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{{quote|''"The chances against anything manlike on Mars are a million to one."''|'''Ogilvy''', ''[[The War of the Worlds]]''}}
 
Scientists are human beings, too. And human beings are [[FinaglesFinagle's Law|often wrong]]. The problem comes when a character that is mentioned to be a [[TV Genius|respected, intelligent individual]] (or sometimes an [[Absent -Minded Professor]]) is called on to state or decides to make a comment on how unlikely it is that an impending and usually bad event will occur. They usually dismiss any possibility of disaster by stating [[Million -to -One Chance|extremely low odds]] that it will happen, and laugh off holders of an opposing viewpoint as "crazy" or "minsinformed" even if they may in fact be [[Ignored Expert|a respected colleague]] and not just an [[The Cuckoolander Was Right|eccentric, insane or paranoid person]] who also happens to be right. Point is, nobody can sway him once he's publicly declared that there is, without a doubt, [[The War of the Worlds|no life on Mars]]. If they ''do'' notice anything wrong, they will likely dismiss it as [[Within Parameters]].
 
Because the character is held in high regard, everyone listens to them and stops panicking, just in time for the disaster to happen anyway. The character who initially stated these odds often gets involved in the thick of it, quickly changing their mind. This individual may or may not survive. As for their earlier statement, it becomes [[Hilarious in Hindsight]], and they may or may not be [[You Just Had to Say It|called out]] for it.
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An [[Einstein Sue]] will often be faced with one of these, so they can show them up.
 
{{tropelist}}
{{examples|Examples}}
 
== Comics ==
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** Which is why it is stupid, anyway. We are talking about a super high-profile project, that no one has ever attempted before, comprising a park of dangerous animals for which the world knows next to nothing, and there is only ONE person responsible for the security system? This is one lousy security system and management of a project. The investors must be equally stupid to even allow this. It was a disaster waiting to happen rather than unpredictability, as described by Ian Malcolm. Sounds quite predictable to me. Even public libraries have better security than this.
* There is a B-movie on ''[[Mystery Science Theater 3000]]'' that includes a scientist character who explicitly denies that two moons will collide and destroy a nearby inhabited planet. Guess what happens.
* The scientist in ''[[Mars Attacks (Film)]]'' stated that since the martians are advanced technologically then they should be peaceful. He kept this up until they kidnapped him, cut off his head, and attached it to the body of a dog [[It Amused Me|for the lulz.]]
 
 
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[[Category:Stupidity Tropes]]
[[Category:Stupid Scientist]]
[[Category:Trope]]
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