On Terror]], especially in the early years, was that they expected this ''despite'' warnings from government officials that they were in for a very long campaign. Blame for this is typically laid upon the surprisingly easy victory in [[Curb Stomp Battle|Desert Storm]], where the American-led coalition steamrollered over the Iraqi forces. Then again, the Gulf War of 1991 was a very different sort of war from the wars the US would be fighting in the early 21st century.