False Cause: Difference between revisions

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** "Number people who drowned by falling into a swimming-pool" [http://tylervigen.com/view_correlation?id=359 correlates with] "Number of films Niclas Cage appeared in"
* A hilarious demonstration of how [[Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics|bad statistics]] work in "[http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/04/02/beware-regional-scatterplots/ Beware Regional Scatterplots]" by Scott Alexander in Slate Star Codex. Values of yearly rainfall and number of men per 100 women in 48 US states correlate (r = 0.84, p ≤ 0.0001). "Do women cause rainfall? Does rain drive men away?" Answer: {{spoiler|There are 3 distinct sets mixed together, which differ in both values for very loosely related reasons that make sense on their own. Data points ''within'' each group form roughly symmetrical clouds you'd expect from independent variables. And if you want to take the averages of these different groups and then compare them, you'll have only 3 points - too few to speak of a "correlation". }}
* Mencius Moldbug, while "[[Nay Theist|nontheist]]" himself, wrote objections to the arguments of atheists more than once, [https://www.unqualified-reservations.org/2007/09/how-dawkins-got-pwned-part-1/ e.g.]:
{{quote|Professor Dawkins notes that religion is alien to the reasoning mind. He notes that it reproduces and evolves. He sees that similar phenomena have caused many problems in the past and continue to do so in the present. He identifies a common feature of these problems, the God meme, and churns out antibodies to it.
This process is not infallible. Suppose, for example, you note that a patient is ill and can’t eat. You take a biopsy of his guts and find that they’re full of—bacteria! Bacteria are clearly not human. They’re a well-known cause of disease. So the obvious problem is that the patient has a bacterial infection, and you prescribe broad-spectrum antibiotics. Meanwhile, the poor fellow is dying of colon cancer, and you’re trying to eradicate his intestinal flora. }}
 
=== Real Life ===